Text Products for FWS Issued by MQT

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Marquette, MI
Versions: 1 2
000
FNUS73 KMQT 211910
FWSMQT

Spot Forecast for Rusty Waikiki...USFS
National Weather Service Marquette MI
310 PM EDT Sun Apr 21 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1500 EDT on April 21.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A cold front moved across the burn site this morning
with northwest winds gusting up to 25 mph behind the front this
afternoon. Weak surface ridging moves across the burn site tonight
resulting in light and variable winds and good nocturnal RH recovery.
The ridge axis shifts east by Monday morning with southwest winds
increasing through the day on Monday. A favorable southwest wind off
Lake MI may result in stronger winds than currently forecast with gusts
over 30 mph possible, especially during the late afternoon. It is also
unclear how much moistening influence Lake MI will provide, but being
so close to the lake on a day with modest onshore flow suggests
potential for shallower mixing and higher RH values than forecast. A
warm front approaches Monday night bringing the next chance for
rainfall.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Temperature.........Max 51.
RH..................Min 46 percent.
33-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 16 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 6 to 13 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph
                    in the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-1000 ft AGL.
Ventilation index...Poor to good (41.0-313.0).
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
Ceiling (kft).......22 increasing to 23 in the afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........20     19     27     35     42     42
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
Temp............33     37     42     46     48     49
RH..............78     74     62     52     46     46
33 ft wind......S 10   S 10   SW 13  SW 15  SW 15  SW 16
20 ft wind......S 8    S 8    SW 10  SW 12  SW 12  SW 13
Wind gust.......11     11     17     19     19     22
Mix hgt (ft)....300    500    900    1000   1000   1000
VIndx kt-ft/100.4      9      19     27     30     31
Ceiling (kft)...24     22     24     24     23     23

$$
Forecaster...EK
Requested by...Brian Wolvert
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411618.0/MQT
.DELDT 04/21/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL brian.wolvert@usda.gov
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
