Hazardous Weather Outlook
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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FLUS45 KPUB 021238
HWOPUB

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUEBLO CO
638 AM MDT SUN AUG 2 2015

COZ058>089-093>099-031245-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST LAKE COUNTY ABOVE 11000 FT-
LEADVILLE VICINITY/LAKE COUNTY BELOW 11000 FT-
EASTERN SAWATCH MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
WESTERN CHAFFEE COUNTY BETWEEN 9000 AND 11000 FT-
CENTRAL CHAFFEE COUNTY BELOW 9000 FT-
WESTERN MOSQUITO RANGE/EAST CHAFFEE COUNTY ABOVE 9000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY WEST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
SAGUACHE COUNTY EAST OF CONTINENTAL DIVIDE BELOW 10000 FT-
LA GARITA MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
UPPER RIO GRANDE VALLEY/EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS BELOW 10000 FT-
EASTERN SAN JUAN MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
DEL NORTE VICINITY/NORTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
ALAMOSA VICINITY/CENTRAL SAN LUIS VALLEY BELOW 8500 FT-
SOUTHERN SAN LUIS VALLEY-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 8500 AND 11000 FT-
NORTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FEET-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 7500 AND 11000 FT-
SOUTHERN SANGRE DE CRISTO MOUNTAINS ABOVE 11000 FT-
NORTHWESTERN FREMONT COUNTY ABOVE 8500 FT-
WESTERN/CENTRAL FREMONT COUNTY BELOW 8500 FT-
WET MOUNTAIN VALLEY BELOW 8500 FEET-
WET MOUNTAINS BETWEEN 6300 AND 10000 FT-
WET MOUNTAINS ABOVE 10000 FT-
TELLER COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE ABOVE 7500 FT/PIKES PEAK BETWEEN
7500 AND 11000 FT-PIKES PEAK ABOVE 11000 FT-
CANON CITY VICINITY/EASTERN FREMONT COUNTY-
NORTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/MONUMENT RIDGE/RAMPART RANGE BELOW
7500 FT-
COLORADO SPRINGS VICINITY/SOUTHERN EL PASO COUNTY/RAMPART RANGE
BELOW 7400 FT-PUEBLO AND VICINITY/PUEBLO COUNTY BELOW 6300 FT-
WALSENBURG VICINITY/UPPER HUERFANO RIVER BASIN BELOW 7500 FT-
TRINIDAD VICINITY/WESTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY BELOW 7500 FT-
CROWLEY COUNTY-LA JUNTA VICINITY/OTERO COUNTY-
EASTERN LAS ANIMAS COUNTY-WESTERN KIOWA COUNTY-
EASTERN KIOWA COUNTY-LAS ANIMAS VICINITY/BENT COUNTY-
LAMAR VICINITY/PROWERS COUNTY-SPRINGFIELD VICINITY/BACA COUNTY-
638 AM MDT SUN AUG 2 2015

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL...EAST
CENTRAL...SOUTH CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST COLORADO.

.DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT

THUNDERSTORMS ARE FORECAST TO DEVELOP OVER THE MOUNTAINS BY LATE
MORNING TO EARLY AFTERNOON...MAINLY SPREADING ACROSS THE SAN LUIS
VALLEY...PALMER DIVIDE AND RATON MESA BEFORE DISSIPATING
OVERNIGHT. ABUNDANT MOISTURE AND LOW LEVEL UPSLOPE FLOW WILL
PROVIDE THE FOCUS FOR HEAVY RAINFALL OVER THE EASTERN SAN JUAN
MOUNTAINS INCLUDING THE WEST FORK COMPLEX BURN SCAR. A FLASH FLOOD
WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE WEST FORK BURN SCAR AND SURROUNDING
AREAS GIVEN THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAINFALL. ELSEWHERE...LOCALLY
HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE ALONG WITH LIGHTNING.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY

ON MONDAY...A SUBTROPICAL DISTURBANCE WILL CARRY MONSOON MOISTURE
THROUGH THE REGION. THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE AREA...MAINLY
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS...WITH PRIMARY THREATS OF
LIGHTNING...HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING...ALONG WITH GUSTY
WINDS AND SOME SMALL HAIL.

TUESDAY...THE MONSOON WILL START TO SHIFT SOUTH OF THE REGION FOR
A COUPLE DAYS...AS DRIER AIR MOVES IN FROM THE WEST. THERE WILL
STILL BE STORMS AROUND THIS DAY...BUT FEWER THAN ON MONDAY. PRIMARY
STORM THREATS WILL INCLUDE LIGHTNING AND HEAVY RAIN...BUT GUSTY
WINDS WILL BECOME AN INCREASING CONCERN.

WEDNESDAY AND THURSDAY WILL BE MOSTLY DRY WITH JUST A FEW SPOTTY
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN. PRIMARY STORM THREATS
ON THESE 2 DAYS WILL BE LIGHTNING AND GUSTY WINDS.

ON FRIDAY AND SATURDAY...AN INTENSE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM WILL MOVE
INLAND ACROSS CENTRAL CALIFORNIA INTO THE GREAT BASIN...PULLING A
STRONG SURGE OF MONSOON MOISTURE NORTH INTO COLORADO. THE MOISTURE
WILL START TO SHOW UP ON FRIDAY...BUT THEN REALLY BLANKET THE
REGION ON SATURDAY. THE THREATS OF HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING
WILL RETURN...ALONG WITH THE CONTINUED THREATS OF LIGHTNING AND
GUSTY WINDS.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

WEATHER CONDITIONS THAT MEET REPORTING CRITERIA FOR SPOTTERS WILL BE
POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING ACROSS THE MOUNTAINS...THE SAN
LUIS VALLEY...PALMER DIVIDE AND RATON MESA.

$$

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