Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
940 AM MDT THU MAY 21 2015

COC003-009-011-015-021-023-025-027-041-043-055-061-065-071-079-089-
099-101-105-109-119-231545-
940 AM MDT THU MAY 21 2015

...WIDESPREAD AND ABUNDANT PRECIPITATION THROUGHOUT THE MONTH OF
MAY BRINGS CONTINUED IMPROVEMENT IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS SOUTH
CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO...

SYNOPSIS...UPDATED

A VERY STORMY MAY THUS FAR HAS PRODUCED WIDESPREAD RAINFALL OF 2 TO
3 INCHES ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO...WITH
POCKETS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES OF RAIN RECORDED ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE LOWER
ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY AND POCKETS OF 8 INCHES OR MORE OF RAIN RECORDED
ACROSS NORTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF EL PASO COUNTY. THIS...ALONG
WITH ABOVE NORMAL TO WELL ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION...ESPECIALLY
ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...FOR THE WATER YEAR (OCTOBER 1ST
THROUGH SEPTEMBER 30TH) THUS FAR...HAS ALLOWED FOR CONTINUED
IMPROVEMENT IN THE SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT WHICH HAS HAD ITS
GRIP ON THE AREA FOR THE PAST SEVERAL YEARS.

WITH THAT SAID...THE LATEST US DROUGHT MONITOR...ISSUED THURSDAY MAY
21ST...CONTINUES TO SHOW IMPROVEMENT IN DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST
OF SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO AND PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS.

SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) CONDITIONS ARE NOW CONFINED TO EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
BACA COUNTY AND EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN PROWERS COUNTY.

MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS ARE NOW INDICATED ACROSS
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHEASTERN PROWERS COUNTY...EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN
BENT COUNTY...MOST OF THE REST OF BACA COUNTY AS WELL AS ALL OF
MINERAL...RIO GRANDE AND CONEJOS COUNTIES. MODERATE DROUGHT (D1)
CONDITIONS REMAIN DEPICTED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL THROUGH
NORTHWESTERN SAGUACHE COUNTY...MOST OF ALAMOSA COUNTY AND EXTREME
WESTERN COSTILLA COUNTY.

ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS ARE NOW DEPICTED ACROSS CROWLEY AND
OTERO COUNTIES...MOST OF LAS ANIMAS AND KIOWA COUNTIES...THE REST
OF BENT AND PROWERS COUNTIES AND EXTREME EASTERN PUEBLO COUNTY.
ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS REMAIN INDICATED ACROSS THE REST OF
ALAMOSA COUNTY...EXTREME WESTERN HUERFANO COUNTY...AND MOST OF THE
REST OF SAGUACHE AND COSTILLA COUNTIES.

DROUGHT FREE CONDITIONS REMAIN DEPICTED ACROSS THE REST OF SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO. THIS INCLUDES WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...EXTREME
EASTERN COSTILLA COUNTY...THE REST OF HUERFANO...PUEBLO AND SAGUACHE
COUNTIES...AS WELL AS ALL OF LAKE...CHAFFEE...FREMONT...TELLER...EL
PASO AND CUSTER COUNTIES.

MORE INFORMATION ON THE US DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFICATION SCHEME CAN
BE FOUND AT:

WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/ABOUTUS/CLASSIFICATIONSCHEME.ASPX

DROUGHT IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER...

THE WIDESPREAD BENEFICIAL PRECIPITATION OVER THE PAST FEW WEEKS HAS
ALLOWED FOR DECREASING FIRE DANGER ACROSS THE AREA...ESPECIALLY OVER
THE EASTERN MOUNTAINS AND SOUTHEAST PLAINS...WITH GREEN UP WELL UNDER
WAY.

THE LATEST INFORMATION ON FIRE BANS AND RESTRICTIONS CAN BE FOUND AT:

WWW.COEMERGENCY.COM/P/FIRE-BANS-DANGER.HTML

AGRICULTURAL...

CPC AND VIC SOIL MOISTURE CALCULATIONS CONTINUE TO INDICATE NEAR
NORMAL CONDITIONS ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO...WITH SOME POCKETS OF WETTER THAN NORMAL CONDITIONS
BEING INDICATED OVER AND NEAR THE EASTERN AND CENTRAL MOUNTAINS.

HYDROLOGIC...

WHILE WIDESPREAD AND BENEFICIAL PRECIPITATION WAS RECEIVED ACROSS
THE AREA IN THE MIDDLE AND AT THE END OF APRIL...THE MAY 1ST
STATEWIDE SNOWPACK READING FELL TO 61 PERCENT OF NORMAL OVERALL.
THIS IS DOWN FROM THE 69 PERCENT OF NORMAL SNOWPACK REPORTED LAST
MONTH AND IS ONLY 61 PERCENT OF THE SNOWPACK REPORTED AT THIS
SAME TIME LAST YEAR. THERE ALSO REMAINS SUBSTANTIAL DIFFERENCES
IN THE SNOWPACK DISTRIBUTION...WITH NEAR NORMAL READINGS ACROSS
NORTHERN BASINS AND MUCH BELOW NORMAL READINGS ACROSS THE WESTERN
AND SOUTHERN BASINS.

THE MAY 1ST SNOWPACK REPORT FOR THE ARKANSAS BASIN REMAINED ONE
OF THE HIGHEST IN THE STATE...RUNNING AT 89 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
OVERALL. THIS UP SLIGHTLY FROM THE FROM THE 87 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
SNOWPACK REPORTED LAST MONTH AND IS 91 PERCENT OF THE SNOWPACK
REPORTED AT THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR. SNOWPACK DISTRIBUTION IN THE
ARKANSAS BASIN MIRROR THAT OF THE STATEWIDE READINGS...WITH NORTHERN
PORTIONS OF THE BASIN RUNNING AROUND NORMAL AND SOUTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE BASIN RUNNING WELL BELOW NORMAL.

IN THE RIO GRANDE BASIN...THE MAY 1ST SNOWPACK WAS DOWN TO ONLY 25
PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL. THIS IS DOWN FROM THE 59 PERCENT OF
AVERAGE SNOWPACK REPORTED LAST MONTH AND IS ONLY 59 PERCENT OF
SNOWPACK REPORTED AT THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR. SNOWPACK IN THE RIO
GRANDE BASIN IS THE LOWEST IN THE STATE.

STATEWIDE RESERVOIR STORAGE LEVELS AT THE END OF APRIL CAME IN AT
108 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL. THIS IS UP SLIGHTLY FROM THE 107
PERCENT OF AVERAGE STORAGE LAST MONTH AND IS ALSO ABOVE THE 93
PERCENT OF THE AVERAGE STORAGE AVAILABLE AT THIS SAME TIME LAST
YEAR. HOWEVER...STORAGE LEVELS ACROSS SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE
STATE REMAIN WELL BEHIND THE STORAGE LEVELS ACROSS NORTHERN PORTIONS
OF THE STATE.

IN THE ARKANSAS BASIN...STORAGE LEVELS ON MAY 1ST REMAINED AROUND
THE 80 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL REPORTED LAST MONTH...AND REMAINS
ABOVE THE 59 PERCENT OF AVERAGE STORAGE LEVELS REPORTED AT THIS
SAME TIME LAST YEAR.

IN THE RIO GRANDE BASIN...STORAGE LEVELS ON MAY 1ST FELL TO 75 PERCENT
OF AVERAGE OVERALL...COMPARED TO THE 77 PERCENT OF AVERAGE STORAGE
REPORTED LAST MONTH AND TO THE 67 PERCENT OF AVERAGE STORAGE REPORTED
AT THIS SAME TIME LAST YEAR.

THE BELOW AVERAGE SNOWPACK OVERALL CONTINUE TO PUT A DAMPER ON LATE
SPRING AND EARLY SUMMER STREAMFLOW RUNOFF FORECASTS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS
SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF THE STATE.

IN THE ARKANSAS BASIN...THE LATEST STREAM FLOW FORECASTS RANGE FROM
NEAR 80 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL FOR THE ARKANSAS RIVER AT SALIDA
AND CHALK CREEK NEAR NATHROP...TO AROUND 50 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL
FOR THE CUCHARAS RIVER NEAR LA VETA AND THE HUERFANO RIVER NEAR
REDWING...AND AROUND 36 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL FOR GRAPE CREEK
NEAR WESTCLIFFE.

THE CURRENT FORECASTS IN THE RIO GRANDE BASIN RANGE FROM AROUND 84
PERCENT OF AVERAGE FOR UTE CREEK NEAR FORT GARLAND...TO 25 PERCENT
OF AVERAGE OVERALL FOR THE SAN ANTONIO RIVER AT ORITZ...AND ONLY 6
PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL FOR THE RIO GRANDE RIVER NEAR LOBATOS.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN ALAMOSA THROUGHOUT THE MONTH OF APRIL WAS
1.6 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. ALAMOSA RECEIVED 0.43 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION
AND 0.7 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE MONTH OF APRIL...WHICH IS 0.16
INCHES AND 2.9 INCHES BELOW NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN COLORADO SPRINGS THROUGHOUT THE MONTH OF
APRIL WAS 2.0 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. COLORADO SPRINGS RECEIVED 0.97
INCHES OF PRECIPITATION AND 1.7 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE MONTH
OF APRIL...WHICH IS 0.45 INCHES AND 3.2 INCHES BELOW NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN PUEBLO THROUGHOUT THE MONTH OF APRIL WAS
1.5 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. PUEBLO RECEIVED 1.42 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION
AND A TRACE OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE MONTH OF APRIL...WHICH IS 0.02 INCHES
ABOVE NORMAL AND 3.8 INCHES BELOW NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY.

HERE ARE A FEW OTHER STATISTICS FOR SELECT SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST
COLORADO LOCATIONS...INDICATING OBSERVED PRECIPITATION TOTALS AND
DEPARTURE FROM NORMALS:

...............PAST........PAST 3......PAST 6.......PAST 365........
...............MONTH.......MONTHS......MONTHS.......DAYS............
...............TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP....TOTAL/DEP.......
...............INCHES......INCHES......INCHES.......INCHES..........

ALS AIRPORT    0.43/-0.16  1.84/+0.46  2.72/+0.31   6.13/-1.18
COS AIRPORT    0.97/-0.45  3.23/+0.47  4.52/+0.70  18.91/+2.37
PUB AIRPORT    1.42/+0.02  3.12/+0.49  4.07/+0.24  11.65/-0.92

EADS           1.19/-0.25  2.42/-0.40  3.95/-0.05  20.46/+4.78
LAMAR          1.19/-0.13  2.73/+0.20  3.80/+0.19  17.18/+1.98
WALSH 1W       0.76/-0.80  2.26/-0.87  5.56/+0.80  17.33/-1.83
CAMPO 7S       0.62/-0.71  1.91/-0.80  3.60/-0.37  15.90/-1.06
ORDWAY 21N     0.39/-0.79  1.19/-1.06  1.51/-1.62   7.92/-4.63
LAS ANIMAS     1.61/+0.37  2.74/+0.16  3.38/-0.37  11.09/-2.64
KIM 15NNE      1.64/-0.07  3.28/-0.20  5.93/+0.53  21.05/+4.21
FLORISSANT_FB  1.73/+0.15  3.67/+0.44  4.88/+0.02  18.67/+1.79
CANON CITY     4.89/+3.36  8.09/+4.96  9.57/+4.76  16.55/+3.08
RYE 1SW        3.74/+0.80  8.97/+2.37 12.67/+2.25  30.55/+5.44
WESTCLIFFE     1.07/-0.51  2.95/-0.41  4.14/-1.41  15.93/+1.38
WALSENBURG 1NW 2.58/+0.40  6.72/+1.67  9.23/+1.02  21.99/+3.95
TRINIDAD       2.48/+1.20  4.69/+1.67  6.51/+1.58  15.84/-0.47
CRESTONE 2SE   0.68/-0.44  2.36/-0.31  5.21/+0.76  14.87/+1.61
DEL NORTE 2E   0.79/-0.04  2.83/+0.81  3.90/+0.37   8.97/-1.59
BUENA VISTA 2S 1.72/+0.72  3.01/+0.90  4.75/+1.54  11.32/+0.73
CLIMAX         3.52/+1.04  6.90/+0.38 15.15/+2.77  28.00/+4.02

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTERS (CPC) OUTLOOK ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS INDICATE SLIGHTLY
BETTER CHANCES OF NEAR TO BELOW NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND A SLIGHT
NOD TO ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION. THE OUTLOOK FOR REST OF
MAY...JUNE AND JULY INDICATE EQUAL CHANCES OF ABOVE...BELOW OR
NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES ALONG WITH A SLIGHT TILT TO ABOVE NORMAL
PRECIPITATION ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

THE CPC SEASONAL DROUGHT OUTLOOK VALID THROUGH JULY 31ST...INDICATES
PROBABLE IMPROVEMENT IN THE DROUGHT CONDITIONS ACROSS PORTIONS OF
SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED BY THURSDAY JUNE 11H 2015...OR SOONER
IF NECESSARY...IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT
THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU

SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO PRECIPITATION AND DROUGHT
MONITOR: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/PUB/?N=NEW_LOCAL_DROUGHT_PAGE.PHP

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING
NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC
DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER
CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION
CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
3 EATON WAY
PUEBLO CO 81007
PHONE: 719-948-9429
W-PUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

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