Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Aberdeen, SD

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FNUS73 KABR 081133
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Windsor NPB...MN DNR
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
633 AM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 CDT on May 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Generally, the whole region will be under a broad
area of low pressure today. While wetting rains are not expected,
a shower or two may pass over the burn site, especially late this
afternoon through the evening. Northeast winds will be light
through most of the day, but as showers develop gusts to 20 mph
will be possible.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (35-45 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........42 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 6 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......1700-7400 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northeast 7 to 15 mph shifting to the east 17
                    to 20 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (10000 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (91300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to very good (116200
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or (low) to (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........18  24  22  32  41  49  59  62
Weather cov.....                        SCH SCH
Weather type....                        RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   20  20
Temp............57  59  61  64  66  67  67  67
RH..............62  57  53  48  43  42  42  43
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..6   8   10  12  12  13  13  13
20 FT wind gust.7   12  14  15  16  17  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 2.7 3.5 4.8 6.1 7.4 7.4 6.8
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the evening, then chance
                    of rain showers early in the evening.
CWR.................6 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........86 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......400-4900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (74200 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (3600 knot-ft) late in the
                    night.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or (low) to (moderate).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........67  65  68  57  59  51  45  32  26  30  38  45
Weather cov.....SCH SCH CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  30  30  10  0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............65  64  62  58  57  55  54  52  51  50  49  48
RH..............46  50  58  69  72  77  80  83  86  83  86  86
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N
20 FT wind spd..13  10  9   9   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7
20 FT wind gust.18  17  16  15  13  14  16  17  16  17  16  14
Mix hgt (kft)...4.9 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.6
Smoke Dispersal.GD  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (30-40 percent).
CWR.................3 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 7 to 10 mph.
Mixing height.......600-6300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 9 to 17 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (6300 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (93800 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or (very low) to (low).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........48  48  42  31  30  29  32  35  35  32  28  24
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10
Temp............48  48  49  51  53  56  58  61  62  63  64  65
RH..............86  86  80  74  69  64  59  53  52  46  45  43
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..8   7   8   7   7   7   8   10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.14  12  12  9   9   10  12  14  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.7 1.2 1.4 1.7 2.7 3.8 4.7 5.5 6.1 6.3 5.9
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  GD  GD  GD

$$
Forecaster...Wise
Requested by...Tyler Larson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413464.0/ABR
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tyler.k.larson@state.mn.us