Flood Potential Outlook
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FGUS75 KPUB 030539
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COC041-055-071-101-031745-

HYDROLOGIC OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
1139 PM MDT TUE JUN 2 2015

...MELTING OF THE HIGH ELEVATION SNOWPACK WILL RAISE CONCERNS
OF FLOODING IN THE WEEKS AHEAD...

MELTING OF THE HIGH ELEVATION SNOWPACK...THAT HAS BEEN DELAYED BY
COOLER THAN AVERAGE TEMPERATURES AND ADDITIONAL SNOW ACCUMULATION
IN MAY...IS FINALLY GETTING UNDERWAY THIS WEEK.  CONSEQUENTLY...
STREAM LEVELS ARE ON THE RISE IN THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...A SIGN OF
THINGS TO COME OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL WEEKS.

STREAM LEVELS AND SOIL MOISTURE ARE ALREADY RUNNING HIGHER THAN
AVERAGE FROM SEVERAL WEEKS OF RECORD PRECIPITATION. NOW...SNOWMELT
RUNOFF IS BEGINNING TO ENTER THE EQUATION.

THIS WILL RAISE CONCERNS OF FLOODING IN THE WEEKS AHEAD. THE
ADDITION OF HEAVY SNOWMELT RUNOFF TO AN ALREADY SATURATED RIVER
SYSTEM WILL NOT ONLY INCREASE THE CHANCE OF FLOODING IN THE WEEKS
AHEAD...BUT ALSO THE POTENTIAL SEVERITY OF THAT FLOODING.

TO FURTHER RAISE THE LEVEL OF CONCERN...LATEST FORECAST MODEL RUNS
ARE INDICATING A SHIFT TOWARD WETTER WEATHER AGAIN FROM LATE THIS
WEEK ON INTO NEXT WEEK. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
PRODUCING HEAVY RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE DURING THIS PERIOD. IF TOO
MUCH RAINFALL COINCIDES WITH TOO MUCH SNOWMELT RUNOFF...THERE
COULD BE SERIOUS FLOODING PROBLEMS.

STAY TUNED TO YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FOR THE LATEST
FORECAST...WATCH AND WARNING INFORMATION IN THE DAYS AND WEEKS
AHEAD. THE EVOLVING WEATHER PATTERN IS STILL SEVERAL DAYS AWAY AND
SUBJECT TO CHANGE. THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR THE SITUATION AND KEEP YOU UP TO DATE.

$$


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