Soaring Guidance
Issued by NWS Pueblo, CO

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000
UXUS97 KPUB 201131
SRGPUB

Soaring Forecast
National Weather Service Pueblo, Colorado
0431 MST Saturday, December 20, 2014

This forecast is for Saturday, December 20, 2014:

If the trigger temperature of 44.7 F/7.1 C is reached...then
   Thermal Soaring Index....................... Poor
   Maximum rate of lift........................ 17 ft/min (0.1 m/s)
   Maximum height of thermals.................. 9638 ft MSL (2880 ft AGL)

Forecast maximum temperature................... 43.0 F/6.6 C
Time of trigger temperature.................... None
Time of overdevelopment........................ 1100 MST
Middle/high clouds during soaring window....... Overcast opaque high
Surface winds during soaring window............ 20 mph or less
Height of the -3 thermal index................. 7777 ft MSL (1019 ft AGL)
Thermal soaring outlook for Sunday 12/21....... Poor

Wave Soaring Index............................. Not available

Remarks...

Sunrise/Sunset.................... 07:13:33 / 16:39:55 MST
Total possible sunshine........... 9 hr 26 min 22 sec (566 min 22 sec)
Altitude of sun at 11:56:44 MST... 27.69 degrees

Upper air data from numerical model forecast valid on 12/20/2014 at 0500 MST

Freezing level.................. 7189 ft MSL (431 ft AGL)
Additional freezing level....... 9040 ft MSL (2282 ft AGL)
Convective condensation level... 16178 ft MSL (9420 ft AGL)
Lifted condensation level....... 13973 ft MSL (7215 ft AGL)
Lifted index.................... +5.2
K index......................... +11.6

Height  Temperature  Wind  Wind Spd  Lapse Rate  ConvectionT  Thermal  Lift Rate
ft MSL  deg C deg F   Dir   kt  m/s  C/km F/kft  deg C deg F   Index    fpm  m/s
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000  -57.8 -72.0   265   28   15   0.4   0.2      M     M       M      M    M
 45000  -57.2 -71.0   275   36   19   0.4   0.2      M     M       M      M    M
 40000  -56.6 -69.9   275   39   20   0.4   0.2      M     M       M      M    M
 38000  -56.7 -70.1   275   41   21  -2.9  -1.6      M     M       M      M    M
 36000  -58.4 -73.1   275   43   22  -2.9  -1.6      M     M       M      M    M
 34000  -60.2 -76.4   280   45   23   4.5   2.5      M     M       M      M    M
 32000  -55.0 -67.0   280   41   21   8.5   4.7      M     M       M      M    M
 30000  -49.9 -57.8   280   37   19   8.9   4.9   19.3  66.8    10.1      M    M
 29000  -47.2 -53.0   280   35   18   8.8   4.8   18.8  65.9     9.8      M    M
 28000  -44.6 -48.3   280   33   17   8.8   4.8   18.5  65.3     9.7      M    M
 27000  -41.9 -43.4   285   31   16   8.8   4.8   18.3  64.9     9.6      M    M
 26000  -39.3 -38.7   285   30   15   8.9   4.9   17.9  64.1     9.4      M    M
 25000  -36.6 -33.9   285   28   14   8.9   4.9   17.5  63.5     9.2      M    M
 24000  -34.0 -29.2   285   27   14   8.9   4.9   17.2  63.0     9.1      M    M
 23000  -31.3 -24.3   280   24   12   8.7   4.8   16.8  62.3     8.9      M    M
 22000  -28.7 -19.7   280   22   11   8.7   4.8   16.4  61.6     8.7      M    M
 21000  -26.1 -15.0   280   19   10   8.0   4.4   16.1  61.1     8.5      M    M
 20000  -24.1 -11.4   275   19   10   6.5   3.6   15.0  59.0     7.6      M    M
 19500  -23.2  -9.8   275   19   10   6.5   3.6   14.4  57.9     7.2      M    M
 19000  -22.2  -8.0   275   19   10   6.5   3.6   13.9  57.0     6.8      M    M
 18500  -21.2  -6.2   270   19   10   6.5   3.6   13.4  56.1     6.3      M    M
 18000  -20.3  -4.5   270   19   10   6.5   3.5   12.8  55.1     5.9      M    M
 17500  -19.3  -2.7   270   18    9   6.4   3.5   12.3  54.1     5.4      M    M
 17000  -18.3  -0.9   270   18    9   7.5   4.1   11.8  53.2     5.0      M    M
 16500  -16.6   2.1   265   17    9   7.6   4.2   11.2  52.2     4.5      M    M
 16000  -15.5   4.1   265   17    9   7.2   4.0   10.9  51.5     4.1      M    M
 15500  -14.5   5.9   270   16    8   7.2   4.0   10.4  50.8     3.7      M    M
 15000  -13.3   8.1   270   15    8   7.9   4.4   10.1  50.2     3.4      M    M
 14500  -12.2  10.0   275   14    7   8.0   4.4    9.8  49.6     3.2      M    M
 14000  -11.0  12.2   280   12    6   7.9   4.4    9.5  49.2     2.9      M    M
 13500   -9.8  14.4   285   12    6   7.9   4.3    9.2  48.6     2.6      M    M
 13000   -8.6  16.5   290   11    6   8.0   4.4    8.9  48.1     2.3      M    M
 12500   -7.4  18.7   295   10    5   8.5   4.7    8.7  47.6     2.1      M    M
 12000   -6.4  20.5   300    9    5   6.5   3.6    8.3  46.9     1.7      M    M
 11750   -5.8  21.6   300    9    5   7.9   4.4    8.1  46.5     1.5      M    M
 11500   -5.2  22.6   305    8    4   7.6   4.2    7.9  46.2     1.4      M    M
 11250   -4.6  23.7   305    8    4   7.7   4.2    7.7  45.9     1.2      M    M
 11000   -4.1  24.6   310    8    4   7.4   4.1    7.6  45.6     1.1      M    M
 10750   -3.5  25.7   310    7    4   7.3   4.0    7.4  45.3     0.9      M    M
 10500   -3.0  26.6   315    7    4   7.3   4.0    7.2  44.9     0.7      M    M
 10250   -2.4  27.7   315    6    3   7.2   4.0    7.0  44.6     0.5      M    M
 10000   -1.9  28.6   320    6    3   6.5   3.6    6.8  44.2     0.3      M    M
  9750   -1.4  29.5   325    6    3   6.6   3.6    6.5  43.7     0.1      M    M
  9500   -0.9  30.4   330    5    3   7.3   4.0    6.3  43.4    -0.1    201  1.0
  9250   -0.4  31.3   335    5    3   6.8   3.7    6.1  43.0    -0.3    178  0.9
  9000    0.1  32.2   340    5    3   5.7   3.1    5.9  42.5    -0.6    156  0.8
  8750    0.5  32.9   345    5    3   5.5   3.0    5.5  42.0    -0.9    137  0.7
  8500    1.0  33.8   350    6    3   7.1   3.9    5.3  41.5    -1.2    115  0.6
  8250    1.5  34.7   350    7    3   3.1   1.7    5.0  41.0    -1.5     94  0.5
  8000    1.4  34.5   350    8    4  -2.9  -1.6    4.2  39.5    -2.3     88  0.4
  7750    1.3  34.3   345    9    5   1.8   1.0    3.3  38.0    -3.1     85  0.4
  7500    1.5  34.7   335    9    4  -0.4  -0.2    2.8  37.1    -3.6     71  0.4
  7250    0.7  33.3   320    8    4 -23.4 -12.9    1.5  34.6    -5.0     88  0.4
  7000   -2.0  28.4   315    8    4 -44.3 -24.3   -1.4  29.4    -7.9    161  0.8
  6750      M     M     M    M    M     M     M      M     M       M      M    M

 * * * * * * Numerical weather prediction model forecast data valid * * * * * *

           12/20/2014 at 0800 MST          |       12/20/2014 at 1100 MST
                                           |
K index... +11.5  LI... +1.9               | K index... +16.6  LI... +1.6
CAPE... 0.0  CIN... M                      | CAPE... 0.0  CIN... 0.0
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -57.0 -70.6  265  27 14  -0.1  -0.0 | -57.2 -71.0  270  29 15  -0.3  -0.2
 45000 -57.1 -70.8  270  35 18  -0.1  -0.0 | -57.7 -71.9  275  37 19  -0.3  -0.2
 40000 -57.2 -71.0  285  38 20  -0.1  -0.1 | -56.8 -70.2  285  30 16   0.8   0.4
 38000 -57.5 -71.5  290  40 21  -1.4  -0.8 | -56.4 -69.5  290  28 15  -0.4  -0.2
 36000 -58.3 -72.9  275  41 21  -1.4  -0.8 | -56.7 -70.1  280  31 16  -0.4  -0.2
 34000 -59.2 -74.6  265  45 23   3.5   1.9 | -57.0 -70.6  270  36 18   2.0   1.1
 32000 -54.7 -66.5  265  42 22   7.5   4.1 | -54.1 -65.4  260  38 20   4.9   2.7
 30000 -50.1 -58.2  265  40 21   8.4   4.6 | -51.0 -59.8  255  42 21   8.0   4.4
 29000 -47.6 -53.7  265  39 20   8.4   4.6 | -48.4 -55.1  255  38 20   8.7   4.8
 28000 -45.1 -49.2  260  37 19   8.4   4.6 | -45.8 -50.4  255  35 18   8.8   4.8
 27000 -42.5 -44.5  260  36 19   8.3   4.6 | -43.1 -45.6  255  32 16   8.8   4.8
 26000 -39.8 -39.6  260  35 18   9.3   5.1 | -40.5 -40.9  260  30 15   8.7   4.8
 25000 -37.0 -34.6  260  33 17   9.3   5.1 | -37.9 -36.2  265  28 14   8.7   4.8
 24000 -34.2 -29.6  265  32 16   9.5   5.2 | -35.3 -31.5  265  26 14   8.7   4.8
 23000 -31.8 -25.2  260  30 16   7.7   4.2 | -32.8 -27.0  270  25 13   8.2   4.5
 22000 -29.5 -21.1  260  29 15   7.7   4.2 | -30.4 -22.7  275  24 12   8.2   4.5
 21000 -27.2 -17.0  260  28 14   7.7   4.2 | -27.9 -18.2  285  24 12   8.1   4.5
 20000 -24.9 -12.8  260  27 14   7.6   4.2 | -25.6 -14.1  285  23 12   7.9   4.3
 19500 -23.8 -10.8  260  26 13   7.6   4.2 | -24.4 -11.9  285  23 12   7.9   4.3
 19000 -22.6  -8.7  265  26 13   7.6   4.2 | -23.2  -9.8  285  23 12   7.9   4.3
 18500 -21.5  -6.7  265  25 13   7.5   4.1 | -22.0  -7.6  285  23 12   7.8   4.3
 18000 -20.4  -4.7  265  25 13   6.6   3.6 | -20.9  -5.6  285  23 12   7.1   3.9
 17500 -19.4  -2.9  265  24 12   6.6   3.6 | -19.9  -3.8  285  23 12   7.2   4.0
 17000 -18.4  -1.1  265  23 12   7.1   3.9 | -18.8  -1.8  280  22 11   6.7   3.7
 16500 -16.9   1.6  265  21 11   7.1   3.9 | -17.3   0.9  275  21 11   6.6   3.6
 16000 -15.8   3.6  265  20 10   7.7   4.2 | -16.3   2.7  275  20 10   7.2   3.9
 15500 -14.6   5.7  265  18  9   7.6   4.2 | -15.3   4.5  275  19 10   7.2   3.9
 15000 -13.5   7.7  270  17  9   7.9   4.3 | -14.2   6.4  280  18  9   7.2   3.9
 14500 -12.3   9.9  275  16  8   7.9   4.4 | -13.1   8.4  285  17  9   7.2   3.9
 14000 -11.1  12.0  280  14  7   7.7   4.2 | -12.1  10.2  290  16  8   7.5   4.1
 13500 -10.0  14.0  280  13  7   7.6   4.1 | -10.9  12.4  295  15  7   7.7   4.2
 13000  -8.9  16.0  280  11  6   7.8   4.3 |  -9.8  14.4  300  14  7   8.4   4.6
 12500  -7.7  18.1  280  10  5   8.3   4.6 |  -8.5  16.7  300  13  7   9.3   5.1
 12000  -6.7  19.9  280   8  4   6.2   3.4 |  -7.3  18.9  305  12  6   7.0   3.8
 11750  -6.2  20.8  280   8  4   7.1   3.9 |  -6.7  19.9  305  12  6   8.8   4.8
 11500  -5.7  21.7  275   7  4   7.1   3.9 |  -6.1  21.0  305  12  6   8.5   4.7
 11250  -5.1  22.8  275   6  3   6.7   3.7 |  -5.4  22.3  310  11  6   8.1   4.4
 11000  -4.7  23.5  275   6  3   6.6   3.6 |  -4.9  23.2  305  11  6   8.1   4.4
 10750  -4.1  24.6  270   5  3   6.9   3.8 |  -4.2  24.4  305  10  5   8.7   4.8
 10500  -3.6  25.5  270   5  2   6.9   3.8 |  -3.6  25.5  305  10  5   8.6   4.7
 10250  -3.1  26.4  265   4  2   6.8   3.7 |  -2.9  26.8  305   9  5   8.4   4.6
 10000  -2.6  27.3  260   3  2   5.9   3.2 |  -2.4  27.7  305   9  4   6.3   3.5
  9750  -2.2  28.0  255   3  1   6.3   3.5 |  -1.9  28.6  305   8  4   6.8   3.8
  9500  -1.7  28.9  245   2  1   7.4   4.1 |  -1.3  29.7  305   7  4   8.5   4.7
  9250  -1.1  30.0  235   2  1   6.8   3.7 |  -0.7  30.7  305   7  3   7.8   4.3
  9000  -0.7  30.7  225   1  1   5.2   2.8 |  -0.2  31.6  305   6  3   7.4   4.0
  8750  -0.3  31.5  220   1  1   6.0   3.3 |   0.4  32.7  305   6  3   6.4   3.5
  8500   0.3  32.5  250   1  0   8.5   4.6 |   0.8  33.4  305   6  3   5.6   3.0
  8250   0.8  33.4  290   1  1   5.0   2.7 |   1.2  34.2  305   6  3   6.4   3.5
  8000   1.0  33.8  305   2  1   0.3   0.2 |   1.7  35.1  310   6  3   7.2   3.9
  7750   1.0  33.8  310   3  2   3.7   2.0 |   2.2  36.0  310   6  3   6.9   3.8
  7500   1.4  34.5  300   4  2   1.6   0.9 |   2.7  36.9  305   5  3   6.3   3.5
  7250   0.8  33.4  290   5  3 -18.2 -10.0 |   3.1  37.6  300   4  2   5.3   2.9
  7000  -1.4  29.5  290   5  3 -37.0 -20.3 |   3.4  38.1  295   3  2   4.4   2.4
  6750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M

           12/20/2014 at 1400 MST          |       12/20/2014 at 1700 MST
                                           |
K index... +15.0  LI... +1.5               | K index... +12.6  LI... +2.1
CAPE... 0.0  CIN... M                      | CAPE... 0.0  CIN... -3.0
                                           |
Height Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate | Temperature  Wnd WndSpd  Lapse Rate
ft MSL deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft | deg C deg F  Dir kt m/s  C/km F/kft
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
 50000 -57.3 -71.1  280  28 14  -0.4  -0.2 | -57.2 -71.0  295  31 16  -0.4  -0.2
 45000 -57.9 -72.2  290  37 19  -0.4  -0.2 | -57.8 -72.0  300  39 20  -0.4  -0.2
 40000 -57.6 -71.7  295  34 18   0.2   0.1 | -57.4 -71.3  310  40 20   0.3   0.2
 38000 -57.3 -71.1  300  33 17   1.1   0.6 | -57.2 -71.0  315  40 21  -0.0  -0.0
 36000 -56.6 -69.9  305  34 18   1.2   0.6 | -57.2 -71.0  315  42 22  -0.0  -0.0
 34000 -55.9 -68.6  305  36 18   1.9   1.0 | -57.3 -71.1  315  43 22   1.4   0.8
 32000 -53.1 -63.6  320  39 20   4.9   2.7 | -53.9 -65.0  315  45 23   5.9   3.2
 30000 -50.2 -58.4  330  45 23   6.5   3.6 | -50.4 -58.7  315  47 24   7.8   4.3
 29000 -47.7 -53.9  330  42 21   8.4   4.6 | -47.5 -53.5  315  45 23   9.4   5.2
 28000 -45.2 -49.4  325  39 20   8.4   4.6 | -44.7 -48.5  315  44 23   9.4   5.2
 27000 -42.0 -43.6  320  35 18   8.5   4.6 | -41.2 -42.2  315  43 22   9.3   5.1
 26000 -39.5 -39.1  320  31 16   8.2   4.5 | -38.7 -37.7  315  38 20   8.0   4.4
 25000 -37.1 -34.8  310  28 15   8.2   4.5 | -36.3 -33.3  315  33 17   8.0   4.4
 24000 -34.6 -30.3  305  25 13   8.2   4.5 | -33.9 -29.0  315  28 14   8.0   4.4
 23000 -32.3 -26.1  295  23 12   7.9   4.3 | -31.5 -24.7  310  26 13   8.4   4.6
 22000 -29.9 -21.8  285  22 11   7.9   4.3 | -28.9 -20.0  305  25 13   8.4   4.6
 21000 -27.5 -17.5  275  21 11   8.0   4.4 | -26.4 -15.5  300  24 12   8.3   4.5
 20000 -25.1 -13.2  275  21 11   8.1   4.4 | -24.0 -11.2  295  23 12   8.0   4.4
 19500 -23.9 -11.0  280  20 10   8.1   4.4 | -22.8  -9.0  290  23 12   8.1   4.4
 19000 -22.7  -8.9  280  20 10   8.1   4.4 | -21.6  -6.9  285  23 12   8.0   4.4
 18500 -21.6  -6.9  280  20 10   8.0   4.4 | -20.4  -4.7  280  24 12   7.7   4.2
 18000 -20.5  -4.9  280  19 10   7.2   3.9 | -19.4  -2.9  280  23 12   6.0   3.3
 17500 -19.4  -2.9  280  19 10   7.3   4.0 | -18.5  -1.3  280  22 11   6.3   3.4
 17000 -18.4  -1.1  280  20 10   6.8   3.7 | -17.7   0.1  280  21 11   4.7   2.6
 16500 -17.4   0.7  285  20 10   6.7   3.7 | -17.0   1.4  280  20 10   4.7   2.6
 16000 -16.4   2.5  285  20 10   6.9   3.8 | -16.4   2.5  280  19 10   5.7   3.1
 15500 -15.4   4.3  290  20 10   7.1   3.9 | -15.4   4.3  285  20 10   6.8   3.7
 15000 -14.3   6.3  290  21 11   7.2   4.0 | -14.4   6.1  290  20 10   7.0   3.8
 14500 -13.2   8.2  295  21 11   8.0   4.4 | -13.3   8.1  290  20 10   7.8   4.3
 14000 -12.0  10.4  295  21 11   8.0   4.4 | -12.2  10.0  295  20 11   7.8   4.3
 13500 -10.2  13.6  295  21 11   8.3   4.6 | -10.4  13.3  290  18 10   8.1   4.4
 13000  -8.9  16.0  300  20 10   8.2   4.5 |  -9.3  15.3  290  17  9   8.2   4.5
 12500  -7.7  18.1  295  18 10   8.0   4.4 |  -8.0  17.6  280  14  7   8.3   4.6
 12000  -6.6  20.1  295  17  9   7.5   4.1 |  -6.8  19.8  270  12  6   7.9   4.3
 11750  -6.1  21.0  295  15  8   6.8   3.7 |  -6.3  20.7  265  11  6   7.2   3.9
 11500  -5.6  21.9  290  14  7   6.7   3.7 |  -5.8  21.6  260  10  5   7.1   3.9
 11250  -5.1  22.8  290  13  7   7.3   4.0 |  -5.2  22.6  255  10  5   7.7   4.2
 11000  -4.5  23.9  290  11  6   7.8   4.3 |  -4.6  23.7  250   9  5   8.3   4.6
 10750  -3.9  25.0  290  10  5   7.2   3.9 |  -4.1  24.6  245   8  4   7.6   4.2
 10500  -3.4  25.9  290   9  4   7.0   3.9 |  -3.5  25.7  240   7  4   7.2   3.9
 10250  -2.9  26.8  290   7  4   7.0   3.8 |  -3.0  26.6  235   6  3   7.4   4.1
 10000  -2.4  27.7  290   6  3   7.4   4.1 |  -2.5  27.5  225   6  3   6.6   3.6
  9750  -1.8  28.8  290   5  3   8.3   4.6 |  -2.0  28.4  220   5  3   6.7   3.7
  9500  -1.2  29.8  285   4  2   8.6   4.7 |  -1.4  29.5  210   5  3   7.6   4.1
  9250  -0.6  30.9  280   2  1   8.3   4.6 |  -0.9  30.4  205   5  3   7.1   3.9
  9000  -0.0  32.0  245   1  1   5.8   3.2 |  -0.4  31.3  195   6  3   5.3   2.9
  8750   0.4  32.7  195   2  1   7.6   4.2 |  -0.1  31.8  190   6  3   5.1   2.8
  8500   1.1  34.0  180   2  1  10.7   5.9 |   0.4  32.7  185   6  3   6.4   3.5
  8250   1.9  35.4  165   3  2   9.5   5.2 |   0.9  33.6  180   7  4   5.3   2.9
  8000   2.5  36.5  160   3  2   9.1   5.0 |   1.2  34.2  180   7  4   3.6   2.0
  7750   3.2  37.8  160   3  2   8.5   4.7 |   1.5  34.7  175   8  4   4.7   2.6
  7500   3.8  38.8  155   3  2   8.0   4.4 |   1.9  35.4  170   8  4   7.1   3.9
  7250   4.4  39.9  150   3  2   6.9   3.8 |   2.2  36.0  170   7  4  -3.3  -1.8
  7000   4.8  40.6  155   3  2   4.9   2.7 |   1.2  34.2  165   6  3 -21.0 -11.5
  6750     M     M    M   M  M     M     M |     M     M    M   M  M     M     M
________________________________________________________________________________

This product is issued twice per day, once by approximately 0630 MST/0730 MDT
(1330 UTC) and again by approximately 1830 MST/1930 MDT (0130 UTC).  It is not
continuously monitored nor updated after its initial issuance.

The information contained herein is based on rawinsonde observation and/or
numerical weather prediction model data taken near the Air Force Academy
in Colorado Springs, Colorado at

                   North Latitude:  38 deg 58 min 48.000 sec
                   West Longitude: 104 deg 49 min 12.000 sec
                   Elevation: 6572 feet (2003 meters)

and may not be representative of other areas along the Front Range of the
Colorado Rocky Mountains.  Note that some elevations in numerical weather
prediction models differ from actual station elevations, which can lead to
data which appear to be below ground.  Erroneous data such as these should
not be used.

The content and format of this report as well as the issuance times are subject
to change without prior notice.  Comments and suggestions are welcome and should
be directed to one of the addresses or phone numbers shown at the bottom of this
page.  To expedite a response to comments, be sure to mention your interest in
the soaring forecast.

DEFINITIONS:

CAPE (Convective Available Potential Energy) - An integrated measure of the
     energy available for convective development, also known as the positive
     area on a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  Larger
     values are indicative of greater instability and the possibility of
     stronger convective activity, including thunderstorms.  Values around or
     greater than 1000 suggest the possibility of severe weather should
     convective activity develop.

CIN (Convective Inhibition) - An integrated measure of the amount of energy
     needed to initiate convective activity, also known as the negative area on
     a thermodynamic diagram.  Units are Joules per kilogram.  The more negative
     this number, the more energy is required to initiate convection.  This
     inhibitive energy can be overcome through surface heating, cooling aloft,
     lifting mechanisms (orographic, frontal, gravity waves, etc.)

Convective Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average saturation mixing ratio in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass,
     if heated sufficiently from below, will rise dry adiabatically until it
     just becomes saturated.  It estimates the base of cumulus clouds that are
     produced by surface heating only.

Convection Temperature (ConvectionT) - The surface temperature required to make
     the airmass dry adiabatic up to the given level.  It can be considered a
     "trigger temperature" for that level.

Freezing Level - The height where the temperature is zero degrees Celsius.

Height of Stable Layer - The height (between 12,000 and 18,000 feet above
     mean sea level) where the smallest lapse rate exists.  The location and
     existence of this feature is important in the generation of mountain
     waves.

K Index - A measure of stability which combines the temperature difference
     between approximately 5,000 and 18,000 feet above the surface, the amount
     of moisture at approximately 5,000 feet above the surface, and a measure
     of the dryness at approximately 10,000 feet above the surface.  Larger
     positive numbers indicate more instability and a greater likelihood of
     thunderstorm development.  One interpretation of K index values regarding
     soaring in the western United States is given in WMO Technical Note 158
     and is reproduced in the following table:

          below -10    no or weak thermals
           -10 to 5    dry thermals or 1/8 cumulus with moderate thermals
            5 to 15    good soaring conditions
           15 to 20    good soaring conditions with occasional showers
           20 to 30    excellent soaring conditions, but increasing
                       probability of showers and thunderstorms
           above 30    more than 60 percent probability of thunderstorms

Lapse Rate - The change with height of the temperature. Negative values indicate
     inversions.

Lifted Condensation Level - The height to which an air parcel possessing the
     average dew point in the lowest 4000 feet of the airmass and the forecast
     maximum temperature must be lifted dry adiabatically to attain saturation.

Lifted Index (LI) - The difference between the environmental temperature at a
     level approximately 18,000 feet above the surface and the temperature of
     an air parcel lifted dry adiabatically from the surface to its lifted
     condensation level and then pseudoadiabatically thereafter to this same
     level.  The parcel`s initial temperature is the forecast maximum
     temperature and its dew point is the average dew point in the lowest 4000
     feet of the airmass.  Negative values are indicative of instability with
     positive values showing stable conditions.

Lift Rate - An experimental estimate of the strength of thermals.  It is
     computed the same way as the maximum rate of lift but uses the actual
     level rather than the maximum height of thermals in the calculation.
     Also, none of the empirical adjustments based on cloudiness and K-index
     are applied to these calculations.

Maximum Height of Thermals - The height where the dry adiabat through the
     forecast maximum temperature intersects the environmental temperature.

Maximum Rate of Lift - An estimate of the maximum strength of thermals.  It
     is computed from an empirical formula which combines the expected maximum
     height of thermals with the difference in the environmental temperatures
     between the maximum height of thermals and the temperature 4,000 feet
     above the ground.  After this computation, further empirical adjustments
     are made based on the value of the K-index and the amount and opacity of
     middle and high level cloudiness expected between the time of trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment.

Middle/High Clouds - The amount and opacity of middle (altostratus, altocumulus)
     or high (cirrus, cirrostratus, cirrocumulus) clouds.  Broken means that
     between 60% and 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud, with overcast
     conditions occurring when more than 90% of the sky is covered by the cloud.
     Thin implies that the clouds are predominantly transparent, meaning that
     some sunlight is reaching the ground, in contrast to opaque which suggests
     that little sunlight is reaching the ground.

Potential Height of Wave - The minimum of the following two heights:
     1. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind direction changes by 30 degrees or more
     2. Level above the height of stable layer (or 14,000 feet if none exists)
        where the wind speed no longer increases with height

PVA/NVA - Positive vorticity advection (PVA)/negative vorticity advection (NVA)
     on the 500 millibar isobaric surface (approximately 18,000 feet above mean
     sea level).  Weak PVA has been shown to assist in mountain wave soaring.

Soaring Window - The time between the time the trigger temperature is reached
                 and the time of overdevelopment.

Thermal Index - The difference between the environmental temperature and the
     temperature at a particular level determined by following the dry adiabat
     through the forecast maximum temperature up to that level.  Negative values
     are indicative of thermal lift.

Thermal Soaring Index - An adjective rating (for sailplanes) based on the
     computed maximum rate of lift, and the wind speed and middle and high
     cloud cover expected during the soaring window (the time of the trigger
     temperature and the time of overdevelopment) according to the following:

                 Maximum rate of lift        Adjective Rating
                      >= 800 fpm                 Excellent
                 >= 400 and < 800 fpm              Good
                 >= 200 and < 400 fpm              Fair
                       < 200 fpm                   Poor

Time of Overdevelopment - The time one or more of the following phenomena,
     which essentially shut off thermal lift, is expected to occur:
     1. formation of broken to overcast convective cloud cover
     2. formation of scattered to numerous downbursts
     3. initiation of widespread precipitation

Time of Trigger Temperature - The time the surface temperature is expected to
     reach the trigger temperature.

Trigger Temperature - The surface temperature required to make the first 4000
     feet of the atmosphere dry adiabatic.

Wave Soaring Index - An empirical, adjective rating (for sailplanes) which
     attempts to combine a variety of phenomena important in mountain wave
     soaring into a single index number.  Objective points are assigned to
     these phenomena: wind speed and direction at 14,000 ft MSL, the static
     stability in the 12,000-18,000 ft MSL layer, the wind speed gradient above
     the stable layer, jet stream location and frontal and upper trough
     movements.

042613


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