Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook) Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
000
FNUS53 KGRR 230806
FWFGRR
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST LOWER MICHIGAN
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND RAPIDS MI
406 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
...RAIN ENDING LATE TODAY...
.DISCUSSION...MORE RAIN TODAY WILL KEEP FIRE DANGER LOW. MUCH
DRIER AIR ARRIVES FOR FRIDAY AND SATURDAY WITH DAYTIME RH VALUES
LOWERING TO AROUND 35 PERCENT. HOWEVER WINDS WILL REMAIN UNDER 10
MPH FOR MUCH OF FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
MIZ037>039-043>045-232015-
MASON-LAKE-OSCEOLA-OCEANA-NEWAYGO-MECOSTA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...LUDINGTON...BALDWIN...REED CITY...HART...
FREMONT...BIG RAPIDS
406 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
UNTIL 1100...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
UNTIL 1700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....53-58.
24 HR TREND......8 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-51 PERCENT NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 35-40
PERCENT INLAND.
24 HR TREND......33 PERCENT DRIER NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND 47
PERCENT DRIER INLAND.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 14 TO 19 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2400 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
3200-3700 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.03-0.14 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
AFTER 0100 UNTIL 0700.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32-37.
24 HR TREND......14 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......UNCHANGED.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1700-2200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
3100-3600 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 25 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 15 MPH
OVERNIGHT.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 400 (GOOD)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58-63.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600-3100 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
4700-5200 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ040-046-232015-
CLARE-ISABELLA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CLARE...MOUNT PLEASANT
406 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1800...THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
UNTIL 1200...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
UNTIL 1700.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
24 HR TREND......11 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........41-46 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......47 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2100-2600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4400-4900 FT AGL
IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT) INCREASING TO 1100 (EXCELLENT)
IN THE AFTERNOON.
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.14 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
AFTER 0100 UNTIL 0700.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 34.
24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........80-85 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......21 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4600-5100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1900-2400 FT AGL
OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1100 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 400 (GOOD)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 62.
24 HR TREND......6 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........32 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......11 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-600 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ050-056-064-071-232015-
MUSKEGON-OTTAWA-ALLEGAN-VAN BUREN-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MUSKEGON...JENISON...HOLLAND...SOUTH HAVEN
406 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
UNTIL 1400...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
UNTIL 1800.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
24 HR TREND......10 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........43-48 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......35 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3200 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
3600-4100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600-900 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........0.09-0.14 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
24 HR TREND......15 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN...2500-3000 FT AGL.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INLAND...3500-4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO
1400-1900 FT AGL OVERNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...900 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 300 (GOOD)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....59-64.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33-38 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......18 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-3800 FT AGL NEAR LAKE MICHIGAN AND
4600-5100 FT AGL INLAND.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ051-052-057>059-232015-
MONTCALM-GRATIOT-KENT-IONIA-CLINTON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...GREENVILLE...ALMA...GRAND RAPIDS...IONIA...
ST. JOHNS
406 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) UNTIL 1900...THEN
MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
UNTIL 1500...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS
UNTIL 1800.
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
24 HR TREND......12 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......31 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 12 TO 17 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 20 TO 25 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700-1000 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.14 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). PATCHY FROST
AFTER 0100 UNTIL 0700.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 36.
24 HR TREND......17 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........74-79 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......27 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900-4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 15 TO 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...1000 (EXCELLENT) DECREASING TO 500 (GOOD)
OVERNIGHT.
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
24 HR TREND......5 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........33 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......17 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 6 TO 11 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900-5400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...600 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
MIZ065>067-072>074-232015-
BARRY-EATON-INGHAM-KALAMAZOO-CALHOUN-JACKSON-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...HASTINGS...CHARLOTTE...LANSING...
KALAMAZOO...BATTLE CREEK...JACKSON
406 AM EDT THU MAY 23 2013
.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS
LIKELY UNTIL 1500...THEN A CHANCE OF RAIN
SHOWERS UNTIL 1800.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
24 HR TREND......20 DEGREES COOLER.
MIN HUMIDITY........50-55 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......12 PERCENT WETTER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 11 TO 16 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH INCREASING TO NORTH
AROUND 25 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
VENTILATION INDEX...500-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........AROUND 0.14 IN.
.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 37.
24 HR TREND......19 DEGREES COOLER.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......24 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3400-3900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 20 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...400-800 (GOOD TO EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
24 HR TREND......4 DEGREES WARMER.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-34 PERCENT.
24 HR TREND......26 PERCENT DRIER.
WIND(20FT/10-MIN)...NORTH WINDS 7 TO 12 MPH.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400-4900 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH.
VENTILATION INDEX...700 (EXCELLENT).
PCPN AMOUNT.........NONE.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTH WINDS
5 TO 6 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS UP TO
5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON.
.SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. EAST WINDS
5 TO 8 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. EAST WINDS 5 TO
6 MPH UNTIL MIDDAY BECOMING LIGHT.
.SUNDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. EAST WINDS 5 TO
6 MPH.
.MEMORIAL DAY...MOSTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHEAST
WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.
.MONDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S.
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY SUNNY WITH A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS AROUND 80.
$$