Text Products for FWS Issued by MHX

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Newport/Morehead, NC
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FNUS72 KMHX 171043
FWSMHX

Spot Forecast for Access Triangle...MCAS Cherry Point
National Weather Service Newport/Morehead City NC
643 AM EDT Wed Apr 17 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EDT on April 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions
or concerns about this forecast, contact the National Weather
Service in Newport at (252)223-2328.

.DISCUSSION...
Stalled frontal boundary offshore will lift back north today,
ushering in broad warm southwesterly winds across the region
this afternoon. Winds will increase in the afternoon and remain
elevated through the overnight hours. Forecast min RH is around 50%,
but reasonable worst case scenario is near 40%. A few
spotty showers are possible overnight, although chances are low
(20-25%).

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 81.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph with
                    gusts to around 18 mph early in the morning.
Mixing Height.......Max 3100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 7 mph increasing to around 16 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 36110 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 6.
ADI.................Max 45.
Stability class.....2.
Haines Index........3 to 5 or very low to moderate potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.05 to 30.16 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........63  66  65  61  59  63  72  76  80  87  91
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............62  64  67  71  74  77  79  80  80  78  77
RH..............88  85  82  73  65  58  53  50  50  53  57
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   4   4   4   4   5   6   7   8   9   9
20 FT wind gust.5   5   5   5   5           9   14  14  18
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.5 1.1 1.2 1.4 1.8 2.7 3.1 2.8 2.1 1.4
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   SW  SW  S   S
Transp wind spd.6   7   8   6   7   8   10  12  13  14  16
LVORI...........6   5   4   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   2
ADI.............6   7   11  9   13  18  35  45  39  35  29
Haines index....3   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.2   3   9   7   10  14  28  36  36  29  23
Sfc pres (in)...014 015 016 015 014 013 011 008 007 005 005

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers after 3
                    am.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 65.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 9 mph.
Mixing Height.......Min 400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 13 to 17 mph.
Vent Rate...........Min 5865 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Min 11.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........30.02 to 30.07 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........91  90  90  91  92  93  93  92  92  89  83  81
Weather cov.....                                    SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                    RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............74  72  69  68  68  68  67  67  67  66  66  66
RH..............61  67  72  76  78  79  79  78  77  78  80  81
20 FT wind dir..S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   9   9   9   8   8   7   7   7
20 FT wind gust.14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  14  9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.5
Transp wind dir.S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W
Transp wind spd.17  16  16  16  16  16  17  16  14  13  14  13
LVORI...........2   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.............25  14  14  14  14  14  15  14  12  11  12  11
Haines index....5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5   5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.20  7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6
Sfc pres (in)...004 005 005 006 007 007 006 005 004 003 002 002

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny. Slight chance of showers early in
                    the morning.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 84.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing Height.......Max 4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 13 to 16 mph.
Vent Rate...........Max 70955 mph-ft.
LVORI...............Max 4.
ADI.................Max 83.
Stability class.....3.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Sfc pressure........29.92 to 30.04 inHg.

TIME (EDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky (%).........69     35     16     9      7      8
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............66     67     74     79     82     83
RH..............81     81     64     54     47     44
20 ft wind......SW 7   SW 7   SW 8   W 8    W 6    W 6
20 ft wind gust.9      9      14     14     9      9
Mix hgt (ft)....500    700    1900   3300   4700   4200
Transport wind..SW 13  SW 15  W 16   W 13   W 15   W 14
LVORI...........4      4      1      1      1      1
ADI.............11     16     39     51     83     70
Haines index....5      4      4      4      5      5
Vrate mph-ft/1K.6      10     30     42     71     59
Sfc pres (in)...30.03  30.04  30.04  30.00  29.96  29.92

$$
Forecaster...Simms
Requested by...Steven Shephard
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411191.0/MHX
.DELDT 04/17/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL steven.shephard@usmc.mil
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
