Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
Issued by NWS Wakefield, VA
Versions:
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789 FNUS71 KAKQ 130952 FWSAKQ Spot Forecast for Be 17...DWR National Weather Service Wakefield VA 552 AM EDT Mon May 13 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on May 13. If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather Service at 757-899-5734. .DISCUSSION... Dry weather and mostly sunny skies are expected today. Min RH values this afternoon around 35%. Southeast winds early this morning become southerly by the afternoon. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent). Chance of pcpn......0 percent. Max temperature.....Around 79. Min humidity........36 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 6 mph late in the morning. Mixing height.......6200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 1 to 10 mph increasing to 12 to 13 mph late in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (700 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to excellent (68500 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............5. ADI.................1 early in the morning increasing to 87 in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM Sky (%).........7 9 10 13 17 20 23 25 28 34 41 48 Weather cov..... Weather type.... Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 Temp............50 52 58 62 66 71 72 74 76 77 77 78 RH..............93 89 77 65 56 47 46 41 39 37 37 36 20 FT wind dir..S S S S S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..2 3 3 4 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 20 FT wind gust.3 5 5 6 6 8 8 11 11 11 11 11 Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.6 0.6 1.8 2.9 4.0 4.6 5.2 5.8 5.9 6.1 6.2 Transp wind dir.SE SE S S S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.2 1 2 5 7 9 9 9 9 10 12 13 LVORI...........8 7 4 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 ADI.............1 2 2 10 26 47 55 55 60 70 81 87 Haines index....4 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 Vrate kt-ft/1K..1 1 1 7 18 32 38 42 46 55 64 69 Ventrate Cat....PR PR PR PR PR PR PR FR FR FR GD GD .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Slight chance of showers early in the morning. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Min temperature.....Around 59. Max humidity........90 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph. Mixing height.......400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 5 to 12 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Good (42300 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (1800 knot-ft) late in the night. LVORI...............3. ADI.................58 early in the evening decreasing to 3 late in the night. Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM Sky (%).........47 45 44 46 48 50 54 57 61 67 73 79 Weather cov..... SCH Weather type.... RW Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 Temp............76 74 71 69 66 65 65 64 63 62 62 61 RH..............40 44 53 57 63 65 68 70 72 78 78 84 20 FT wind dir..S S SE SE S S S S S S S S 20 FT wind spd..6 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 20 FT wind gust.11 8 8 8 11 11 11 11 11 11 8 8 Mix hgt (kft)...4.3 2.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 Transp wind dir.S S SE SE S S S S S S S S Transp wind spd.12 9 7 7 8 8 8 7 6 6 5 5 LVORI...........1 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 5 ADI.............58 6 5 5 5 5 5 5 4 4 3 3 Haines index....4 4 4 4 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 Vrate kt-ft/1K..42 19 3 3 3 3 3 3 2 2 2 2 Ventrate Cat....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR .TUESDAY... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Slight chance of showers early in the morning, then chance of showers early in the morning. Showers late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. Max temperature.....Around 71. Min humidity........73 percent. Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 9 mph. Mixing height.......2300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....South 5 to 13 mph increasing to 15 to 17 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2000 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to good (35100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. LVORI...............5. ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 48 in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........82 89 91 93 93 93 Weather cov.....S CHC CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE DEFNTE DEFNTE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ Chc of pcpn (%).20 50 50 50 80 80 Temp............60 61 65 68 70 71 RH..............90 93 84 78 76 73 20 ft wind......S 5 S 5 S 8 S 9 S 9 S 9 20 ft wind gust.8 8 14 14 14 14 Mix hgt (ft)....500 700 1600 2100 2300 2100 Transport wind..S 5 S 5 S 8 S 13 S 17 SE 17 LVORI...........6 6 4 3 3 3 ADI.............3 5 15 32 48 44 Haines index....3 3 3 3 3 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..2 3 10 23 35 31 Ventrate Cat....POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR POOR $$ Forecaster...ROGERS Requested by...Same Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2413866.0/AKQ .DELDT 05/13/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Dylan.gavagni@dcr.virginia.gov