Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Grand Junction, CO

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50

000
FXUS65 KGJT 021900
AFDGJT

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GRAND JUNCTION CO
1200 PM MST TUE FEB 2 2016

.UPDATE...
ISSUED AT 1200 PM MST TUE FEB 2 2016

UPDATED TO ALLOW THE REMAINING WINTER STORM WARNINGS TO EXPIRE.
LATEST SNOTEL DATA INDICATED THAT ACCUMULATIONS THROUGH THE
MORNING HAVE BEEN LIGHT. THOUGH LIGHT SNOW WILL CONTINUE IN THE
MOUNTAINS...ACCUMULATIONS WILL REMAIN LIGHT.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT)
ISSUED AT 453 PM MST MON FEB 1 2016

THE WINTER STORM THAT MOVED THROUGH THE AREA YESTERDAY WAS
CENTERED OVER SW KANSAS EARLY THIS MORNING AND MOVING SLOWLY ENE.
PLENTY OF MOISTURE CONTINUED TO WRAP AROUND THE WEST SIDE OF THE
LOW AND OVER THE FORECAST AREA. SNOWFALL WITH SOME ENHANCED
OROGRAPHICS ON NW FACING SLOPES WILL CONTINUE THIS MORNING.
WARNINGS AND ADVISORIES THAT ARE NOT FAVORABLE IN NORTHWEST FLOW
HAVE BEEN CANCELLED.

THEN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING A WEAK SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL DROP
DOWN THE WEST SIDE OF THE LOW AND SLOW THE CLEARING OVER WESTERN
CO...AS EASTERN UTAH AND THE LOWER ELEVATIONS OF THE FOUR CORNERS
SEE SKIES BECOME PARTLY CLOUDY. THE SNOWFALL WILL GRADUALLY
DECREASE FROM WEST TO EAST TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

.LONG TERM...(WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY)
ISSUED AT 453 AM MST TUE FEB 2 2016

THE FORECAST AREA WILL BE IN BETWEEN WEATHER SYSTEMS WEDNESDAY
NIGHT. THIS WILL BE BRIEF AS THE NEXT SHORT WAVE ENERGY IS
EXPECTED TO TRACK ACROSS THE GREAT BASIN AND SLIDE INTO WRN
COLORADO BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON. MODELS ARE STRUGGLING WITH THE
DETAILS WITH THIS NEXT WAVE...OPEN WAVE OR DOES IT BECOME A CLOSED
CIRCULATION. EITHER WAY IT APPEARS THAT MUCH OF THE FORECAST AREA
STAND A DECENT SHOT OF RECEIVING LIGHT SNOWFALL. BOOSTED POPS AREA
WIDE ON THURSDAY AND THURSDAY NIGHT.

AFTER PASSAGE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED WAVE...RIDGE BEGINS TO AMPLIFY
ALONG THE WEST COAST WITH A DOWNSTREAM RIDGE. NORTHWEST FLOW
PREVAILS THROUGH THE LONG TERM PERIOD. FAST MOVING WAVES MAY CLIP
THE PARK/GORE RANGES FOR FLURRIES OR LIGHT SNOW...OTHERWISE DRY
WEATHER IS EXPECTED. COLDER AIR SEEPS INTO THE REGION ON
SATURDAY...BUT TEMPS MODERATE AS WARMER AIR ALOFT SPREADS INTO THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES.

&&

.AVIATION...(FOR THE 18Z TAFS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON)
ISSUED AT 1001 AM MST TUE FEB 2 2016

FOR THE MOST PART IMPROVING CONDITIONS CAN BE EXPECTED TODAY.
HOWEVER THERE ARE AREAS THAT CONTINUE TO SEE PERIODS OF SNOW/LOW
CIGS/LOW VSBY INTO THE EVENING. THE MOUNTAINS AND NORTHWEST CO
VALLEYS...ESPECIALLY NORTH AND NORTHWEST FACING SLOPES AND
DRAINAGES WILL BE FAVORED FOR THE BEST SNOWFALL. THAT SAID
SNOWFALL WILL GENERALLY BE ON THE LIGHT SIDE WITH A FEW BRIEF AND
HEAVIER CONVECTIVE SHOWERS 20Z-24Z. KASE AND KTEX WILL HAVE
PERIODS OF LIGHT SNOW TODAY DUE TO THE WIND FLOW. MOUNTAIN TAF
SITES WILL STAY BELOW ILS BREAKPOINTS. VFR CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED ACROSS THE LOWER VALLEYS...HOWEVER A BRIEF SNOW SHOWER
MAY REDUCE VIS/CIGS TO MVFR. MOUNTAIN OBSCURATION WILL BE COMMON.

IMPROVEMENT ACROSS THE ENTIRE CWA IS EXPECTED BETWEEN 00Z-06Z
THIS EVENING WITH RISING OR DISSIPATING CIGS...AND DECREASING
SNOW.

&&

.GJT WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...

CO...WINTER STORM WARNING UNTIL NOON MST TODAY FOR COZ003-009-010-012-
     013-018.

UT...&&

$$

UPDATE...NL
SHORT TERM...CC
LONG TERM...PF
AVIATION...EH


USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.