281
FXUS63 KEAX 100749
AFDEAX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Kansas City/Pleasant Hill MO
249 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Quiet weather is expected today and Friday with partly cloudy
skies and highs in the 70s.

-Showers and thunderstorms become possible Sunday and Monday.
Additional minor flooding possible.

-Additional showers and thunderstorms expected for the second
 half of next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 242 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024

Today:

Overnight some light showers skirted the northeast corner of
our forecast area thanks to a passing shortwave across the
Great Lakes region. The impacts of this wave will shift out of
the forecast area this morning, however we will remain in
northwest flow, keeping us mild through the day today. Afternoon
highs will reach the upper 60s to mid 70s across the forecast
area, and most will see near average temperatures for early May.
Otherwise expect a mostly quiet day with partly cloudy skies
and northwest winds around 10-20 mph.

Friday:

Heading into Friday quiet weather is expected to continue
through the day with continued northwest flow aloft.
Temperatures will be a smidge warmer Friday afternoon with most
reaching mid 70s. Some may even see upper 70s. Friday night,
another weak wave traverses to our northeast. Impacts to our
area look minimal, but cant completely rule our a passing shower
for our far northeast corner overnight.

The Weekend:

On Saturday, upper 70s and sunny skies can be expected
during the day, but our attention will turn to a deepening
shortwave sliding off the Rockies in the evening and making its
way toward our area. As it slowly slides east, showers and
thunderstorms will become possible during the day Sunday. With
warm air advecting into the area, precipitation will have little
impact on temperatures with most reaching near 80 degrees on
Sunday.

Next Week:

The system will be fairly slow shifting out of our forecast area
with continued shower and thunderstorm activity expected through the
day on Monday and possibly even into Monday night. Rainfall
amounts will total around 0.5 - 1.25". These amounts may lead to
some additional river flooding with a few rivers already
running high. Quiet weather may briefly return for the mid week,
but don`t expect it to last long with an active pattern
returning for the second half of the week. Showers and
thunderstorms will become possible again for Wednesday night
into Friday as broader troughing impacts the area.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z TAFS THROUGH 06Z SATURDAY/...
Issued at 1235 AM CDT Fri May 10 2024
VFR conditions expected through the TAF period. Winds Friday
remain out of the northwest with a few cumulus clouds expected
to develop in the afternoon.

&&

.EAX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
MO...None.
KS...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...HB
AVIATION...HB