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000
FNUS73 KDLH 111130
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Kettle Lake Burnt Island Rx...MN DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
630 AM CDT Thu Apr 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 CDT on April 11.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Not too bad of a day with northwest winds and the chance for
showers to increase through the day. Showers should increase in
coverage after 3 PM and then decrease after 6 PM. There`s a small
chance of thunderstorms, almost too small to mention. MinRH
shouldn`t get too low today and cloud cover will be hit or miss
with plenty of them to contend with.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning. Chance of
                    rain showers late in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 57.
Min humidity........45 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 5 increasing to 13 mph this afternoon.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 5100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (3900-19000 knot-ft) increasing to
                    good to excellent (53900-79500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.03 inches.

TIME (CDT)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20  20  20  20  30  40  50  50  40
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............40  42  44  48  51  54  55  55  55  56  55
RH..............85  84  82  71  63  54  51  49  47  45  47
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..4   6   7   8   9   9   10  10  11  12  12
20 FT wind gust.12  14  13  14  14  14  15  16  18  19  19
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.6 1.2 1.6 2.8 4.3 5.1 4.9 5.0 4.1 3.4
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.12  12  13  14  15  15  15  16  18  17  18
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10004   6   13  19  36  56  66  69  80  61  54

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers early in the evening, then slight
                    chance of rain showers in the evening.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 37.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 12 to 13 mph with gusts to
                    around 22 mph.
Mixing height.......3100 ft AGL decreasing to 1800 ft AGL early in
                    the evening.
Transport winds.....North 15 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (43700-55000 knot-ft) decreasing to fair
                    to good (16100-32100 knot-ft) early in the
                    evening.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).30     20     20     0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............54     49     45     43     41     39
RH..............48     56     65     70     76     79
20 ft wind......N 12   N 12   NW 11  NW 11  NW 11  NW 11
20 ft wind gust.19     21     22     18     18     21
Mix hgt (ft)....3100   1100   1300   1300   1300   1800
Transport wind..N 21   N 17   N 18   N 17   NW 20  N 21
Haines index....4      3      3      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/100055     17     20     20     23     32

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 12 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......3500 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Northwest 21 to 25 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (29600 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
                    (78600-100500 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY  MCLEAR CLEAR
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0      0      0      0      0      0
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............38     39     43     48     52     54
RH..............82     79     65     49     39     35
20 ft wind......NW 11  NW 11  NW 12  NW 13  NW 13  NW 13
20 ft wind gust.18     19     20     21     21     21
Mix hgt (ft)....1600   2400   3100   3900   4500   5000
Transport wind..NW 21  NW 25  NW 24  NW 23  NW 24  NW 23
Haines index....3      3      3      3      3      3
SDspl kt-ft/100030     52     65     79     96     101

$$
Forecaster...Jonathan
Requested by...Josh Koelsch
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410354.0/DLH
.DELDT 04/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Joshua.koelsch@state.mn.us