Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
011 FNUS73 KGRR 020900 FWSGRR Spot Forecast for Camel, Split and Sock RX...USFS National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 500 AM EDT Thu May 2 2024 Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on May 02. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. Please contact our office at (616) 949-5150, if you have questions or concerns with this forecast. .DISCUSSION... Clouds will gradually increase through today, with rain chances increasing in the afternoon, and being likely tonight. A few thunderstorms will be possible beginning late in the afternoon and tonight. .TODAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) then becoming cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Temperature.........50 at ignition...Max 71. RH..................74 percent at ignition...Min 40 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Winds northeast at 6 mph at ignition...otherwise East winds around 6 mph shifting to the southeast 7 to 10 mph in the afternoon. Wind gusts to 25 mph. Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL at ignition...otherwise 4000 ft AGL. Mixing winds........East 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southeast 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon. Smoke dispersal.....100 /poor/ at ignition. Max...800 /excellent/. Haines Index........5 or moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth at ignition...max 5. TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM 7 PM Sky (%).........49 65 80 89 91 92 Weather cov..... S CHC CHANCE LIKELY Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........ S CHC S CHC Temp............50 60 66 70 71 70 RH..............74 49 42 40 42 45 20 ft wind......E 6 E 6 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8 SE 9 20 ft wind gust.8 8 12 20 20 14 Mix hgt (ft)....1000 2200 3500 4000 3500 1200 Mixing wind.....E 8 E 8 SE 9 S 15 S 16 SE 15 Haines index....5 5 5 5 5 5 Smoke disprsl...100 180 320 600 800 180 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Rain showers likely and chance of thunderstorms. Temperature.........Min 52. RH..................Max 100 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 13 mph shifting to the southwest toward daybreak. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms after midnight. Mixing height.......600 ft AGL. Mixing winds........Southeast 13 to 15 mph shifting to the southwest 10 to 13 mph toward daybreak. Smoke dispersal.....140 (fair) early in the evening decreasing to 60 (poor) late in the night. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of thunderstorms early in the morning. Chance of rain showers through the day. Temperature.........Max 70. RH..................Min 40 percent. Wind (20 ft)........West winds around 7 mph shifting to the north around 5 mph in the evening. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms early in the morning. Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL. Mixing winds........West 12 to 14 mph shifting to the northwest 8 to 14 mph. Smoke dispersal.....80 (poor) early in the morning increasing to 450 (good) in the afternoon. Haines Index........4 to 5 or low to moderate potential for large plume dominated fire growth. $$ Forecaster...Jeruzal Requested by...Nieland Type of request...PRESCRIBED .TAG 2412903.0/GRR .DELDT 05/02/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL Jeff.nieland@usda.gov