River Forecast
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FGUS51 KTIR 171426
RVFCMU
River Forecast
NWS Ohio River Forecast Center, Wilmington, OH
9:26am EST Saturday, February 17, 2018

This is a NWS guidance product from the Ohio River Forecast Center.
Public forecasts and warnings are issued only by local NWS offices.
Statistical uncertainties can be viewed from our ensemble pages at:
http://weather.gov/erh/mmefs


: Cumberland - Poor Fork (Cumberland River) - JKL
: Zero Datum 1410.15 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Harlan County, KY
: Record River Stage     16.5 ft
: Major River Stage      16.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   14.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      12.0 ft
: Action River Stage      9.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
.AR CMBK2 20180218 Z DC201802171426/DUE/DQG/DH00/HGIFFX :crest:    9.7
: Crest near    9.7 ft around 7PM EST on Sat, Feb 17
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15                           /   5.2
:     Feb 16   /   5.1 /   5.1 /   5.0 /   5.2
:     Feb 17   /   5.3 /   5.5 /   5.4
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 5.4 ft at 830am EST on Sat, Feb 17
:
.ER CMBK2 20180217 Z DC201802171426/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :                         /   5.3
.E2 : Feb 18 : /   9.7 /   9.3 /   7.9 /   5.8
.E3 : Feb 19 : /   5.3 /   5.2 /   5.1 /   5.0
.E4 : Feb 20 : /   5.0 /   4.9 /   4.9 /   4.8
.E5 : Feb 21 : /   4.7 /   4.7 /   4.6 /   4.6
.E6 : Feb 22 : /   4.5 /   4.5 /   4.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  0.12
:     Feb 15   /  0.00 /  0.07 /  0.01 /  0.01
:     Feb 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.40
:     Feb 17   /  0.22 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  0.35
:     Feb 18   /  1.04 /  0.02 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.02 /  0.07
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  10.9
:     Feb 15   /  12.9 /  12.8 /  13.9 /  15.3
:     Feb 16   /  17.2 /  16.1 /  16.0 /  12.6
:     Feb 17   /   5.7 /   2.6 /   2.1 /   4.6
:     Feb 18   /   4.5 /   4.8 /   3.1 /   3.9
:     Feb 19   /   8.9 /   7.9 /   8.5
:____________________________________________________________________

: Baxter - Cumberland River (Poor Fork) - JKL
: Zero Datum 1147.26 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Harlan County, KY
: Record River Stage     34.2 ft
: Major River Stage      20.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   18.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      16.0 ft
: Action River Stage     13.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 12AM EST on Sun, Feb 18
.AR BXTK2 20180218 Z DC201802171426/DUE/DQG/DH06/HGIFFX :crest:   16.5
: Crest near   16.5 ft around 1AM EST on Sun, Feb 18
: Fall below flood level around 2AM EST on Sun, Feb 18
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15                           /   4.7E
:     Feb 16   /   4.5E/   4.2E/   4.1E/    M
:     Feb 17   /   4.3E/   4.7E/   4.7E
: Observed values (above) with a trailing E indicate missing values
: that were replaced with estimates from model simulations.
:
: Latest Observed River Stage MISSING
:
.ER BXTK2 20180217 Z DC201802171426/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :                         /   4.9
.E2 : Feb 18 : /  14.3 /  16.5 /  10.7 /   7.4
.E3 : Feb 19 : /   5.8 /   5.3 /   4.8 /   4.5
.E4 : Feb 20 : /   4.4 /   4.3 /   4.2 /   4.1
.E5 : Feb 21 : /   4.0 /   3.9 /   3.8 /   3.7
.E6 : Feb 22 : /   3.6 /   3.6 /   3.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  0.08
:     Feb 15   /  0.01 /  0.17 /  0.00 /  0.02
:     Feb 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.30
:     Feb 17   /  0.15 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  0.41
:     Feb 18   /  1.03 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.03 /  0.07
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  10.6
:     Feb 15   /  12.7 /  12.3 /  13.3 /  14.9
:     Feb 16   /  17.9 /  16.4 /  16.3 /  13.4
:     Feb 17   /   6.6 /   3.6 /   2.7 /   5.0
:     Feb 18   /   5.4 /   5.6 /   3.8 /   4.7
:     Feb 19   /   9.8 /   8.5 /   9.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Pineville - Cumberland River - JKL
: Zero Datum 970.0 ft (Sandy Hook)
: Bell County, KY
: Record River Stage   1021.8 ft
: Major River Stage    1019.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage 1010.0 ft
: Flood River Stage    1002.0 ft
: Action River Stage    995.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 6AM EST on Sun, Feb 18
.AR PVLK2 20180218 Z DC201802171426/DUE/DQG/DH12/HGIFFX :crest: 1003.3
: Crest near 1003.3 ft around 7AM EST on Sun, Feb 18
: Fall below flood level around 8AM EST on Sun, Feb 18
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15                           / 984.6
:     Feb 16   / 984.3 / 983.8 / 983.4 / 983.0
:     Feb 17   / 983.0 / 983.1 / 983.1
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 983.1 ft at 830am EST on Sat, Feb 17
:
.ER PVLK2 20180217 Z DC201802171426/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :                         / 983.5
.E2 : Feb 18 : / 985.9 / 997.5 /1003.3 / 996.3
.E3 : Feb 19 : / 993.4 / 991.8 / 991.0 / 988.7
.E4 : Feb 20 : / 985.9 / 984.0 / 982.8 / 982.2
.E5 : Feb 21 : / 981.9 / 981.6 / 981.3 / 981.1
.E6 : Feb 22 : / 980.9 / 980.7 / 980.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  0.10
:     Feb 15   /  0.00 /  0.23 /  0.01 /  0.01
:     Feb 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.35
:     Feb 17   /  0.12 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  0.49
:     Feb 18   /  0.99 /  0.01 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.05 /  0.07
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  11.2
:     Feb 15   /  13.6 /  13.8 /  14.6 /  16.1
:     Feb 16   /  20.0 /  18.2 /  18.2 /  15.0
:     Feb 17   /   7.7 /   5.5 /   4.0 /   5.4
:     Feb 18   /   6.4 /   6.1 /   4.4 /   5.7
:     Feb 19   /  11.0 /   9.3 /  10.0
:____________________________________________________________________

: Barbourville - Cumberland River - JKL
: Zero Datum 942.97 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Knox County, KY
: Record River Stage     45.9 ft
: Major River Stage      38.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   33.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      27.0 ft
: Action River Stage     21.5 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 6PM EST on Sun, Feb 18
.AR BBVK2 20180219 Z DC201802171426/DUE/DQG/DH00/HGIFFX :crest:   27.2
: Crest near   27.2 ft around 7PM EST on Sun, Feb 18
: Fall below flood level around 8PM EST on Sun, Feb 18
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15                           /  19.4
:     Feb 16   /  18.7 /  17.8 /  16.9 /  15.8
:     Feb 17   /  15.1 /  14.7 /  14.4
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 14.4 ft at 830am EST on Sat, Feb 17
:
.ER BBVK2 20180217 Z DC201802171426/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :                         /  14.4
.E2 : Feb 18 : /  15.4 /  19.2 /  22.9 /  25.8
.E3 : Feb 19 : /  27.2 /  26.2 /  24.8 /  23.9
.E4 : Feb 20 : /  23.0 /  21.7 /  20.1 /  18.4
.E5 : Feb 21 : /  16.7 /  15.2 /  13.9 /  12.7
.E6 : Feb 22 : /  11.7 /  10.9 /  10.1
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  0.06
:     Feb 15   /  0.00 /  0.19 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Feb 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.01 /  0.40
:     Feb 17   /  0.10 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  0.49
:     Feb 18   /  0.88 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.04 /  0.06
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  12.6
:     Feb 15   /  15.6 /  14.8 /  15.9 /  17.7
:     Feb 16   /  21.8 /  19.4 /  19.6 /  14.8
:     Feb 17   /   7.9 /   5.7 /   3.9 /   5.5
:     Feb 18   /   6.7 /   5.8 /   4.3 /   6.0
:     Feb 19   /  11.7 /   9.7 /  10.7
:____________________________________________________________________

: Williamsburg - Cumberland River - JKL
: Zero Datum 891.52 ft (NGVD 1929)
: Whitley County, KY
: Record River Stage     35.0 ft
: Major River Stage      32.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   27.5 ft
: Flood River Stage      21.0 ft
: Action River Stage     17.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
: Rise above flood river stage around 3PM EST on Sun, Feb 18
.AR WLBK2 20180219 Z DC201802171426/DUE/DQG/DH00/HGIFFX :crest:   21.5
: Crest near   21.5 ft around 7PM EST on Sun, Feb 18
: Fall below flood level around 7AM EST on Mon, Feb 19
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15                           /  23.8
:     Feb 16   /  22.6 /  21.4 /  20.4 /  19.4
:     Feb 17   /  18.5 /  17.5 /  16.4
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 16.1 ft at 900am EST on Sat, Feb 17
:
.ER WLBK2 20180217 Z DC201802171426/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :                         /  15.9
.E2 : Feb 18 : /  17.0 /  18.3 /  19.5 /  20.8
.E3 : Feb 19 : /  21.5 /  21.3 /  21.0 /  20.9
.E4 : Feb 20 : /  20.8 /  20.7 /  20.7 /  20.6
.E5 : Feb 21 : /  20.1 /  19.4 /  18.5 /  17.4
.E6 : Feb 22 : /  16.1 /  14.8 /  13.5
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  0.04
:     Feb 15   /  0.00 /  0.21 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.34
:     Feb 17   /  0.10 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  0.51
:     Feb 18   /  0.83 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.05 /  0.06
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  12.8
:     Feb 15   /  16.2 /  14.9 /  16.0 /  18.3
:     Feb 16   /  22.2 /  19.6 /  19.9 /  15.1
:     Feb 17   /   7.7 /   5.4 /   3.9 /   5.2
:     Feb 18   /   6.7 /   6.0 /   4.3 /   6.0
:     Feb 19   /  11.9 /  10.0 /  11.1
:____________________________________________________________________

: Celina - Cumberland River - OHX
: Zero Datum 488.95 ft (NAVD 88)
: Clay County, TN
: Record River Stage     59.2 ft
: Major River Stage      50.0 ft
: Moderate River Stage   45.0 ft
: Flood River Stage      40.0 ft
: Action River Stage     35.0 ft
:
: Time series data are in 6-hour increments.
:
:  Obsv Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 15                           /  20.5
:     Feb 16   /  20.6 /  20.6 /  20.7 /  21.0
:     Feb 17   /  21.4 /  21.8 /  22.0
:
: Latest Observed River Stage 22.0 ft at 830am EST on Sat, Feb 17
:
.ER CLAT1 20180217 Z DC201802171426/DUE/DQG/DH18/HGIFF/DIH6
:
:  Fcst Valid  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1 : Feb 17 :                         /  22.5
.E2 : Feb 18 : /  23.3 /  24.1 /  24.9 /  24.7
.E3 : Feb 19 : /  24.3 /  23.7 /  23.1 /  22.6
.E4 : Feb 20 : /  22.1 /  21.9 /  21.8 /  21.7
.E5 : Feb 21 : /  21.6 /  21.5 /  21.4 /  21.3
.E6 : Feb 22 : /  21.3 /  21.3 /  21.3
:
: Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (72 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  0.00
:     Feb 15   /  0.12 /  0.14 /  0.00 /  0.01
:     Feb 16   /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.36
:     Feb 17   /  0.08 /  0.00 /  0.00
:
: Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip [MAPX] (48 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 17                           /  0.56
:     Feb 18   /  0.46 /  0.00 /  0.00 /  0.00
:     Feb 19   /  0.00 /  0.04 /  0.06
:
: Local 6-hr basin-averaged temperatures (C) [MAT] (120 hours):
: Valid Times  /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:     Feb 14                           /  14.1
:     Feb 15   /  16.0 /  15.9 /  17.3 /  19.2
:     Feb 16   /  22.3 /  20.8 /  20.3 /  12.8
:     Feb 17   /   7.5 /   5.2 /   3.3 /   4.6
:     Feb 18   /   6.6 /   6.1 /   4.2 /   6.2
:     Feb 19   /  12.3 /  11.6 /  13.9
:____________________________________________________________________
$$
: Noel
:...END of MESSAGE...




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