Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Raleigh/Durham, NC

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000
FNUS72 KRAH 221157 AAA
FWSRAH

SPOT FORECAST FOR HARDAWAY BURN  3...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RALEIGH NC
657 AM EST SAT NOV 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1200 EST ON NOVEMBER 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...THE FORECAST CONDITIONS FOR MIXING HEIGHT AND TRANSPORT
WINDS ARE AT THE VERY TOP END OF EXPECTED CONDITIONS THIS AFTERNOON.

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 55.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING SOUTH
                    AROUND 5 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE LATE.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-2000 FT AGL...INCREASING TO 2400 FT AGL
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN DECREASING TO 300
                    FT AGL LATE.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 2 TO 10 MPH...INCREASING TO 12 TO 13 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.

TIME (EST)          NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............12     12     15
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................49     53     53
RH..................28     23     24
20 FT WIND..........S 3    S 4    S 4
20 FT WIND GUST.....10     10     10
MIX HGT (FT)........1400   2400   2400
TRANSPORT WIND......S 9    S 12   S 12
LVORI...............2      2      2
ADI.................11     24     9

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT)...THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 35.
MAX HUMIDITY........85 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5 TO 13 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
SKY (%).............17     21     30     40     46     64
WEATHER COV.........
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
TSTM COV............
TEMP................47     44     41     40     39     38
RH..................37     49     57     62     70     79
20 FT WIND..........S 2    S 2    S 1    S 1    S 1    SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      5                           5
MIX HGT (FT)........300    300    300    300    300    300
TRANSPORT WIND......S 13   S 13   S 12   S 10   S 8    SE 6
LVORI...............2      2      3      3      3      5
ADI.................9      5      5      5      4      2

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). A CHANCE OF RAIN IN THE
                    MORNING. RAIN IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.
MIN HUMIDITY........86 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........
 SLOPE/VALLEY.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS...BECOMING EAST 5 TO 7
                    MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING
                    AND AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......300-1300 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 14 MPH...INCREASING TO SOUTHEAST 28
                    TO 30 MPH.

TIME (EST)          6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
SKY (%).............82     88     92     97     98     99
WEATHER COV.........       CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY
WEATHER TYPE........NONE   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN   RAIN
TSTM COV............
TEMP................37     39     47     49     51     54
RH..................89     92     86     89     89     90
20 FT WIND..........E 2    E 3    E 4    NE 4   E 5    E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.....5      10     10     10     15     20
MIX HGT (FT)........300    300    600    1000   1300   1300
TRANSPORT WIND......E 5    E 6    E 12   E 17   SE 23  SE 28
LVORI...............5      6      4      4      4      4
ADI.................2      7      15     15     34     33

$$
FORECASTER...FIGURSKEY
REQUESTED BY...JEREMY CALLICUTT
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141122.HARDA.03/RAH



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