Drought Information Statement
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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DROUGHT INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
750 AM MDT THU JUN 19 2014

COC003-009-011-015-021-023-025-027-041-043-055-061-065-071-079-089-
099-101-105-109-119-211400-
750 AM MDT THU JUN 19 2014

...SPRING THUNDERSTORMS BRING SOME SHORT TERM RELIEF IN THE DROUGHT
ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...

SYNOPSIS...

SPRINGTIME THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE AREA BROUGHT SOME SPOTTY BUT
BENEFICIAL MOISTURE TO PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST COLORADO PLAINS
OVER THE PAST FEW MONTHS. THIS MOISTURE...HOWEVER...WAS NOT
WIDESPREAD ENOUGH TO PUT A DENT IN THE SEVERE TO EXCEPTIONAL
DROUGHT THAT HAS GRIPPED PORTIONS OF SOUTHEASTERN COLORADO OVER
THE PAST FEW YEARS.

WITH THIS IN MIND...THE CURRENT US DROUGHT MONITOR CONTINUES TO
INDICATE EXCEPTIONAL DROUGHT (D4) CONDITIONS ACROSS CENTRAL AND
EASTERN OTERO COUNTY...SOUTHEASTERN CROWLEY COUNTY...SOUTHWESTERN
THROUGH WEST CENTRAL KIOWA COUNTY AND SOUTHWESTERN THROUGH EXTREME
NORTHEASTERN BENT COUNTY.

EXTREME DROUGHT (D3) CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO BE DEPICTED ACROSS THE
REST OF CROWLEY...OTERO AND BENT COUNTIES...AS WELL AS NORTHEASTERN
AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF KIOWA COUNTY. EXTREME DROUGHT (D3) CONDITIONS
ARE ALSO INDICATED ACROSS WESTERN PROWERS COUNTY...EASTERN LAS ANIMAS
COUNTY AND WESTERN THROUGH SOUTHEASTERN BACA COUNTY.

SEVERE DROUGHT (D2) CONDITIONS REMAIN INDICATED ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN
EL PASO COUNTY...EASTERN PUEBLO COUNTY...CENTRAL LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...AND
THE REST OF KIOWA...PROWERS AND BACA COUNTIES.

MODERATE DROUGHT (D1) CONDITIONS ARE INDICATED ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
THROUGH EAST CENTRAL EL PASO COUNTY...CENTRAL PUEBLO COUNTY...EASTERN
HUERFANO COUNTY...WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY...WESTERN CONJEOS
COUNTY...EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN RIO GRANDE COUNTY AND SOUTHERN MINERAL
COUNTY.

ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS ARE INDICATED ACROSS SOUTHWESTERN
THROUGH NORTHEASTERN EL PASO COUNTY...WESTERN PUEBLO COUNTY...WESTERN
AND CENTRAL HUERFANO COUNTY AND THE REST OF LAS ANIMAS COUNTY.
ABNORMALLY DRY (D0) CONDITIONS ARE ALSO DEPICTED ACROSS SAGUACHE
COUNTY...THE REST OF MINERAL...RIO GRANDE AND CONEJOS COUNTIES...AS
WELL AS ALAMOSA AND COSTILLA COUNTIES.

DROUGHT FREE CONDITIONS ARE DEPICTED ACROSS LAKE...CHAFFEE...FREMONT
...TELLER AND CUSTER COUNTIES. DROUGHT FREE CONDITIONS ARE ALSO
INDICATED ACROSS EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN THROUGH NORTH CENTRAL EL
PASO COUNTY AND EXTREME SOUTHWESTERN THROUGH EXTREME NORTHWESTERN
PUEBLO COUNTY.

MORE INFORMATION ON THE US DROUGHT MONITOR CLASSIFICATION SCHEME CAN
BE FOUND AT:

WWW.DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU/ABOUTUS/CLASSIFICATIONSCHEME.ASPX

SUMMARY OF IMPACTS...

DESPITE SOME BENEFICIAL RAIN FROM SPRING THUNDERSTORMS...SOUTHEASTERN
PORTIONS OF THE STATE CONTINUE TO DEAL WITH THE EFFECTS OF A MULTI-
YEAR DROUGHT...INCLUDING LOW SOIL MOISTURE...BLOWING DUST AND CROP
AND CATTLE ABANDONMENT.

FIRE DANGER IMPACTS...

FIRE DANGER REMAINS HAS REMAINED HIGH ACROSS THE AREA THROUGH THE
LATE SPRING.

THE LATEST INFORMATION ON FIRE BANS AND RESTRICTIONS CAN
BE FOUND AT:

WWW.COEMERGENCY.COM/P/FIRE-DANS-DANGER.HTML

AGRICULTURAL IMPACTS...

THE CPC AND VIC SOIL MOISTURE CALCULATIONS CONTINUE TO INDICATE
NEAR NORMAL CONDITIONS IN PLACE ACROSS MOST OF SOUTH CENTRAL AND
SOUTHEAST COLORADO...ALTHOUGH PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWEST MOUNTAINS
ARE INDICATING SOME DRYING OVER THE PAST MONTH. HOWEVER...BELOW TO
WELL BELOW NORMAL CONDITIONS CONTINUE TO BE INDICATED ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST PLAINS...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE LOWER
ARKANSAS RIVER VALLEY.

CLIMATE SUMMARY...

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN ALAMOSA OVER THE PAST MONTH OF MAY WAS
0.6 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL. ALAMOSA RECEIVED 0.23 INCHES OF
PRECIPITATION AND 1.3 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE MONTH OF
MAY...WHICH IS 0.35 INCHES BELOW NORMAL AND 0.4 INCHES ABOVE
NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN COLORADO SPRINGS OVER THE PAST MONTH OF
MAY WAS 0.9 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. COLORADO SPRINGS RECEIVED 2.56
INCHES OF PRECIPITATION AND 0.4 INCHES OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE
MONTH OF MAY...WHICH IS 0.53 INCHES ABOVE NORMAL AND 0.3 INCHES
BELOW NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN PUEBLO OVER THE PAST MONTH OF MAY WAS
0.9 DEGREES ABOVE NORMAL. PUEBLO RECEIVED 0.65 INCHES OF PRECIPITATION
AND A TRACE OF SNOW THROUGHOUT THE MONTH OF MAY...WHICH IS 0.86 INCHES
AND 0.5 INCHES BELOW NORMAL...RESPECTIVELY.

HERE ARE A FEW OTHER STATISTICS FOR SELECT LOCATIONS INDICATING
OBSERVED PRECIPITATION TOTALS AND DEPARTURE FROM NORMALS:

...............PAST........PAST 3......PAST 6.......PAST 365........
...............MONTH.......MONTHS......MONTHS.......DAYS............
...............TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP...TOTAL/DEP....TOTAL/DEP.......
...............INCHES......INCHES......INCHES.......INCHES..........

ALS AIRPORT    0.23/-0.35  1.69/-0.01  1.98/-0.59   10.93/+3.62
COS AIRPORT    2.56/+0.53  3.90/-0.55  4.86/-0.59   21.28/+4.74
PUB AIRPORT    0.65/-0.86  3.47/-0.37  4.23/-0.64   11.95/-0.62

EADS           0.44/-1.82  1.36/-3.27  2.29/-3.51   13.05/-2.18
LAMAR          1.27/-0.75  2.36/-1.82  3.67/-1.58   15.90/+0.70
WALSH 1W       2.23/+0.01  3.90/-1.00  4.54/-1.85   20.07/+0.91
ORDWAY 21N     0.60/-1.04  1.34/-2.26  1.81/-2.59    6.30/-6.25
KIM 15NNE      0.39/-1.47  2.06/-2.79  2.90/-3.61   13.08/-3.76
FLORISSANT FB  2.27/+0.64  3.85/-0.54  5.61/-0.24   16.47/-0.41
CANON CITY     2.02/+0.61  4.51/+0.43  6.01/+0.44   16.69/+3.22
RYE 1SW        2.10/-0.12  8.49/+0.80 10.35/-1.09   30.85/+5.74
WALSENBURG 1NW 1.64/-0.18  5.36/-0.60  6.59/-2.24   17.10/-0.94
TRINIDAD       2.04/+0.32  4.90/+0.16  5.69/-0.14   16.50/+0.19
CRESTONE 2SE   1.48/+0.46  3.43/+0.17  4.39/-0.42   15.87/+2.61
DEL NORTE 2E   0.77/-0.06  1.65/-0.84  2.28/-1.51    9.39/-1.17
BUENA VISTA 2S 1.02/-0.05  1.70/-1.07  3.22/-0.66    9.81/-0.78
CLIMAX         2.68/+0.76  8.27/+1.61 16.79/+4.46   31.20/+7.22

HYDROLOGIC SUMMARY...

AS OF JUNE 1...THE 2014 SNOWPACK WAS STILL MELTING AT THE HIGHEST
ELEVATIONS...BUT WAS JUST ABOUT GONE AT THE LEVEL OF MOST OFFICIAL
SNOW MEASUREMENT SITES. THE ARKANSAS BASIN REPORTED 132 PERCENT
OF MEDIAN SNOWPACK...UP FROM 99 PERCENT OF MEDIAN A MONTH AGO...AND
UP FROM 86 PERCENT OF MEDIAN A YEAR AGO. THE RIO GRANDE BASIN REPORTED
JUST 39 PERCENT OF MEDIAN SNOWPACK...DOWN FROM 50 PERCENT OF MEDIAN
A MONTH AGO BUT UP FROM 2 PERCENT OF MEDIAN A YEAR AGO.

AT THE END OF MAY...OVERALL RESERVOIR STORAGE WAS BELOW AVERAGE ACROSS
SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO. STORAGE IN THE ARKANSAS BASIN
WAS AT 63 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL...DOWN FROM 67 PERCENT OF AVERAGE
A MONTH AGO...BUT HIGHER THAN 50 PERCENT OF AVERAGE A YEAR AGO. IN
THE RIO GRANDE BASIN...STORAGE WAS AT 71 PERCENT OF AVERAGE OVERALL...UP
FROM 67 PERCENT OF AVERAGE A MONTH AGO...AND HIGHER THAN 40 PERCENT
OF AVERAGE A YEAR AGO.

FOR THE ARKANSAS BASIN...STREAMFLOW VOLUMES FOR THE UPCOMING RUNOFF
SEASON ARE OUTLOOKED TO RANGE FROM ABOVE TO BELOW AVERAGE. FOLLOWING
ARE THE LATEST AVAILABLE STREAMFLOW FORECASTS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS
IN THE ARKANSAS BASIN ASSUMING NORMAL PRECIPITATION DURING THE
REMAINDER OF THE SNOW SEASON:

LOCATION                   % OF AVERAGE     RUNOFF PERIOD

ARKANSAS RIVER
  GRANITE                       104            APR-SEP
  SALIDA                        107            APR-SEP
  CANON CITY                     95            APR-SEP
  ABOVE PUEBLO                   90            APR-SEP
CHALK CREEK
  NEAR NATHROP                  100            APR-SEP
GRAPE CREEK
  NEAR WESTCLIFFE                71            APR-SEP
HUERFANO RIVER
  NEAR REDWING                   73            APR-SEP
CUCHARAS RIVER
  NEAR LA VETA                   57            APR-SEP
PURGATOIRE RIVER
  TRINIDAD                       69            APR-SEP

FOR THE RIO GRANDE BASIN...STREAMFLOW VOLUMES FOR THE UPCOMING
RUNOFF SEASON ARE GENERALLY OUTLOOKED TO BE BELOW AVERAGE. FOLLOWING
ARE THE LATEST AVAILABLE STREAMFLOW FORECASTS FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS
IN THE RIO GRANDE BASIN ASSUMING NORMAL PRECIPITATION DURING THE
REMAINDER OF THE SNOW SEASON:

LOCATION                   % OF AVERAGE     RUNOFF PERIOD

RIO GRANDE RIVER
  THIRTY MILE BRIDGE             78            APR-SEP
  WAGON WHEEL GAP                84            APR-SEP
  NEAR DEL NORTE                 82            APR-SEP
SOUTH FORK RIO GRANDE RIVER
  SOUTH FORK                     77            APR-SEP
SAGUACHE CREEK
  NEAR SAGUACHE                 100            APR-SEP
ALAMOSA CREEK
  TERRACE RESERVOIR INFLOW       66            APR-SEP
LA JARA CREEK
  NEAR CAPULIN                   55            MAR-JUL
TRINCHERA CREEK
  ABOVE TURNERS RANCH            47            APR-SEP
CONEJOS RIVER
  PLATORO RESERVOIR INFLOW       69            APR-SEP
  NEAR MOGOTE                    68            APR-SEP
CULEBRA CREEK
  SAN LUIS                       44            APR-SEP
SAN ANTONIO RIVER
  ORTIZ                          31            APR-SEP
LOS PINOS
  ORTIZ                          58            APR-SEP

THESE FORECASTS REFLECT NATURAL FLOW ONLY.  ACTUAL OBSERVED FLOW
WILL LIKELY BE AFFECTED BY UPSTREAM WATER MANAGEMENT.

PRECIPITATION/TEMPERATURE OUTLOOK...

THE CLIMATE PREDICTION CENTERS (CPC) OUTLOOK ACROSS SOUTH CENTRAL
AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO OVER THE NEXT TWO WEEKS INDICATE BETTER
CHANCES OF NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES AND PRECIPITATION. THE OUTLOOK
FOR JULY...AUGUST AND SEPTEMBER INCLUDE A SLIGHT TILT NEAR NORMAL
TEMPERATURES AND ABOVE NORMAL PRECIPITATION.

ON A LONGER TERM SCALE...CPC CONTINUES THE EL NINO WATCH FOR LATER
THIS SUMMER AND FALL. IF AND EL NINO EPISODE DOES DEVELOP...THERE
COULD BE INCREASED CHANCES FOR BENEFICIAL MOISTURE ACROSS SOUTHERN
COLORADO...ESPECIALLY NEXT FALL AND WINTER.

NEXT ISSUANCE DATE...

THIS PRODUCT WILL BE UPDATED BY FRIDAY JULY 11TH 2014...OR SOONER
IF NECESSARY...IN RESPONSE TO SIGNIFICANT CHANGES IN CONDITIONS.

&&

RELATED WEB SITES...

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON CURRENT DROUGHT CONDITIONS MAY BE FOUND AT
THE FOLLOWING WEB ADDRESSES /USE LOWER CASE LETTERS/:

U.S. DROUGHT MONITOR: HTTP://DROUGHTMONITOR.UNL.EDU

SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH CENTRAL COLORADO PRECIPITATION AND DROUGHT
MONITOR: HTTP://WWW.CRH.NOAA.GOV/PUB/?N=NEW_LOCAL_DROUGHT_PAGE.PHP

ACKNOWLEDGMENTS...

THE DROUGHT MONITOR IS A MULTI-AGENCY EFFORT INVOLVING
NOAA/S NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AND NATIONAL CLIMATIC
DATA CENTER...THE USDA...STATE AND REGIONAL CENTER
CLIMATOLOGISTS AND THE NATIONAL DROUGHT MITIGATION
CENTER. INFORMATION FOR THIS STATEMENT HAS BEEN GATHERED
FROM NWS AND FAA OBSERVATION SITES...STATE COOPERATIVE
EXTENSION SERVICES...THE USDA...USACE AND USGS.

QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS...

IF YOU HAVE ANY QUESTIONS OR COMMENTS ABOUT THIS DROUGHT
INFORMATION STATEMENT...PLEASE CONTACT...

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE
3 EATON WAY
PUEBLO CO 81007
PHONE: 719-948-9429
W-PUB.WEBMASTER@NOAA.GOV

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