Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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000
UXUS97 KPUB 241313
SRGPUB

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0713 MDT Friday, March 24, 2017

This forecast is for Friday, March 24, 2017:

If the trigger temperature of 39.9 F/4.4 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 79 ft/min (0.4 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 13532 ft MSL (5909 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 46.0 F/8.2 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... 1100 MDT
Time of overdevelopment........................ None
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Broken/overcast opaque middle
Surface winds during soaring window............ Between 20 mph and 30 mph
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 11809 ft MSL (4186 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Saturday 03/25..... Fair

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 06:55:31 / 19:15:14 MDT
Total possible sunshine........... 12 hr 19 min 43 sec (739 min 43 sec)
Altitude of sun at 13:05:23 MDT... 52.72 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 03/24/2017 at 0600 MDT

Freezing level.................. Entire airmass below 32 F / 0 C
Convective condensation level... 11758 ft MSL (4135 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 13093 ft MSL (5470 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +3.7
K index......................... +15.0

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -54.4 -65.9   230   21   11   3.7   2.0      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -48.9 -56.0   240   19   10   1.6   0.9      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -47.9 -54.2   245   12    6   0.7   0.4      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -48.4 -55.1   255    7    4  -3.1  -1.7      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -50.2 -58.4   025    4    2  -3.1  -1.7      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -52.0 -61.6   050   14    7   3.5   1.9      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -48.8 -55.8   035   18    9   5.4   3.0      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -45.4 -49.7   030   22   11   8.1   4.4   23.2  73.8    11.9      M    M
 29000  -43.0 -45.4   030   23   12   8.3   4.5   22.5  72.5    11.5      M    M
 28000  -40.5 -40.9   030   23   12   8.3   4.5   21.9  71.5    11.2      M    M
 27000  -38.0 -36.4   030   24   12   8.3   4.5   21.5  70.7    10.9      M    M
 26000  -35.6 -32.1   030   24   12   8.2   4.5   20.9  69.6    10.6      M    M
 25000  -33.1 -27.6   030   23   12   8.2   4.5   20.3  68.5    10.2      M    M
 24000  -30.7 -23.3   030   23   12   8.2   4.5   19.8  67.6     9.8      M    M
 23000  -28.3 -18.9   030   23   12   8.0   4.4   19.2  66.5     9.4      M    M
 22000  -25.9 -14.6   035   22   12   8.1   4.4   18.5  65.3     9.0      M    M
 21000  -22.9  -9.2   040   22   11   8.0   4.4   17.9  64.2     8.5      M    M
 20000  -20.6  -5.1   040   23   12   7.9   4.3   17.2  62.9     8.0      M    M
 19500  -19.4  -2.9   040   23   12   7.9   4.4   16.8  62.3     7.7      M    M
 19000  -18.3  -0.9   040   24   12   7.9   4.4   16.6  61.8     7.5      M    M
 18500  -17.1   1.2   040   24   13   7.8   4.3   16.3  61.3     7.3      M    M
 18000  -16.1   3.0   040   25   13   6.0   3.3   15.8  60.4     6.9      M    M
 17500  -15.2   4.6   035   27   14   6.2   3.4   15.2  59.4     6.3      M    M
 17000  -14.3   6.3   035   28   14   5.0   2.7   14.6  58.2     5.8      M    M
 16500  -13.7   7.3   030   29   15   4.6   2.5   13.7  56.6     5.0      M    M
 16000  -13.0   8.6   030   30   15   4.3   2.4   12.9  55.1     4.3      M    M
 15500  -12.4   9.7   025   30   16   3.6   2.0   11.9  53.4     3.4      M    M
 15000  -11.9  10.6   020   30   16   3.6   2.0   10.9  51.6     2.5      M    M
 14500  -11.3  11.7   015   31   16   4.3   2.4   10.0  49.9     1.6      M    M
 14000  -10.7  12.7   010   31   16   4.3   2.3    9.1  48.3     0.8      M    M
 13500  -10.0  14.0   010   31   16   4.3   2.4    8.2  46.8    -0.0    478  2.4
 13000   -9.4  15.1   010   31   16   3.9   2.1    7.3  45.2    -0.9    444  2.3
 12500   -8.6  16.5   005   31   16   5.3   2.9    6.7  44.0    -1.5    405  2.1
 12000   -8.1  17.4   005   31   16   3.0   1.6    5.6  42.1    -2.5    377  1.9
 11750   -7.9  17.8   005   32   16   4.2   2.3    5.1  41.2    -3.0    363  1.8
 11500   -7.5  18.5   005   32   16   6.1   3.4    4.8  40.6    -3.4    343  1.7
 11250   -7.1  19.2   005   32   17   4.9   2.7    4.5  40.0    -3.7    324  1.6
 11000   -6.8  19.8   005   33   17   4.0   2.2    4.0  39.2    -4.1    307  1.6
 10750   -6.5  20.3   005   33   17   4.2   2.3    3.6  38.5    -4.6    291  1.5
 10500   -6.2  20.8   005   33   17   3.9   2.1    3.2  37.7    -5.0    274  1.4
 10250   -5.9  21.4   360   33   17   4.4   2.4    2.7  36.9    -5.5    258  1.3
 10000   -5.6  21.9   360   33   17   5.2   2.9    2.3  36.2    -5.8    240  1.2
  9750   -5.2  22.6   360   33   17   4.2   2.3    2.0  35.5    -6.2    222  1.1
  9500   -5.0  23.0   360   33   17   2.7   1.5    1.5  34.6    -6.7    208  1.1
  9250   -4.8  23.4   355   33   17   3.1   1.7    0.9  33.7    -7.3    194  1.0
  9000   -4.5  23.9   350   33   17   4.7   2.6    0.5  32.9    -7.8    179  0.9
  8750   -4.1  24.6   350   32   16   6.0   3.3    0.2  32.3    -8.1    159  0.8
  8500   -3.6  25.5   350   30   15   6.4   3.5   -0.1  31.8    -8.4    138  0.7
  8250   -3.2  26.2   345   28   14   6.3   3.5   -0.4  31.4    -8.7    117  0.6
  8000   -2.7  27.1   345   26   14   6.9   3.8   -0.6  30.9    -9.0     96  0.5
  7750   -2.2  28.0   345   22   11   7.7   4.2   -0.8  30.6    -9.2     73  0.4
  7500      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  7250      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  7000      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M
  6750      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           03/24/2017 at 0900 MDT          |       03/24/2017 at 1200 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...     0.0    LI...       +4.0        | CAPE...   +23.9    LI...       +3.6
CINH...     0.0    K Index... +12.5        | CINH...    -0.1    K Index...  +7.8
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -55.5 -67.9  220  17  9   4.3   2.3 | -56.3 -69.3  235  15  8   3.5   1.9
 45000 -48.9 -56.0  235  15  8   1.3   0.7 | -50.8 -59.4  245  14  7   1.5   0.8
 40000 -48.3 -54.9  285   9  5   0.4   0.2 | -49.2 -56.6  310   9  4   1.1   0.6
 38000 -49.0 -56.2  315   8  4  -3.6  -2.0 | -49.8 -57.6  330  11  5  -4.3  -2.4
 36000 -51.2 -60.2  360   8  4  -3.6  -2.0 | -52.4 -62.3  340  12  6  -4.3  -2.3
 34000 -53.1 -63.6  035  12  6   4.6   2.5 | -54.5 -66.1  345  15  8   7.0   3.8
 32000 -50.1 -58.2  025  17  9   5.1   2.8 | -51.0 -59.8  355  15  8   5.7   3.1
 30000 -46.7 -52.1  025  21 11   9.3   5.1 | -47.2 -53.0  005  15  8   9.6   5.3
 29000 -44.1 -47.4  020  22 11   8.9   4.9 | -44.4 -47.9  355  16  8   9.4   5.1
 28000 -41.4 -42.5  020  22 11   8.9   4.9 | -41.6 -42.9  350  16  8   9.4   5.1
 27000 -38.8 -37.8  015  23 12   8.9   4.9 | -38.8 -37.8  340  17  9   9.3   5.1
 26000 -36.2 -33.2  015  23 12   8.6   4.7 | -36.3 -33.3  340  19 10   8.5   4.7
 25000 -33.6 -28.5  015  23 12   8.7   4.7 | -33.7 -28.7  340  20 11   8.5   4.7
 24000 -31.1 -24.0  015  23 12   8.7   4.8 | -31.2 -24.2  340  22 11   8.5   4.7
 23000 -28.6 -19.5  015  23 12   8.2   4.5 | -28.7 -19.7  345  22 11   8.3   4.6
 22000 -26.2 -15.2  015  22 12   8.2   4.5 | -26.2 -15.2  360  21 11   8.3   4.6
 21000 -23.7 -10.7  020  22 11   8.2   4.5 | -23.1  -9.6  010  22 11   8.5   4.7
 20000 -20.9  -5.6  020  22 11   7.7   4.2 | -20.5  -4.9  015  21 11   8.6   4.7
 19500 -19.7  -3.5  020  22 11   7.7   4.2 | -19.3  -2.7  015  20 10   8.6   4.7
 19000 -18.6  -1.5  020  22 11   7.7   4.2 | -18.0  -0.4  015  20 10   8.6   4.7
 18500 -17.5   0.5  020  22 11   7.4   4.1 | -16.7   1.9  020  19 10   8.0   4.4
 18000 -16.4   2.5  020  23 12   7.0   3.8 | -15.6   3.9  020  19 10   7.7   4.3
 17500 -15.4   4.3  020  24 12   7.0   3.9 | -14.5   5.9  020  19 10   7.7   4.2
 17000 -14.4   6.1  020  24 13   6.8   3.7 | -13.5   7.7  020  19 10   6.2   3.4
 16500 -13.4   7.9  020  25 13   6.8   3.8 | -12.6   9.3  020  19 10   6.3   3.4
 16000 -12.4   9.7  020  26 13   4.9   2.7 | -11.6  11.1  020  19 10   7.5   4.1
 15500 -11.9  10.6  015  27 14   3.8   2.1 | -10.5  13.1  015  19 10   7.6   4.1
 15000 -11.3  11.7  010  27 14   3.0   1.7 |  -9.4  15.1  015  19 10   5.6   3.1
 14500 -11.1  12.0  010  27 14   1.0   0.5 |  -8.9  16.0  010  20 10   3.4   1.9
 14000 -10.9  12.4  005  28 14   1.1   0.6 |  -8.3  17.1  005  21 11   1.4   0.8
 13500 -10.6  12.9  360  28 15   2.6   1.4 |  -8.8  16.2  005  23 12  -5.4  -3.0
 13000 -10.3  13.5  360  30 15   2.2   1.2 |  -9.6  14.7  360  25 13  -4.6  -2.5
 12500  -9.7  14.5  355  30 16   4.3   2.4 |  -9.8  14.4  360  27 14   1.2   0.7
 12000  -9.3  15.3  355  32 16   2.7   1.5 |  -9.7  14.5  360  28 15   1.4   0.8
 11750  -9.0  15.8  355  33 17   5.2   2.8 |  -9.5  14.9  360  29 15   4.9   2.7
 11500  -8.5  16.7  355  33 17   7.5   4.1 |  -9.0  15.8  360  29 15   7.1   3.9
 11250  -8.0  17.6  360  33 17   6.4   3.5 |  -8.5  16.7  360  29 15   6.8   3.8
 11000  -7.6  18.3  360  33 17   6.6   3.6 |  -8.0  17.6  360  29 15   7.0   3.8
 10750  -7.1  19.2  360  33 17   4.9   2.7 |  -7.5  18.5  360  28 15   6.6   3.6
 10500  -6.8  19.8  360  33 17   3.5   1.9 |  -7.0  19.4  360  29 15   6.3   3.4
 10250  -6.6  20.1  005  33 17   4.0   2.2 |  -6.6  20.1  360  29 15   7.0   3.8
 10000  -6.3  20.7  005  33 17   4.1   2.3 |  -6.0  21.2  360  29 15   7.3   4.0
  9750  -6.0  21.2  360  33 17   4.6   2.5 |  -5.5  22.1  360  28 15   6.5   3.6
  9500  -5.6  21.9  360  32 16   4.7   2.6 |  -5.1  22.8  355  28 14   6.3   3.4
  9250  -5.3  22.5  360  31 16   5.3   2.9 |  -4.6  23.7  355  27 14   6.7   3.7
  9000  -4.8  23.4  355  31 16   6.8   3.7 |  -4.1  24.6  355  26 14   7.3   4.0
  8750  -4.3  24.3  355  30 15   6.5   3.6 |  -3.6  25.5  350  25 13   7.4   4.1
  8500  -3.9  25.0  350  28 15   5.9   3.2 |  -3.1  26.4  350  24 12   7.0   3.8
  8250  -3.5  25.7  350  27 14   6.3   3.5 |  -2.5  27.5  350  23 12   8.4   4.6
  8000  -3.0  26.6  345  25 13   6.9   3.8 |  -1.8  28.8  345  21 11  11.6   6.4
  7750  -2.5  27.5  345  20 10   7.3   4.0 |  -0.9  30.4  345  17  9  12.5   6.9
  7500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  6750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           03/24/2017 at 1500 MDT          |       03/24/2017 at 1800 MDT
                                           |
CAPE...   +27.8    LI...       +4.3        | CAPE...    +1.9    LI...       +5.2
CINH...     0.0    K Index... +11.3        | CINH...    -2.6    K Index... -14.2
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -56.4 -69.5  235  13  7   3.1   1.7 | -57.8 -72.0  245  11  6   2.6   1.4
 45000 -51.6 -60.9  245  12  6   0.1   0.0 | -53.9 -65.0  260  11  5   0.5   0.3
 40000 -52.4 -62.3  315  15  8  -0.6  -0.3 | -58.5 -73.3  330  33 17  -2.9  -1.6
 38000 -53.1 -63.6  325  18  9  -1.7  -1.0 | -57.7 -71.9  335  35 18   4.9   2.7
 36000 -54.1 -65.4  335  18  9  -1.7  -1.0 | -54.8 -66.6  340  29 15   4.9   2.7
 34000 -54.8 -66.6  340  19 10   5.0   2.7 | -51.8 -61.2  350  25 13   4.9   2.7
 32000 -50.4 -58.7  335  16  8   6.6   3.6 | -48.9 -56.0  350  23 12   4.9   2.7
 30000 -46.2 -51.2  330  14  7   8.5   4.7 | -45.6 -50.1  350  22 12   7.9   4.3
 29000 -43.6 -46.5  330  15  8   8.5   4.7 | -43.2 -45.8  355  23 12   7.8   4.3
 28000 -41.1 -42.0  330  15  8   8.5   4.7 | -40.9 -41.6  355  24 12   7.8   4.3
 27000 -38.5 -37.3  330  16  8   8.2   4.5 | -38.6 -37.5  355  25 13   7.9   4.3
 26000 -36.3 -33.3  340  16  8   7.6   4.2 | -36.1 -33.0  355  23 12   8.2   4.5
 25000 -34.0 -29.2  350  17  9   7.6   4.2 | -33.1 -27.6  350  21 11   8.2   4.5
 24000 -31.7 -25.1  360  18  9   7.7   4.3 | -30.6 -23.1  350  20 10   8.4   4.6
 23000 -29.1 -20.4  360  17  9   9.3   5.1 | -28.1 -18.6  350  19 10   8.5   4.6
 22000 -26.3 -15.3  360  15  8   9.3   5.1 | -25.5 -13.9  345  18  9   8.5   4.6
 21000 -23.6 -10.5  005  14  7   8.8   4.8 | -23.0  -9.4  345  17  9   8.6   4.7
 20000 -21.1  -6.0  005  13  7   8.5   4.6 | -20.4  -4.7  340  17  9   8.6   4.7
 19500 -19.2  -2.6  005  12  6   8.5   4.7 | -19.1  -2.4  335  17  9   8.6   4.7
 19000 -18.0  -0.4  005  12  6   8.7   4.7 | -17.8  -0.0  335  17  9   8.6   4.7
 18500 -16.8   1.8  005  11  6   7.8   4.3 | -16.5   2.3  330  17  9   8.9   4.9
 18000 -15.7   3.7  005  12  6   7.7   4.2 | -15.2   4.6  330  17  9   8.9   4.9
 17500 -14.5   5.9  005  13  7   7.8   4.3 | -13.8   7.2  335  18  9   7.8   4.3
 17000 -13.3   8.1  005  13  7   8.1   4.5 | -13.0   8.6  335  19 10   4.7   2.6
 16500 -12.1  10.2  360  13  7   8.1   4.4 | -12.3   9.9  340  20 10   5.3   2.9
 16000 -10.9  12.4  355  13  7   8.4   4.6 | -11.9  10.6  345  21 11   0.6   0.3
 15500  -9.6  14.7  355  14  7   8.6   4.7 | -11.8  10.8  350  21 11   0.9   0.5
 15000  -8.6  16.5  350  16  8   2.4   1.3 | -11.5  11.3  350  21 11   3.8   2.1
 14500  -8.5  16.7  350  17  9   0.5   0.3 | -10.9  12.4  355  21 11   4.6   2.5
 14000  -8.5  16.7  350  19 10  -0.7  -0.4 | -10.2  13.6  355  20 11   4.4   2.4
 13500  -8.8  16.2  355  21 11  -1.7  -1.0 |  -9.6  14.7  360  20 10   4.1   2.2
 13000  -9.1  15.6  355  22 11  -0.1  -0.0 |  -9.0  15.8  360  20 10   4.7   2.6
 12500  -8.7  16.3  360  23 12   3.4   1.8 |  -8.2  17.2  360  20 10   5.2   2.9
 12000  -8.2  17.2  360  23 12   4.3   2.4 |  -7.4  18.7  360  20 10   5.5   3.0
 11750  -7.8  18.0  360  24 12   6.4   3.5 |  -7.0  19.4  360  19 10   6.4   3.5
 11500  -7.4  18.7  360  24 12   6.6   3.6 |  -6.5  20.3  355  19 10   6.6   3.6
 11250  -6.9  19.6  360  24 12   7.2   3.9 |  -6.0  21.2  355  19 10   7.4   4.1
 11000  -6.4  20.5  360  24 12   6.4   3.5 |  -5.5  22.1  355  19 10   7.2   4.0
 10750  -5.9  21.4  355  24 12   5.5   3.0 |  -5.0  23.0  355  18  9   6.8   3.7
 10500  -5.6  21.9  355  24 12   4.8   2.6 |  -4.5  23.9  355  17  9   6.8   3.7
 10250  -5.2  22.6  350  24 12   7.4   4.1 |  -4.1  24.6  355  16  8   7.3   4.0
 10000  -4.6  23.7  350  24 12   7.4   4.1 |  -3.5  25.7  355  16  8   7.9   4.3
  9750  -4.2  24.4  350  23 12   4.9   2.7 |  -3.0  26.6  355  15  8   7.7   4.2
  9500  -3.8  25.2  350  22 12   4.9   2.7 |  -2.4  27.7  355  15  8   7.6   4.2
  9250  -3.5  25.7  350  22 11   7.4   4.1 |  -1.9  28.6  355  15  8   8.4   4.6
  9000  -2.8  27.0  345  21 11  10.1   5.5 |  -1.2  29.8  360  14  7   9.3   5.1
  8750  -2.1  28.2  345  20 10   9.2   5.0 |  -0.6  30.9  355  14  7   8.9   4.9
  8500  -1.4  29.5  345  19 10   9.8   5.4 |   0.1  32.2  355  14  7   9.5   5.2
  8250  -0.7  30.7  345  19 10   8.4   4.6 |   0.8  33.4  355  14  7   7.7   4.2
  8000  -0.1  31.8  345  17  9   9.9   5.4 |   1.2  34.2  355  12  6   4.4   2.4
  7750   0.8  33.4  345  14  7  16.2   8.9 |   1.7  35.1  345   6  3   3.0   1.6
  7500     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7250     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  7000     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
  6750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC).  It is not continuously monitored nor updated after its initial
issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the Air Force Academy
in Colorado Springs, Colorado at

                   North Latitude:  38 deg 58 min 48.000 sec
                   West Longitude: 104 deg 49 min 12.000 sec
                   Elevation: 6572 feet (2003 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613


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