Text Products for FWS Issued by DLH

Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Duluth, MN
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
000
FNUS73 KDLH 151054
FWSDLH

Spot Forecast for Cross Lake West Rx...MN DNR
National Weather Service Duluth MN
554 AM CDT Mon Apr 15 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on April 15.
If there are questions or concerns with this forecast, or if
conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National
Weather Service in Duluth at 218-729-0653.

.DISCUSSION...

Light and variable winds early this morning are expected to shift
to the north-northeast around 6 mph by the planned ignition time
of 1200. Transport winds from the north is expected to keep smoke
from impacting MN-73. As for MN-210 to the south, impacts will
likely be minimal as the mixing height increases to around
4,000ft AGL and smoke dispersal improves. A descending dry layer
combined with deep mixing today will result in min RH today dropping
to 20 percent in the early to mid afternoon. Cloud cover will
increase through the afternoon from the southwest with surface
winds veering to the northeast and eventually east by this
evening.

Widespread rain showers with strong easterly winds are expected
tomorrow as a slow-moving low pressure system moves into the
region.


.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......1400 ft AGL increasing to 4400 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....North 6 to 13 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2000-12300 knot-ft) increasing to fair to
                    good (20900-38200 knot-ft) in the late morning
                    and afternoon.
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky cover.......MCR MCR MCR PC  PC  PC  PC  PC  MC  MC  MC  MC
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  0   0   10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............36  38  40  47  52  56  58  60  61  62  62  62
RH..............66  60  55  47  38  31  27  24  22  21  20  21
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   4   5   6   6   6   6   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.6   5   6   8   9   9   11  11  11  9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 1.4 2.8 3.5 3.8 4.0 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.2
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   10  13  12  12  9   8   7   7   6
Haines index....5   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
SDspl kt-ft/10002   2   3   12  31  35  38  32  30  26  26  21

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (50-60 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 40.
Max humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 6 to 14 mph.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL decreasing to 2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 6 to 15 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph
                    overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to fair (5700-20300 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  PCLDY
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     10     10
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............60     55     50     47     45     42
RH..............23     30     39     43     49     50
20 ft wind......E 6    E 6    E 7    E 8    E 10   E 12
20 ft wind gust.9      11     14     15     18     20
Mix hgt (ft)....4100   600    500    600    800    800
Transport wind..NE 6   E 10   E 13   E 16   E 15   E 17
Haines index....5      4      4      4      5      5
SDspl kt-ft/100020     6      6      9      10     13

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the afternoon. Rain
                    showers likely late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 15 to 23 mph. Gusts up to 33 mph
                    increasing to 39 mph in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 21 to 29 mph increasing to 31 to 37 mph
                    late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair to good (15800-33600 knot-ft) increasing
                    to good to excellent (55000-66200 knot-ft).
Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
Pcpn amount.........0.04 inches.

TIME (CDT)      6 AM   8 AM   10 AM  NOON   2 PM   4 PM
Sky cover.......MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY  MCLDY
Weather cov.....                            S CHC  LIKELY
Weather type....NONE   NONE   NONE   NONE   RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10     10     10     10     20     60
LAL.............1      1      1      1      1      1
Temp............40     42     47     51     53     51
RH..............59     61     52     45     41     41
20 ft wind......E 15   E 17   E 19   E 20   E 21   E 23
20 ft wind gust.22     26     29     30     32     35
Mix hgt (ft)....900    1300   1700   2100   2100   2000
Transport wind..E 21   E 25   E 29   E 33   E 36   E 37
Haines index....5      5      5      5      4      4
SDspl kt-ft/100016     28     42     60     66     63

$$
Forecaster...Woody
Requested by...Joshua Koelsch
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410831.0/DLH
.DELDT 04/15/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Joshua.koelsch@state.mn.us
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office
