Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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000
UXUS97 KPUB 271154
SRGPUB

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0454 MST Friday, February 27, 2015

This forecast is for Friday, February 27, 2015:

If the trigger temperature of 23.4 F/-4.8 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 0 ft/min (0.0 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 10072 ft MSL (3314 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 16.0 F/-9.3 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... None
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 9514 ft MSL (2756 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 02/28..... Poor

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:34:26 / 17:48:16 MST
Total possible sunshine........... 11 hr 13 min 49 sec (673 min 49 sec)
Altitude of sun at 12:11:36 MST... 42.83 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 02/27/2015 at 0500 MST

Freezing level.................. Entire airmass below 32 F / 0 C
Convective condensation level... 8689 ft MSL (1931 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 10929 ft MSL (4172 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +13.9
K index......................... +10.0

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -53.1 -63.6   290   46   24   1.6   0.9      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -50.7 -59.3   290   45   23   1.6   0.9      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -49.8 -57.6   285   46   24   0.3   0.2      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -49.6 -57.3   285   46   24   0.7   0.4      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -51.7 -61.1   285   46   23  -4.0  -2.2      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -54.4 -65.9   280   45   23  -4.1  -2.2      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -54.7 -66.5   280   44   23   1.8   1.0      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -53.7 -64.7   285   44   23   1.8   1.0      M     M       M      M    M
 29000  -52.5 -62.5   285   44   23   7.6   4.2   14.8  58.7    18.2      M    M
 28000  -50.4 -58.7   280   45   23   7.3   4.0   13.7  56.7    17.6      M    M
 27000  -48.2 -54.8   280   46   24   7.3   4.0   12.8  55.0    17.1      M    M
 26000  -46.0 -50.8   280   46   24   7.6   4.2   12.0  53.6    16.6      M    M
 25000  -43.6 -46.5   275   45   23   8.0   4.4   11.2  52.2    16.2      M    M
 24000  -41.2 -42.2   275   44   23   8.0   4.4   10.5  51.0    15.9      M    M
 23000  -38.8 -37.8   275   43   22   7.4   4.0   10.0  50.0    15.6      M    M
 22000  -36.8 -34.2   270   41   21   6.9   3.8    8.9  47.9    14.8      M    M
 21000  -34.7 -30.5   265   39   20   6.9   3.8    7.8  46.1    14.2      M    M
 20000  -32.6 -26.7   265   38   19   7.8   4.3    7.0  44.5    13.6      M    M
 19500  -31.4 -24.5   265   36   19   7.7   4.2    6.6  43.8    13.3      M    M
 19000  -30.3 -22.5   270   35   18   7.7   4.2    6.2  43.2    13.1      M    M
 18500  -29.1 -20.4   270   34   17   7.7   4.2    5.9  42.6    12.8      M    M
 18000  -28.0 -18.4   270   33   17   7.7   4.3    5.6  42.1    12.7      M    M
 17500  -26.8 -16.2   275   31   16   7.8   4.3    5.3  41.5    12.4      M    M
 17000  -25.6 -14.1   275   30   15   7.8   4.3    4.9  40.9    12.2      M    M
 16500  -23.8 -10.8   280   28   15   8.2   4.5    4.5  40.1    11.9      M    M
 16000  -22.6  -8.7   280   27   14   8.1   4.5    4.2  39.6    11.7      M    M
 15500  -21.4  -6.5   280   27   14   8.7   4.8    4.0  39.2    11.6      M    M
 15000  -20.1  -4.2   280   26   13   8.7   4.8    3.8  38.9    11.4      M    M
 14500  -18.8  -1.8   280   25   13   8.6   4.7    3.6  38.5    11.3      M    M
 14000  -17.6   0.3   280   24   12   8.7   4.8    3.4  38.2    11.2      M    M
 13500  -16.3   2.7   275   23   12   7.0   3.8    3.2  37.8    11.0      M    M
 13000  -15.4   4.3   270   22   11   6.6   3.6    2.7  36.8    10.6      M    M
 12500  -14.6   5.7   270   21   11   2.3   1.3    2.0  35.6    10.0      M    M
 12000  -14.5   5.9   260   20   10   0.8   0.4    0.5  32.9     8.6      M    M
 11750  -14.4   6.1   260   19   10  -0.1  -0.1   -0.2  31.6     8.0      M    M
 11500  -14.6   5.7   255   18    9  -4.1  -2.3   -1.1  30.0     7.1      M    M
 11250  -15.0   5.0   250   18    9  -6.5  -3.6   -2.4  27.7     6.0      M    M
 11000  -15.4   4.3   245   17    9  -5.6  -3.0   -3.6  25.5     4.8      M    M
 10750  -15.9   3.4   240   17    9  -7.0  -3.8   -4.8  23.3     3.7      M    M
 10500  -16.5   2.3   235   17    9  -9.8  -5.4   -6.3  20.7     2.3      M    M
 10250  -17.3   0.9   230   17    9 -10.2  -5.6   -7.8  17.9     0.8      M    M
 10000  -18.0  -0.4   220   17    9 -11.2  -6.1   -9.4  15.1    -0.7    366  1.9
  9750  -18.8  -1.8   215   18    9  -6.8  -3.7  -10.9  12.3    -2.1    381  1.9
  9500  -19.1  -2.4   205   19   10  -4.4  -2.4  -12.0  10.4    -3.2    383  1.9
  9250  -19.6  -3.3   200   20   10  -8.3  -4.5  -13.3   8.1    -4.4    391  2.0
  9000  -20.1  -4.2   195   22   11  -4.2  -2.3  -14.6   5.8    -5.7    399  2.0
  8750  -20.1  -4.2   190   22   11   3.7   2.0  -15.3   4.4    -6.5    392  2.0
  8500  -19.7  -3.5   185   21   11   5.7   3.1  -15.6   3.9    -6.8    372  1.9
  8250  -19.4  -2.9   185   21   11   4.0   2.2  -16.0   3.1    -7.2    355  1.8
  8000  -19.0  -2.2   180   20   11   8.0   4.4  -16.4   2.5    -7.6    336  1.7
  7750  -18.2  -0.8   180   19   10  10.0   5.5  -16.4   2.6    -7.6    306  1.6
  7500  -17.6   0.3   180   17    9   8.3   4.6  -16.4   2.4    -7.7    279  1.4
  7250  -17.0   1.4   175   16    8   7.2   3.9  -16.6   2.2    -7.8    254  1.3
  7000  -16.6   2.1   175   14    7   4.3   2.4  -16.3   2.7    -7.6    233  1.2
  6750      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           02/27/2015 at 0800 MST          |       02/27/2015 at 1100 MST
                                           |
K index... +11.0  LI... +0.4               | K index... +11.7  LI... +0.9
CAPE... +12.7  CIN... -0.3                 | CAPE... +7.3  CIN... -0.4
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -53.0 -63.4  290  43 22   1.5   0.8 | -53.0 -63.4  285  44 22   1.2   0.7
 45000 -50.8 -59.4  290  42 22   1.5   0.8 | -51.2 -60.2  280  45 23   1.2   0.7
 40000 -50.1 -58.2  285  44 22   0.2   0.1 | -50.5 -58.9  280  43 22   0.3   0.2
 38000 -49.9 -57.8  285  44 23   0.5   0.2 | -50.3 -58.5  285  43 22  -1.3  -0.7
 36000 -52.0 -61.6  285  44 22  -3.9  -2.2 | -52.3 -62.1  285  40 21  -3.4  -1.9
 34000 -54.7 -66.5  285  43 22  -4.0  -2.2 | -54.4 -65.9  290  38 20  -3.4  -1.9
 32000 -54.9 -66.8  285  41 21   1.9   1.0 | -54.5 -66.1  290  35 18   2.3   1.3
 30000 -53.7 -64.7  280  39 20   2.0   1.1 | -53.1 -63.6  290  31 16   2.3   1.2
 29000 -52.5 -62.5  280  39 20   8.3   4.6 | -52.0 -61.6  285  29 15   8.0   4.4
 28000 -50.0 -58.0  280  40 21   8.1   4.4 | -49.8 -57.6  285  29 15   7.4   4.1
 27000 -47.6 -53.7  280  42 21   8.1   4.4 | -47.0 -52.6  285  28 14   7.4   4.1
 26000 -45.2 -49.4  280  43 22   8.0   4.4 | -44.8 -48.6  280  27 14   7.8   4.3
 25000 -42.8 -45.0  280  41 21   8.0   4.4 | -42.4 -44.3  285  28 14   7.9   4.3
 24000 -40.4 -40.7  285  40 21   8.0   4.4 | -40.0 -40.0  285  28 15   7.9   4.3
 23000 -38.0 -36.4  285  39 20   7.3   4.0 | -37.7 -35.9  285  29 15   7.4   4.1
 22000 -36.0 -32.8  280  38 19   6.8   3.7 | -35.5 -31.9  290  29 15   7.4   4.0
 21000 -34.0 -29.2  280  36 19   6.8   3.7 | -33.3 -27.9  290  30 15   7.3   4.0
 20000 -32.0 -25.6  275  34 18   6.2   3.4 | -31.4 -24.5  285  29 15   5.2   2.9
 19500 -31.1 -24.0  275  33 17   6.3   3.4 | -30.6 -23.1  280  29 15   5.3   2.9
 19000 -30.1 -22.2  275  31 16   6.3   3.4 | -29.8 -21.6  280  28 14   5.3   2.9
 18500 -29.2 -20.6  270  30 15   6.3   3.5 | -29.0 -20.2  275  28 14   5.4   2.9
 18000 -28.2 -18.8  270  28 14   6.3   3.5 | -28.2 -18.8  270  27 14   5.7   3.1
 17500 -27.1 -16.8  270  27 14   8.4   4.6 | -27.2 -17.0  270  26 13   7.7   4.2
 17000 -25.9 -14.6  275  26 13   8.2   4.5 | -26.0 -14.8  270  24 12   7.6   4.2
 16500 -24.1 -11.4  275  24 13   8.1   4.5 | -24.9 -12.8  270  23 12   7.9   4.3
 16000 -22.9  -9.2  280  23 12   8.1   4.5 | -23.7 -10.7  275  24 13   7.9   4.4
 15500 -21.7  -7.1  280  22 11   8.0   4.4 | -22.5  -8.5  280  25 13   7.8   4.3
 15000 -20.5  -4.9  280  21 11   8.0   4.4 | -21.4  -6.5  280  23 12   7.8   4.3
 14500 -19.3  -2.7  285  20 10   8.4   4.6 | -20.3  -4.5  280  21 11   7.9   4.3
 14000 -18.0  -0.4  285  19 10   8.5   4.7 | -19.1  -2.4  280  18  9   7.9   4.4
 13500 -16.8   1.8  285  18 10   7.4   4.0 | -17.4   0.7  285  14  7   7.3   4.0
 13000 -15.8   3.6  285  18  9   7.2   3.9 | -16.3   2.7  290  13  7   7.2   4.0
 12500 -14.8   5.4  285  18  9   4.9   2.7 | -15.2   4.6  290  13  7   7.1   3.9
 12000 -14.2   6.4  280  17  9   4.2   2.3 | -14.2   6.4  290  12  6   6.6   3.6
 11750 -13.9   7.0  280  17  9   2.8   1.6 | -13.8   7.2  295  12  6   5.3   2.9
 11500 -13.9   7.0  275  17  9  -1.6  -0.9 | -13.4   7.9  290  11  6   4.1   2.2
 11250 -14.1   6.6  270  16  8  -4.0  -2.2 | -13.1   8.4  290  11  6   3.1   1.7
 11000 -14.4   6.1  265  16  8  -2.8  -1.5 | -12.9   8.8  285  11  6   5.0   2.7
 10750 -14.6   5.7  265  15  8  -4.0  -2.2 | -12.5   9.5  285  11  6   3.5   1.9
 10500 -15.0   5.0  260  15  8  -8.5  -4.7 | -12.4   9.7  280  12  6  -1.4  -0.8
 10250 -15.8   3.6  250  15  8 -10.3  -5.7 | -12.6   9.3  275  12  6  -3.2  -1.7
 10000 -16.5   2.3  240  15  8 -10.2  -5.6 | -12.8   9.0  270  12  6  -0.3  -0.2
  9750 -17.2   1.0  230  15  8  -8.8  -4.8 | -13.0   8.6  265  13  7 -10.0  -5.5
  9500 -17.8  -0.0  215  16  8  -8.8  -4.8 | -14.2   6.4  245  12  6 -16.4  -9.0
  9250 -18.6  -1.5  210  18  9 -11.7  -6.4 | -15.1   4.8  235  13  7 -12.7  -7.0
  9000 -19.4  -2.9  200  20 10  -7.4  -4.0 | -16.1   3.0  225  15  8 -10.5  -5.7
  8750 -19.6  -3.3  195  21 11   2.3   1.2 | -16.5   2.3  215  15  8  -0.7  -0.4
  8500 -19.2  -2.6  190  20 11   4.8   2.7 | -16.3   2.7  200  16  8   2.3   1.3
  8250 -19.0  -2.2  185  21 11   2.7   1.5 | -16.3   2.7  190  17  9  -0.8  -0.4
  8000 -18.7  -1.7  180  21 11   7.6   4.2 | -16.2   2.8  180  18  9   6.1   3.3
  7750 -17.9  -0.2  180  20 10  10.2   5.6 | -15.4   4.3  180  18  9  11.3   6.2
  7500 -17.3   0.9  175  18  9   7.9   4.3 | -14.8   5.4  180  17  9   8.3   4.6
  7250 -16.7   1.9  175  17  9   7.5   4.1 | -14.1   6.6  175  16  8   9.3   5.1
  7000 -16.1   3.0  175  15  8   6.6   3.6 | -13.4   7.9  175  15  8  10.9   6.0
  6750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           02/27/2015 at 1400 MST          |       02/27/2015 at 1700 MST
                                           |
K index... +10.8  LI... +0.9               | K index... +13.6  LI... +0.5
CAPE... 0.0  CIN... -0.5                   | CAPE... +12.7  CIN... -0.6
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -53.3 -63.9  280  46 24   1.2   0.7 | -53.7 -64.7  280  50 25   1.1   0.6
 45000 -51.5 -60.7  280  46 24   1.2   0.7 | -52.0 -61.6  275  52 27   1.1   0.6
 40000 -50.9 -59.6  280  48 24   0.2   0.1 | -51.2 -60.2  275  51 26   0.4   0.2
 38000 -50.8 -59.4  280  48 25  -1.5  -0.8 | -50.9 -59.6  275  50 26  -1.7  -1.0
 36000 -52.6 -62.7  280  44 23  -3.0  -1.6 | -52.9 -63.2  275  46 24  -3.2  -1.8
 34000 -54.4 -65.9  285  41 21  -3.0  -1.7 | -54.8 -66.6  275  42 22  -3.2  -1.8
 32000 -54.4 -65.9  290  35 18   1.8   1.0 | -54.8 -66.6  275  36 19   2.0   1.1
 30000 -53.3 -63.9  295  27 14   1.9   1.0 | -53.6 -64.5  270  30 15   2.1   1.1
 29000 -52.1 -61.8  300  24 12   9.2   5.0 | -52.3 -62.1  270  26 13   8.9   4.9
 28000 -49.5 -57.1  305  23 12   8.7   4.8 | -49.7 -57.5  275  22 11   8.6   4.7
 27000 -46.9 -52.4  315  22 11   8.7   4.8 | -47.1 -52.8  280  19 10   8.6   4.7
 26000 -44.3 -47.7  325  22 11   8.2   4.5 | -44.6 -48.3  285  15  8   8.7   4.8
 25000 -42.0 -43.6  320  21 11   7.6   4.2 | -41.9 -43.4  285  14  7   8.9   4.9
 24000 -39.1 -38.4  310  20 10   7.6   4.2 | -38.6 -37.5  285  13  7   8.9   4.9
 23000 -36.9 -34.4  300  21 11   7.0   3.9 | -36.1 -33.0  280  14  7   6.7   3.7
 22000 -34.8 -30.6  295  23 12   7.0   3.8 | -34.0 -29.2  270  19 10   6.9   3.8
 21000 -32.7 -26.9  290  25 13   7.0   3.8 | -32.0 -25.6  265  25 13   6.8   3.7
 20000 -30.8 -23.4  290  27 14   5.9   3.2 | -30.1 -22.2  265  28 15   6.0   3.3
 19500 -29.9 -21.8  290  28 15   5.9   3.3 | -29.2 -20.6  265  28 15   6.0   3.3
 19000 -29.0 -20.2  285  30 15   6.0   3.3 | -28.3 -18.9  270  29 15   6.1   3.3
 18500 -28.1 -18.6  285  31 16   6.0   3.3 | -27.4 -17.3  270  29 15   6.1   3.3
 18000 -27.2 -17.0  285  33 17   6.4   3.5 | -26.5 -15.7  275  29 15   6.5   3.6
 17500 -26.2 -15.2  285  31 16   7.3   4.0 | -25.4 -13.7  275  27 14   7.1   3.9
 17000 -25.1 -13.2  280  30 15   7.3   4.0 | -24.4 -11.9  275  24 12   7.1   3.9
 16500 -24.0 -11.2  280  28 14   7.5   4.1 | -23.3  -9.9  280  22 11   7.8   4.3
 16000 -22.9  -9.2  280  26 14   7.5   4.1 | -22.2  -8.0  280  21 11   7.7   4.2
 15500 -21.8  -7.2  280  24 13   7.3   4.0 | -21.0  -5.8  280  20 10   8.0   4.4
 15000 -20.7  -5.3  280  22 12   7.3   4.0 | -19.8  -3.6  280  19 10   8.0   4.4
 14500 -19.6  -3.3  275  21 11   7.8   4.3 | -18.6  -1.5  280  18  9   8.2   4.5
 14000 -18.4  -1.1  270  19 10   8.3   4.5 | -17.4   0.7  275  18  9   8.4   4.6
 13500 -17.2   1.0  270  17  9   8.2   4.5 | -16.1   3.0  275  17  9   8.3   4.5
 13000 -16.0   3.2  270  15  8   8.1   4.4 | -14.9   5.2  270  17  9   8.1   4.5
 12500 -14.8   5.4  265  14  7   8.2   4.5 | -13.7   7.3  270  16  8   8.1   4.4
 12000 -13.6   7.5  265  12  6   8.1   4.4 | -12.5   9.5  265  15  8   7.6   4.1
 11750 -13.0   8.6  265  12  6   7.3   4.0 | -12.0  10.4  265  15  8   6.5   3.5
 11500 -12.5   9.5  270  11  6   6.4   3.5 | -11.6  11.1  260  14  7   5.2   2.8
 11250 -12.0  10.4  270  10  5   6.0   3.3 | -11.3  11.7  260  13  7   4.1   2.3
 11000 -11.6  11.1  270  10  5   5.2   2.8 | -11.0  12.2  260  12  6   3.9   2.2
 10750 -11.2  11.8  270   9  5   8.4   4.6 | -10.7  12.7  260  11  6   4.5   2.5
 10500 -10.5  13.1  275   8  4   4.1   2.3 | -10.4  13.3  260   9  5   1.0   0.6
 10250 -10.6  12.9  270   8  4  -2.5  -1.3 | -10.5  13.1  260   9  4  -2.0  -1.1
 10000 -10.7  12.7  265   9  4  -2.4  -1.3 | -10.6  12.9  260   8  4  -2.5  -1.4
  9750 -10.8  12.6  260   9  5  -6.7  -3.7 | -10.7  12.7  260   6  3  -5.7  -3.1
  9500 -11.9  10.6  245  10  5 -17.1  -9.4 | -11.6  11.1  245   7  4 -14.0  -7.7
  9250 -13.0   8.6  230  11  6 -14.5  -7.9 | -12.6   9.3  235   8  4 -12.3  -6.7
  9000 -14.1   6.6  220  13  7 -14.7  -8.1 | -13.5   7.7  225  10  5 -10.8  -5.9
  8750 -14.9   5.2  205  13  7  -2.9  -1.6 | -14.0   6.8  205  10  5  -4.2  -2.3
  8500 -14.7   5.5  195  14  7   4.9   2.7 | -14.2   6.4  190  11  6  -1.6  -0.9
  8250 -14.4   6.1  185  15  8   3.0   1.6 | -14.3   6.3  180  13  7  -2.5  -1.4
  8000 -14.1   6.6  180  17  9   7.4   4.1 | -14.4   6.1  175  14  7   4.0   2.2
  7750 -13.3   8.1  175  16  8  14.2   7.8 | -13.7   7.3  175  14  7  12.3   6.7
  7500 -12.0  10.4  175  15  7  18.3  10.0 | -12.8   9.0  170  12  6  11.9   6.5
  7250 -10.8  12.6  170  13  7  13.2   7.3 | -11.8  10.8  165  11  5  16.7   9.2
  7000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  6750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC).  It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the Air Force Academy
in Colorado Springs, Colorado at

                   North Latitude:  38 deg 58 min 48.000 sec
                   West Longitude: 104 deg 49 min 12.000 sec
                   Elevation: 6572 feet (2003 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613


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