Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Mobile, AL

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733
FNUS74 KMOB 032223 AAA
FWSMOB

Spot Forecast for GUIS Naval Live Oaks...UPDATED
National Weather Service Mobile AL
523 PM CDT Fri May 3 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1600 CDT on May 03.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.


.DISCUSSION...Dry conditions will continue Saturday and Sunday
return to the forecast for today and Saturday. Minimum relative
humidity values will remain well above critical thresholds.
Transport winds for Saturday will generally be out of the south
becoming southeasterly on Sunday. Max wind gusts will be around
10-15 mph out of the south for both afternoons. Afternoon
dispersions will be fair to generally good for both days (indices
around 25-35).

Fog potential and other remarks...Patchy fog could be possible
each day the next two days reducing visibilities to around 1
mile.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........74 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds around 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...305 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 9 to 10 mph.
Transport winds m/s.South around 4 meters/second.
Dispersion index....26.
LVORI...............3.
Stability class.....3.

TIME (CDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........41  47
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10
LAL.............1   1
Temp............78  77
RH..............76  79
20 FT wind dir..S   S
20 FT wind spd..9   9
20 FT wind gust.14  13
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 1.0
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.3
Transp wind dir.S   S
Transp wind spd.10  9
Trans wind dir..S   S
Trans spd (m/s).4   4
Dispersion idx..26  26
LVORI...........3   3

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the evening.
                    Patchy fog overnight.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
LAL.................1 until 1900, then 2 until 2000, then 1.
Min temperature.....Around 72.
Max humidity........97 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 7 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms early in the
                    evening.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-305 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 9 mph shifting to the north 3 to 5
                    mph after 3 am.
Transport winds m/s.Southwest around 4 meters/second shifting to
                    the south 2 to 4 meters/second in the evening
                    and overnight, then shifting to the north 1 to
                    2 meters/second after 3 am.
Dispersion index....26 decreasing to 4.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....4.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........52  68  70  63  60  63  64  60  62  65  58  64
Weather cov.....    SCH                     PTY PTY PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....    RW                      FOG FOG FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........    SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............77  75  75  75  74  74  74  74  73  72  73  73
RH..............79  87  87  87  90  90  90  90  93  97  90  90
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   SSE SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  ESE ENE ENE
20 FT wind spd..8   6   6   6   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   3
20 FT wind gust.12  9   9   9   6   6   6   6   3   3   3   6
Mix hgt (kft)...1.0 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Mix hgt (km)....0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Transp wind dir.SSW SSW SSW S   SSE SSE S   SSE SSE N   NE  NNE
Transp wind spd.9   9   8   7   7   7   7   6   5   3   3   5
Trans wind dir..SSW SSW SSW S   SSE SSE S   SSE SSE N   NE  NNE
Trans spd (m/s).4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   2   1   1   2
Dispersion idx..26  6   5   5   4   4   4   3   3   2   2   2
LVORI...........3   4   5   5   6   6   6   6   6   7   7   7

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent) then becoming
                    sunny (15-25 percent). Patchy fog early in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 80.
Min humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southeast 6 to 9 mph in
                    the late morning and early afternoon, then
                    shifting to the south 9 to 10 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL.
Mixing height (m)...122-274 meters AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 7 mph shifting to the south 10 to 12
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Transport winds m/s.Northeast around 1 meters/second shifting to
                    the south 4 to 5 meters/second late in the
                    morning.
Dispersion index....6 increasing to 27.
LVORI...............5.
Stability class.....2.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........69  66  47  57  57  57  57  57  57  57  20  16
Weather cov.....PTY PTY PTY
Weather type....FOG FOG FOG
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............72  72  73  74  75  76  77  77  78  78  79  78
RH..............93  93  90  87  84  85  82  82  79  79  77  79
20 FT wind dir..ENE E   E   ESE SE  SSE SSE SSE S   S   S   SSW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   3   7   10  10  10  10  10  10  12  10
20 FT wind gust.3   3   6   10  16  16  16  16  16  16  17  16
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.7 0.7
Mix hgt (km)....0.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.2
Transp wind dir.NE  E   E   E   ESE SSE SSE S   S   S   S   SSW
Transp wind spd.3   5   5   7   9   10  10  10  12  12  12  10
Trans wind dir..NE  E   E   E   ESE SSE SSE S   S   S   S   SSW
Trans spd (m/s).1   2   2   3   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   4
Dispersion idx..2   5   6   9   15  21  24  26  27  27  26  26
LVORI...........7   7   6   5   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

$$
Forecaster...3
Requested by...Robert Vick
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2412531.16/MOB
.DELDT 05/03/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL scworthi@gmail.com,Robert_Vick@nps.gov