519
FNUS73 KBIS 082219
FWSBIS

Spot Forecast for Brazda Rx...ND Game and Fish
National Weather Service Bismarck ND
519 PM CDT Wed May 8 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 09.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Drier weather is expected at the burn site on Thursday. There may be
a few rain showers passing to the west, but those should avoid the
burn site.  Minimum humidity values will dip to around 43 percent as
temperatures rise to around 67 degrees. A few light rain showers will be
possible in the evening as a weak disturbance quickly moves through the
region.

Warmer and drier conditions are expected at the burn site on Friday.
In addition, northwest winds will also be on the increase, with
gusts to 25 mph.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 9 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......7100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor early in the morning increasing to good in the
                    afternoon increasing to very good in the afternoon.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........38  30  22  14  15  20  22  21  39  33  30  29
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%). 0  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............45  44  47  51  55  59  62  63  65  65  66  66
RH..............89  93  83  74  64  57  50  48  45  45  43  43
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..9   9   9   9   10  11  12  12  13  14  13  13
20 FT wind gust.13  13  14  14  14  15  15  15  18  18  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.5 1.0 2.3 4.3 5.6 6.7 7.0 7.0 7.1 6.9
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.14  13  13  14  17  20  20  20  21  21  20  21
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3


.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy. Slight chance of rain showers in
                    the evening.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........76 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 12 to 21 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Decreasing to poor.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for
                    large plume dominated fire growth.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 13 to 18 mph with gusts to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......8200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 15 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.

$$
Forecaster...SCHILD
Requested by...Levi Jacobson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2413543.0/BIS
.DELDT 05/08/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL lcjacobson@nd.gov