611
FNUS53 KDTX 081955
FWFDTX

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Michigan
National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI
355 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.DISCUSSION...Warmer (around 70 north to lower 80s south) and drying
out today, as min RH falls to 30 to 40 percent across most of
southeast Michigan. It will be breezy however, with gust sof 25-35
mph. A low pressure system will bring the next chance for rain to
the area Thursday. Northeast winds on Thursday will contribute to
much cooler temperatures in the 50s.

MIZ047-048-053-060-061-082115-
Midland-Bay-Saginaw-Shiawassee-Genesee-
Including the cities of Midland-Bay City-Saginaw-Owosso-Flint
355 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers after 2 am. Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....44-49.
   24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........86-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......5 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......520-720 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (27).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers.
                    Chance of precipitation 40 percent.
Max temperature.....52-56.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........48-58 percent.
   24 hr trend......20 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......3670-4170 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (692).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) until 2 am, then
                    partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........85-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest around 5
                    mph after midnight.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......380-580 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....58-64.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........36-46 percent.
   24 hr trend......17 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6450-6950 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph becoming northwest early in
                    the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (706).
Pcpn amount.........None.


$$

MIZ049-054-055-062-082115-
Huron-Tuscola-Sanilac-Lapeer-
Including the cities of Bad Axe-Caro-Sandusky-Lapeer
355 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) until 2 am, then
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Min temperature.....41-46.
   24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........93-100 percent.
   24 hr trend......Unchanged.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 5 to 10 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......860-1060 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 10 to 15 mph becoming around 10 mph
                    after midnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (24).
Pcpn amount.........None.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 30 percent.
Max temperature.....52-56.
   24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........56-66 percent.
   24 hr trend......11 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......3730-4230 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast around 15 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph early in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (648).
Pcpn amount.........0.11-0.25 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of
                    precipitation 20 percent.
Min temperature.....40-45.
   24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........86-95 percent.
   24 hr trend......7 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......380-580 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
Max temperature.....56-62.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........38-48 percent.
   24 hr trend......18 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6730-7230 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (804).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-082115-
St Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-
Including the cities of Port Huron-Howell-Pontiac-Warren-Ann
Arbor-Detroit-Adrian-Monroe
355 PM EDT Wed May 8 2024

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent) until 2 am, then
                    cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of rain
                    showers after 2 am until 5 am, then chance of
                    showers. Chance of precipitation 50
                    percent.
Min temperature.....46-50.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........87-97 percent.
   24 hr trend......8 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......North around 10 mph becoming northeast in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......920-1120 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph becoming northeast in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (31).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely.
                    Chance of precipitation 70 percent.
Max temperature.....54-60.
   24 hr trend......22 degrees cooler.
Min humidity........57-67 percent.
   24 hr trend......34 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......Northeast 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......2490-2990 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 15 to 20 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (517).
Pcpn amount.........0.26-0.50 in.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers until 11 pm. Chance of precipitation 30
                    percent.
Min temperature.....42-46.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler.
Max humidity........84-94 percent.
   24 hr trend......2 percent wetter.
20-foot winds.......North 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......600-800 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North around 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (14).
Pcpn amount.........0.06-0.10 in.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....60-64.
   24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer.
Min humidity........37-47 percent.
   24 hr trend......21 percent drier.
20-foot winds.......Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......6060-6560 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 10 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (743).
Pcpn amount.........0.01-0.05 in.


$$


.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...

.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper 50s. West
winds around 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper
60s. West winds around 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows
around 50. Highs in the lower 70s. Southwest winds around 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower
70s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the mid
50s. Highs in the mid 70s.

$$

DRK