Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FXUS65 KPUB 142201
AFDPUB

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
301 PM MST SUN FEB 14 2016

.SHORT TERM...(THIS EVENING THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 PM MST SUN FEB 14 2016

...SNOW FOR THE C MTNS MAINLY N OF COTTONWOOD PASS...

CURRENTLY...

PERIODS OF SNOW HAVE BEEN OCCURRING IN THE C MTNS GENERALLY N OF
COTTONWOOD PAST AS PER CDOT WEB CAMS. RADAR HAS SHOWN MORE EXTENSIVE
ECHOES OVER THE MTNS AND PARTS OF THE PLAINS...BUT MOST OF THIS IS
LIKELY VIRGA. WINDS HAVE BEEN STRONG...WITH 40 TO 60 MPH WIND GUSTS
IN THE C MTNS. STRONG GUSTY WINDS HAVE ALSO OCCURRED IN THE UPPER
ARK RVR VALLEY AND THE N SAN LUIS VALLEY.

REST OF THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT...

OVERALL BEST CHANCE OF SNOW WILL BE ACROSS THE NW SLOPE OF THE C
MTNS...MAINLY N OF COTTONWOOD PASS. OVERALL SNOW AMOUNTS WILL BE IN
THE 2-6" RANGE...WITH QUITE A BIT OF BLOWING SNOW. THIS ACTIVITY IS
ASSOCIATED WITH A MODEST DISTURBANCE MOVING SOUTHEAST IN THE NW FLOW
ALOFT.

OTHER SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE LA GARITA MTNS AND
PIKES PEAK. A FEW ISOLD SNOW SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE
PLAINS THIS EVENING.

MIN TEMPS TONIGHT ON THE PLAINS WILL BE IN THE 20S TO L30S...WITH
THE WARMEST TEMPS ALONG THE MTNS/PLAINS INTERFACE. TEENS AND 20S
WILL OCCUR IN THE VALLEY AND MTNS. STRONG GUSTY WINDS WILL
CONTINUE IN THE MTNS.

TOMORROW...

SNOW WILL CONTINUE IN THE C MTNS BUT WILL GRADUALLY DIMINISH WITH
TIME DURING THE DAY. MOST OF THE SNOW WILL OCCUR ACROSS WESTERN LAKE
COUNTY. IT WILL REMAIN QUITE WINDY IN MOST OF THE MTN
AREAS...ESPECIALLY N OF HIGHWAY 160.

WINDS ON THE PLAINS WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE TOMORROW WITH GUSTS TO
25 MPH POSSIBLE. LOCALLY STRONGER WINDS WILL OCCUR IN THE GAP FLOW
AREAS IMMEDIATELY EAST OF THE S MTNS (E FREMONT/NW PUEBLO COUNTY AND
HUERFANO COUNTY).

TEMPS TOMORROW WILL CONTINUE MILD WITH HIGHS RANGING IN THE M50S
ACROSS EL PASO COUNTY TO M 60S OVER MOST OF THE REST OF THE PLAINS.

.LONG TERM...(MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 300 PM MST SUN FEB 14 2016

MONDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY...THE UPPER RIDGE AXIS MOVES ONSHORE
LATE MONDAY NIGHT...THEN CROSSES THE GREAT BASIN AND COLORADO
THROUGH WED. SAVE FOR SOME ISOLATED TO LOW END SCATTERED POPS FOR
SNOW ALONG THE CONTDVD AND MAINLY THE CENTRAL MTS...CONDITIONS WILL
BE DRY WITH A WARMING TREND. EXPECT MAX TEMPS TUE IN THE 60S FOR THE
PLAINS AND 50S FOR THE HIGH VALLEYS...THEN ON WED TEMPS SHOULD CLIMB
INTO THE LOWER TO MID 70S FOR THE PLAINS...50S AND 60S FOR THE HIGH
VALLEYS.

THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY...STARTING THU AND LASTING THROUGH THE
WEEKEND...LONG RANGE MODELS INDICATE  A COUPLE OF UPPER WAVES
BRUSHING BY TO THE NORTH OF COLORADO. THE FIRST WILL OCCUR THU AFTN
THROUGH EARLY FRI MORN...THEN THE SECOND WILL PASS BY ON SAT. AT
THIS TIME...THESE FEATURES WILL BRING ISOLATED SNOW TO THE HIGHER
TERRAIN ON THESE DAYS...WHILE THE PLAINS WILL REMAIN DRY AND WARM.
ON THU...WINDS ARE FORECAST TO PICK UP CONSIDERABLY ACROSS THE
PLAINS...AND WITH TEMPS PUSHING 80 F OVER THE SE CORNER...CRITICAL
FIRE WEATHER CONDITIONS MIGHT BE REACHED. THIS DEVELOPING SITUATION
WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED. OTHERWISE...A FORECAST COLD FRONT
DROPPING DOWN THE E PLAINS SAT AFTN WILL COOL MAX TEMPS ON SUN
BACK DOWN TO AROUND 60F. MOORE

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z MONDAY EVENING)
ISSUED AT 300 PM MST SUN FEB 14 2016

VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED NEXT 24H AT ALL 3 TAF SITES...KPUB...KALS
AND KCOS. WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE LIGHT. THE ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE
KPUB WERE GUSTY WEST WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE TOMORROW AFTERNOON.

LIFR CONDITIONS WILL OCCUR ACROSS THE C MTN REGION OF COLORADO NEXT
24H.

&&

.PUB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NONE.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...HODANISH
LONG TERM...MOORE
AVIATION...HODANISH


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