Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
Issued by NWS Melbourne, FL
601 FXUS62 KMLB 291401 AFDMLB Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Melbourne FL 1001 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024 ...New UPDATE, AVIATION... .UPDATE... Issued at 1000 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024 A few light marine showers are moving onshore near the Cape and Titusville this morning, with dry conditions elsewhere. A field of cumulus is beginning to unfurl over the Treasure Coast and will spread north and west through the day. Temperatures now in the 70s are forecast to reach the mid to upper 80s from Sanford/Orlando/Okeechobee westward (interior). Closer the coast and behind today`s east coast sea breeze, slightly cooler temps are expected in the low 80s. Overall, no major changes were made from the previous forecast. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFs) Issued at 1000 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024 VFR continue. A few showers will continue moving onshore near TIX this morning, with no impact expected. Gusts from the SE around 20 kt are expected thru the day, along with a few mid and upper level clouds. Winds subside this evening over land, staying around 10-12 kt at the coast. && .MARINE... Issued at 1000 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024 Today-Tonight (modified previous)...Seas will remain 3-5 ft into tonight. With high pressure weakening and pushing seaward, the directional component will veer ESE/SE with speeds 11-17 kts areawide. A few showers are possible during the day with coverage possibly increasing later tonight, especially over the Gulf Stream and south of the Cape. Tuesday-Thursday...Generally favorable boating conditions return mid week as east to southeast winds fall below 15 knots and seas return to 2-4 feet. A slight chance of marine showers Tuesday and Wednesday, with a small threat for lightning especially over the Gulf Stream waters. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 208 AM EDT Mon Apr 29 2024 Today...The pressure gradient relaxes a bit as winds veer ESE/SE increasing to 10-15 mph with some higher gusts thru the day. ISOLD sprinkles/showers still possible - esp along the coast, but most locations will remain dry. Could see min aftn RHs fall to 30-40pct well into the interior, with 45-55pct more likely closer towards the coast. Fire sensitive conditions continue overall with the mainly dry conditions and winds. This Week...Fire sensitive conditions continue this week with drying fuels and very little rainfall accumulation expected. A 20-30% chance of showers Tuesday and Wednesday with a small threat for isolated thunderstorms. Warming temperatures will lead to lowering humidity values, which will fall below 40% each afternoon across the interior. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... DAB 81 65 83 66 / 20 10 20 10 MCO 86 66 86 67 / 10 0 20 10 MLB 80 67 82 68 / 20 10 20 10 VRB 82 65 83 66 / 20 20 20 20 LEE 86 67 87 68 / 10 0 20 10 SFB 85 65 87 67 / 10 0 20 10 ORL 86 66 87 68 / 10 0 20 10 FPR 82 64 83 65 / 20 20 30 20 && .MLB WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. AM...None. && $$ UPDATE...Schaper LONG TERM...Schaper AVIATION...Schaper