River Forecast
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000
FGUS53 KKRF 280052
RVFOSG

RIVER FORECAST
NWS MISSOURI BASIN RIVER FORECAST CENTER PLEASANT HILL MO
0050Z Sat May 28 2016
:
: THIS PRODUCT HAS PRELIMINARY DATA THAT MAY BE SUBJECT TO REVISION.
: REFER TO YOUR LOCAL WFO FOR THE LATEST OFFICIAL RIVER FORECAST.

:    FORECAST GROUP IS OSAGE

:                ***     EVENING FORECAST     ***

:     **********************************************************
:     *** THESE FORECASTS ARE SIGNIFICANTLY AFFECTED BY LESSER QPF
:     *** FROM THIS MORNING QPF                                 ***
:     **********************************************************


: ==>    This forecast includes obsd precip & 24 hours of QPF    <==

RIVER/STATION            FS     TDY    F O R E C A S T
LITTLE OSAGE RIVER
  FULTON KS              22.0    3.9   WITHIN BANK RISE
  HORTON MO 1N           41.0   29.4   WITHIN BANK RISE
MARMATON RIVER
  NEVADA MO 2NW          20.0    8.4   WITHIN BANK RISE
OSAGE RIVER
  SCHELL CITY MO 3NW     30.0   21.4   RISE TO 28.9 BY 6/1 PM
SAC RIVER
  CAPLNGER MILLS MO 5N   16.0   12.5   CREST NEAR 14.0 FT 05/28 AM
SOUTH GRAND RIVER
  URICH MO 1S            24.0   26.8   CRESTING
BIG CREEK
  BLAIRSTOWN MO 1SW      20.0   24.1   CRESTING

:__________________________________________________________________

:FULTON KS - LITTLE OSAGE RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 22.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 20.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 25.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 3.9 FT AT 0015Z ON 0528

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /   3.8 /   3.8 /   3.9
:   0528   /   3.9

.ER FTNK1 20160528 Z DC201605280050/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /   4.0 /   4.4 /   4.9
.E2  :0529:/   5.2 /   5.4 /   5.3 /   5.2
.E3  :0530:/   5.0 /   4.8 /   4.7 /   4.5
.E4  :0531:/   4.4 /   4.2 /   4.1 /   4.1
.E5  :0601:/   4.0 /   3.9 /   3.9 /   3.8
.E6  :0602:/   3.8


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.00 /  0.43 /  0.00
:    0528  /  0.10
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.53  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.27 /  0.04 /  0.01
:    0529  /  0.00
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.32  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:HORTON MO 1N - LITTLE OSAGE RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 41.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 39.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 45.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 50.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 29.4 FT AT 2345Z ON 0527
:
: Forcings: Anticipated precipitation as used in earlier river
: forecast did not occur.

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /  31.7 /  30.8 /  30.0
:   0527   /  29.7

.ER HTNM7 20160528 Z DC201605280050/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /  29.3 /  29.7 /  30.2
.E2  :0529:/  30.6 /  30.7 /  30.8 /  31.0
.E3  :0530:/  31.4 /  32.0 /  32.4 /  32.5
.E4  :0531:/  32.3 /  31.8 /  31.3 /  30.6
.E5  :0601:/  30.1 /  29.5 /  29.1 /  28.7
.E6  :0602:/  28.3


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.00 /  0.27 /  0.00
:    0528  /  0.06
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.33  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.29 /  0.03 /  0.01
:    0529  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.34  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:NEVADA MO 2NW - MARMATON RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 31.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 8.4 FT AT 2345Z ON 0527

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /  11.9 /  10.3 /   9.0
:   0527   /   8.6

.ER NVDM7 20160528 Z DC201605280050/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /   8.0 /   7.6 /   7.3
.E2  :0529:/   7.2 /   7.2 /   7.3 /   7.3
.E3  :0530:/   7.5 /   7.6 /   7.6 /   7.6
.E4  :0531:/   7.5 /   7.3 /   7.1 /   6.9
.E5  :0601:/   6.7 /   6.3 /   5.9 /   5.6
.E6  :0602:/   5.3


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.00 /  0.20 /  0.00
:    0528  /  0.09
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.28  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.28 /  0.01 /  0.01
:    0529  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.31  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:SCHELL CITY MO 3NW - OSAGE RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 30.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 28.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 35.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 45.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 21.4 FT AT 2345Z ON 0527

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /  20.3 /  20.6 /  20.9
:   0527   /  21.1

.ER SCZM7 20160528 Z DC201605280050/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /  21.8 /  22.5 /  23.4
.E2  :0529:/  24.4 /  25.3 /  26.0 /  26.3
.E3  :0530:/  26.5 /  26.7 /  26.9 /  27.2
.E4  :0531:/  27.5 /  27.7 /  27.8 /  27.9
.E5  :0601:/  28.1 /  28.2 /  28.5 /  28.7
.E6  :0602:/  28.9


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.35 /  0.12 /  0.00
:    0528  /  0.07
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.54  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.30 /  0.03 /  0.01
:    0529  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.36  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:CAPLNGER MILLS MO 5N - SAC RIVER     HSA - SGF
:FLOOD STAGE 16.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 14.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 19.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 28.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 12.5 FT AT 2345Z ON 0527

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /  11.6 /  10.0 /   8.7
:   0527   /   9.7

.AR : CREST : CMZM7 20160528 Z DC201605280050/DH06/HGIFFX 14.0
.ER CMZM7 20160528 Z DC201605280050/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /  14.0 /  14.0 /  11.3
.E2  :0529:/   9.9 /   9.7 /   9.8 /   9.9
.E3  :0530:/  10.0 /  10.0 /  10.0 /   9.9
.E4  :0531:/   9.6 /   9.3 /   9.7 /  11.1
.E5  :0601:/  11.9 /  11.9 /  11.9 /  12.0
.E6  :0602:/  12.1


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.15 /  0.14 /  0.00
:    0528  /  0.07
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.35  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.38 /  0.02 /  0.01
:    0529  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.42  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:URICH MO 1S - SOUTH GRAND RIVER     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 24.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 22.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 26.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 33.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 26.8 FT AT 0015Z ON 0528

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /  21.9 /  26.1 /  26.8
:   0528   /  26.8

: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/28/2016 AROUND 18Z
.ER URHM7 20160528 Z DC201605280050/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /  26.4 /  25.7 /  24.2
.E2  :0529:/  21.2 /  19.0 /  17.5 /  16.4
.E3  :0530:/  15.4 /  14.5 /  13.6 /  12.8
.E4  :0531:/  12.2 /  11.5 /  11.0 /  10.6
.E5  :0601:/  10.3 /  10.0 /   9.8 /   9.5
.E6  :0602:/   9.3


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.78 /  0.15 /  0.00
:    0528  /  0.01
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.94  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.23 /  0.03 /  0.01
:    0529  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.28  inches
:__________________________________________________________________

:BLAIRSTOWN MO 1SW - BIG CREEK     HSA - EAX
:FLOOD STAGE 20.0 FT   FCST ISSUANCE STAGE 18.0 FT
:MODERATE FLOOD STAGE 23.0 FT   MAJOR FLOOD STAGE 36.0 FT
:LATEST RIVER STAGE 24.1 FT AT 0000Z ON 0528

:Obs Stage /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:   0527           /  23.7 /  24.1 /  24.3
:   0528   /  24.1

: FALL BELOW FLOOD STAGE ON 05/28/2016 AROUND 20Z
.ER BLRM7 20160528 Z DC201605280050/DH06/HGIFF/DIH6
:Stage Fcst/   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
.E1  :0528:        /  23.1 /  21.7 /  20.4
.E2  :0529:/  19.4 /  18.0 /  17.1 /  16.6
.E3  :0530:/  16.4 /  16.1 /  15.8 /  15.5
.E4  :0531:/  15.3 /  15.1 /  14.8 /  14.6
.E5  :0601:/  14.4 /  14.2 /  14.0 /  13.9
.E6  :0602:/  13.7


:Local observed 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (PAST 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0527          /  0.56 /  0.20 /  0.00
:    0528  /  0.05
:
:Local observed 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPE Total Ending May 28:   0.80  inches
:
:Local forecast 6-hr basin-averaged precip (inches) (NEXT 24 hours):
:          /   00Z /   06Z /   12Z /   18Z
:    0528          /  0.15 /  0.02 /  0.02
:    0529  /  0.01
:
:Local forecast 24-hr basin-averaged precip total
: QPF Total Ending May 29:   0.20  inches

:********************************************************************
:COMMENT
:
:
:HSA -        Hydrologic Service Area
:SGF -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Springfield, Missouri
:EAX -        NWS Weather Forecast Office Pleasant Hill, Missouri
:OBS -        Observed
:EST -        Estimated
:M -          Missing
:Stage Fcst - River Stage forecast including future precipitation
:Flow Fcst -  River Flow forecast including future precipitation
:Precip -     Precipitation
:QPE -        Observed radar estimated precipitation
:QPF -        Forecasted mean areal precipitation for local basin
:
:
$$
: gks
:...END of MESSAGE...



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