Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FXUS65 KPUB 041020
AFDPUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
420 AM MDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.SHORT TERM...(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 420 AM MDT TUE AUG 4 2015

...LESS THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY EXPECTED TODAY...

DISTURBANCE MOVING THROUGH CENTRAL CO HAS KICKED OFF SOME SHOWERS
ACROSS THE CENTRAL MOUNTAINS EARLY THIS MORNING.  THIS ACTIVITY
WILL MOVE THROUGH FREMONT COUNTY BEFORE DISSIPATING TOWARDS 12Z.
SOME PRETTY GOOD DRYING MOVES IN BEHIND THIS FEATURE...AND ALTHOUGH
THERE WILL STILL BE SUFFICIENT MOISTURE PRESENT FOR ISOLATED
AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS...ACTIVITY LOOKS PRETTY SPARSE
IN COMPARISON TO PREVIOUS COUPLE DAYS.  DEW POINTS FALL OFF INTO THE
30S AND 40S ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT PLAINS BY THIS
AFTERNOON.  MEANWHILE...WESTERLY SFC WINDS SHOULD HELP TEMPERATURES
WARM BACK SEVERAL DEGREES OVER YESTERDAY`S READINGS.

ANY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS SHOULD DIMINISH FAIRLY QUICKLY THIS
EVENING...WITH CLEARING SKIES.  GOOD RADIATIONAL COOLING IS EXPECTED
GIVEN THE LOWER SURFACE DEW POINTS...SO TRENDED MIN TEMPS ON THE
COOL SIDE.  -KT

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 420 AM MDT TUE AUG 4 2015

.WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY...UPPER RIDGE BECOMES ESTABLISHED OVER
NEW MEXICO WITH DRIER AIR ALOFT MOVING INTO THE REGION FROM THE
WEST. HAVE ISOLATED POPS IN THE GRIDS MAINLY OVER AND NEAR THE
MOUNTAINS. WITH THE LIMITED MOISTURE...DO NOT ANTICIPATE MUCH
PRECIPITATION WITH THUNDERSTORMS...AND THE MAIN THREATS WILL BE
LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS. AIR MASS WILL BE WARM WITH HIGHS ON
THE PLAINS APPROACHING 100 ON BOTH DAYS.

.FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...UPPER TROUGH WILL MOVE INTO CALIFORNIA
ON FRIDAY AND MOVE NORTHEAST INTO MONTANA BY SUNDAY. SOUTHERLY
FLOW AHEAD OF THE SHORTWAVE WILL BRING AN INCREASE IN MONSOON
MOISTURE INTO THE REGION. MODELS INDICATE THE AMOUNT OF MOISTURE
WILL BE THE HIGHEST ON SATURDAY...WITH GFS HAVING AROUND 1 INCH
OF PRECIPITABLE WATER OR HIGHER OVER THE REGION. WILL HAVE TO
WATCH FOR SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ON SATURDAY. BY SUNDAY...THE
AREA OF HIGHER MOISTURE MOVES EASTWARD. GFS AND EC CONTINUE TO
SUGGEST THE INFLUX OF SOME MONSOON MOISTURE INTO THE REGION.
EXTENDED PROCEDURE WITH ISOLATED TO SCATTERED POPS LOOKS GOOD.
--PGW--

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY MORNING)
ISSUED AT 420 AM MDT TUE AUG 4 2015

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED AT THE TAF SITES TODAY. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS AND ADJACENT
LOWER ELEVATIONS...BUT THESE WILL BE MUCH MORE ISOLATED AND LESS
LIKELY TO IMPACT THE TERMINALS. -KT

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...KT
LONG TERM...PGW
AVIATION...KT


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