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Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Little Rock, AR

000
FNUS74 KLZK 201231
FWSLZK

SPOT FORECAST FOR RCE7...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LITTLE ROCK AR
731 AM CDT MON MAY 20 2013

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 CDT ON MAY 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...WARM AND HUMID CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH AT LEAST TOMORROW
AS SOUTHERLY FLOW CONTINUES TO BRING MOISTURE NORTH INTO AR.
BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS WILL BE SEEN THIS AFTERNOON AS A POTENT
STORM SYSTEM TO THE WEST MOVES CLOSER TO AR. SOME STRONG TO SEVERE
THUNDERSTORMS COULD BE SEEN ACROSS PORTIONS OF AR THIS AFTERNOON
AND INTO THE OVERNIGHT HRS. BEST CHANCES FOR SEEING PRECIP THROUGH
TONIGHT WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHWEST HALF OF THE STATE. CHANCES
FOR PRECIP WILL SPREAD FURTHER SOUTHEAST FOR TUE AND TUE NIGHT AS
THE AFOREMENTIONED STORM SYSTEM MOVES OVER THE STATE. AGAIN...SOME
STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS COULD BE SEEN ACROSS THE STATE DURING THIS
PERIOD. SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE.

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
TEMPERATURE.........82 AT IGNITION...MAX 87.
RH..................59 PERCENT AT IGNITION...MIN 52 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 10 MPH IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 25 TO 29 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 4300 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 3449 FT AGL.
STABILITY CLASS.....3.
20-FOOT WINDS.......WINDS SOUTH AT 10 MPH AT IGNITION...OTHERWISE
                    SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 14 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    LATE IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
WEATHER TYPE....    TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............82  84  85  86  86  87
RH..............59  57  54  53  52  52
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..14  14  14  14  14  13
20 FT WIND GUST.18  18  18  18  18  14
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.8   8   8   8   8   8
EYE LVL WND GST.11  11  11  11  11  8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.28  29  29  28  28  29
CHC OF PCPN (%).10  20  20  20  20  20

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT.
TEMPERATURE.........MIN 69.
RH..................MAX 100 PERCENT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 10 MPH.
TRANSPORT WINDS........SOUTH 25 TO 31 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT (MSL).......BECOMING 2300 FT MSL.
MIXING HEIGHT (AGL).......BECOMING 1425 FT AGL.
20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 12 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
WEATHER COV.....SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE....TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM TSM
TEMP............86  84  82  78  76  75  74  73  72  71  70  69
RH..............53  56  62  69  74  78  82  86  89  92  95  98
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..13  13  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12  12
20 FT WIND GUST.14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14
EYE LVL WND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
EYE LVL WND SPD.8   8   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
EYE LVL WND GST.8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8
TRANSP WIND DIR.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
TRANSP WIND SPD.31  31  30  29  26  28  28  29  28  28  26  25
CHC OF PCPN (%).20  20  20  20  30  30  30  50  50  50  50  50

.TUESDAY...

20-FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
20 FT WIND DIR..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT WIND SPD..12  10  10  9   8   7   7   7   8   9   9   10
20 FT WIND GUST.14  11  11  11  8   7   7   7   8   11  11  11

$$
FORECASTER...55
REQUESTED BY...TIM NUTLEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20130520.RCE7_.01/LZK