Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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000
FNUS71 KCTP 220823
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for 134...Pgc
National Weather Service State College PA
423 AM EDT Mon Apr 22 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on April 22.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Chilly start today, then mostly sunny and warmer with minRH forecast
around 20% this afternoon.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-5 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 59.
Min Humidity........21 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
Mixing Height.......6900 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................55 to 60.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  2   2   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  41  45  50  53  55  57  57  58  59
RH................  52  43  34  29  25  22  22  22  21
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   7   7   7   7   7   7   6   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  12  14  14  13  13  11  11  11
Mix Hgt (kft).....  2.1 4.5 5.0 5.4 5.8 6.2 6.5 6.8 6.9
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  N
Transp Wind Spd...  12  20  20  17  18  17  16  15  14
LVORI.............  2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  60  60  60  60  60  60  55  55  55
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly clear (10-20 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Min Temperature.....Around 35.
Max Humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing Height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....North 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................2 to 5.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  1   1   1   2   3   4   5   7   8   14  21  27
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  57  54  48  46  43  41  40  39  38  37  35  35
RH................  23  26  34  40  45  48  52  54  54  56  64  64
20 FT Wind Dir....  NW  N   N   NE  E   SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  6   4   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT Wind Gust...  8   6                       4   4       4   4
Mix Hgt (kft).....  6.7 1.2 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW  N   N   E   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  12  7   6   5   5   5   6   7   7   7   7   8
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   3
ADI...............  5   5   5   2   2   2   3   3   3   4   4   4
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TUESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
LAL.................No Tstms.
Max Temperature.....Around 65.
Min Humidity........34 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 10 to 15 mph with
                    gusts to around 20 mph early in the morning.
Mixing Height.......5900 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South 10 to 20 mph increasing to southwest 20 to
                    25 mph late in the morning.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................10 early in the morning increasing to 83 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  34  40  47  49  52  54  56  59  61  65  69  74
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
LAL...............  1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp..............  36  37  41  45  51  57  59  61  63  63  64  64
RH................  61  61  57  53  44  38  37  36  35  35  34  34
20 FT Wind Dir....  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  3   4   5   6   8   9   11  12  12  13  13  12
20 FT Wind Gust...  4       6   10  12  14  18  18  20  20  20  20
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.4 0.6 1.2 1.9 3.6 4.4 5.1 5.9 5.5 5.2 4.9
Transp Wind Dir...  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp Wind Spd...  8   8   9   13  16  21  22  24  25  24  23  22
LVORI.............  3   3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  10  10  10  55  55  55  83  83  83  77  77  77
Haines Index......  4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...Pgc
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2411626.0/CTP
.DELDT 04/22/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Mattwall@pa.gov


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