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000
FXUS64 KEPZ 230522
AFDEPZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM
1122 PM MDT Mon Apr 22 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SYNOPSIS...
Issued at 140 PM MDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Warm, dry and breezy afternoon winds can be expected each day.
The windiest conditions will be Thursday and possibly even
Saturday with fairly dry conditions, except for a low chance in
the area mountains Saturday. Otherwise, afternoon breezes can be
expected each day over the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 140 PM MDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Above normal temperatures continue tomorrow and Wednesday where
much of the lowland areas will reach into the mid to upper 80s
and El Paso could see a couple days of 90 degree temperatures the
next couple days. Meanwhile, dry conditions continue with
afternoon breeziness areawide. A windy day can be expected
Thursday with very dry conditions allowing for patchy blowing dust
for much of the lowlands and especially for El Paso, Hudspeth,
and locations around White Sands National Park. Friday and heading
into the weekend appears to remain dry with typical afternoon
breeziness. However, Saturday the area mountains could see low end
chances for rain and another round of windy conditions can be
expected.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1120 PM MDT Mon Apr 22 2024

VFR conditions expected with SKC-SCT250. KELP may see a few mid
level clouds at 10-12 KFT overnight.  Winds will be light overnight
and through the morning hours at speeds less than 8 knots. Direction
of the light winds will be variable. Winds will increase above 10
knots by late Tuesday morning (after 16Z) and will be more from the
southwest. Wind gusts up to 20-22 knots will be possible by mid
afternoon.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 140 PM MDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Above average temperatures continue tomorrow and Wednesday with
the area remaining dry with afternoon breezes. Elevated fire
weather conditions Tuesday and Wednesday, but is expected to
remain in isolated higher terrain locations where Red Flag
criteria would be met. The windiest conditions can be expected
Thursday. The Borderland will remain dry but the area mountains
will have a low end chance of seeing rain. Blowing dust will also
be a concern with southwest winds that day. There`s a very good
chance a Red Flag Warning may need to be issued that afternoon
for much of the area. Min RH values will be in the single digits
in the lowlands and in the teens for the mountains. Another day
of at least elevated fire weather conditions exists Friday and
Saturday. Better chances for Saturday where Red Flag criteria
could be met for much of the area.

Ventilation rates will be very good to excellent tomorrow lasting
through the weekend.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
El Paso                  60  91  62  90 /   0   0   0   0
Sierra Blanca            54  85  56  85 /  10   0   0   0
Las Cruces               55  91  57  88 /   0   0   0   0
Alamogordo               56  87  53  85 /   0   0   0   0
Cloudcroft               44  64  43  63 /   0   0   0   0
Truth or Consequences    54  88  55  85 /   0   0   0   0
Silver City              51  79  50  75 /   0   0   0   0
Deming                   52  88  52  85 /   0   0   0   0
Lordsburg                52  86  52  83 /   0   0   0   0
West El Paso Metro       60  88  61  87 /   0   0   0   0
Dell City                51  90  50  90 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Hancock             55  92  54  91 /   0   0   0   0
Loma Linda               55  82  56  80 /   0   0   0   0
Fabens                   56  90  57  90 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Teresa             54  87  55  86 /   0   0   0   0
White Sands HQ           62  88  61  86 /   0   0   0   0
Jornada Range            51  87  53  85 /   0   0   0   0
Hatch                    51  89  51  87 /   0   0   0   0
Columbus                 55  88  56  87 /   0   0   0   0
Orogrande                54  86  54  85 /   0   0   0   0
Mayhill                  47  78  48  77 /   0   0   0   0
Mescalero                47  75  47  74 /   0   0   0   0
Timberon                 43  74  45  73 /   0   0   0   0
Winston                  47  80  46  77 /   0   0   0   0
Hillsboro                51  85  50  83 /   0   0   0   0
Spaceport                49  86  49  84 /   0   0   0   0
Lake Roberts             46  79  45  76 /   0   0   0   0
Hurley                   48  82  48  80 /   0   0   0   0
Cliff                    50  85  51  82 /   0   0   0   0
Mule Creek               51  80  50  77 /   0   0   0   0
Faywood                  50  81  50  79 /   0   0   0   0
Animas                   52  86  51  83 /   0   0   0   0
Hachita                  54  86  54  85 /   0   0   0   0
Antelope Wells           52  85  52  84 /   0   0   0   0
Cloverdale               52  79  52  77 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.EPZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
NM...None.
&&

$$

FORECASTER...04-Lundeen