Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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000
FXUS65 KPUB 232133
AFDPUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
333 PM MDT SAT MAY 23 2015

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 239 PM MDT SAT MAY 23 2015

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS WAS MOVING THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS OF
CO...AND IT WILL CONTINUE MOVING EASTWARD ACRS THE PLAINS INTO THE
EVENING HOURS. THE FAR SERN PLAINS WL HAVE THE BEST CHANCE FOR
SEVERE STORMS WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS AND POSSIBLY A
TORNADO OR TWO. THE REST OF THE FORECAST AREA WILL HAVE ISOLD TO
SCT TSTMS WITH THE MAIN THREATS BEING STRONG WIND GUSTS AND
GENERALLY SMALL HAIL.

AN UPR LOW WL MOVE INTO WEST CENTRAL CO TONIGHT...BRINGING
ADDITIONAL PCPN TO THE CONTDVD. WHILE MOST OF THE REST OF THE
AREA WL SEE CONDITIONS DRY OUT...LOCATIONS NEAR THE EASTERN BORDER
MAY SEE PCPN LINGER INTO THE LATE NIGHT HOURS. THAT UPR LOW IS
EXPECTED TO ELONGATE ON SUN....STRETCHING FROM SERN WY INTO
SOUTHERN CO. PCPN WL ALREADY BE GOING ALONG THE CONTDVD IN THE
MORNING...BUT WL SPREAD EASTWARD THRU THE DAY. HEAVY RAIN WL STILL
BE A THREAT ACRS THE AREA...WITH THE EASTERN PLAINS AND MTNS BEING
MOST PRONE TO FLASH FLOODING CONCERNS DUE TO SATURATED SOILS. THE
HIGH MTN AREAS WL STILL SEE SOME SNOW WITH GENERALLY LIGHT
ACCUMULATIONS.

.LONG TERM...(SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY)
ISSUED AT 239 PM MDT SAT MAY 23 2015

SUN NIGHT THE UPR LOW WEAKENS AND BECOMES AN OPEN WAVE. AN UPR
TROF REMAINS OVR CO INTO MON MORNING AND SLOWLY MOVES EAST OF THE
STATE DURING THE DAY. UNSETTLED AND MOIST CONDITIONS WL CONTINUE
OVR THE AREA AND THERE WL BE ANOTHER ROUND OF WIDESPREAD PCPN OVR
THE MTNS AND HIGH VALLEYS...WITH ISOLD TO SCT ACTIVITY OVR THE
SERN PLAINS. HIGH TEMPS OVR THE AREA ON MON WL STILL BE A LITTLE
BELOW NORMAL.

TUE LOOKS A LITTLE DRIER AS A SHORTWAVE RIDGE MOVES OVR THE
AREA. HOWEVER...THERE WL STILL BE ENOUGH MOISTURE OVR THE AREA
ALONG WITH AFTERNOON INSTABILITY TO BRING SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER AND NR THE MTNS. WED AN UPR TROF IS FORECAST TO
LIE FROM ID TO OVR NV TO BAJA CA. MSTR AHEAD OF THIS SYSTEM WL
BRING PCPN TO THE MTNS AND HIGH VALLEYS ON WED. A SFC LOW OVR THE
OK PANHNDL ON WED WL BRING SOME UPSLOPE FLOW TO THE ERN PLAINS AND
ISOLD TO SCT PCPN. THE UPR TROF MOVES OVR THE GREAT BASIN ON THU
AND IT STILL LOOKS LIKE THERE WL BE A TAP OF SUB TROPICAL MSTR
COMING NORTHWARD INTO CO...LEADING TO MORE SHOWERS AND TSTMS. THE
UPR TROF MOVES ACRS CO THU NIGHT AND FRI...WITH A FRONT DROPPING
INTO ERN CO ON FRI. FRI NOW LOOKS LIKE A DAY WITH WIDESPREAD PCPN
OVR THE ERN PLAINS AND MTNS. AS THAT UPR TROF MOVES OUT OF THE
AREA FOR SAT...THE ERN PLAINS SHOULD BE DRIER...BUT THERE WL
STILL BE SOME PCPN OVR THE MTNS AND HIGH VALLEYS.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z SUNDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 239 PM MDT SAT MAY 23 2015

ISOLD SHOWERS AND TSTMS MAY BE IN THE VCNTY OF THE TAF SITES THIS
EVENING WITH GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS BEING A THREAT...THERE COULD
ALSO BE BRIEF MVFR CONDITIONS. OTHERWISE VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED. SUNDAY AFTERNOON THERE WILL AGAIN BE THE CHANCE FOR SOME
SHOWERS AND TSTMS IN THE VCNTY OF THE TAF SITES.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...28
LONG TERM...28
AVIATION...28


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