Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Phoenix, AZ

Home |  Current Version |  Previous Version |  Text Only |  Print | Product List |  Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
239
FNUS55 KPSR 042011
FWFPSR

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest and South-Central
Arizona and Southeast California
National Weather Service Phoenix AZ
111 PM MST Sat May 4 2024

.DISCUSSION...
A weather system moving just to the north this weekend will bring
breezy to windy conditions focused more during the afternoon and
evening hours. Wind gusts above 30 mph are likely later today
across much of the western districts and then areawide on Sunday.
The strong winds and dry conditions will lead to elevated fire
weather conditions over much of the area this weekend. Lighter
winds are expected by Monday. Min RHs through the weekend will be
around 10-20%, dropping to near 10% by Monday, with fair to good
overnight recoveries.

Note...Additional Fire Weather Forecast information can be found
in the Area Forecast Discussion. See product PHXAFDPSR.

AZZ132-050815-
West Central Deserts/Northwest Maricopa County/Greater Phoenix
Area/Southwest Deserts/Southwest Maricopa County/
Northwest and North-Central Pinal County-
Phoenix BLM/YUM BLM/CAZ-CRZ-
111 PM MST Sat May 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................57-67.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................41-53 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................4 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph in the
  evening becoming 30 to 40 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................75-86.
*    24 hr trend..................10 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................18-23 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 35 to 45 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......8600 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......Southwest 23 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Excellent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................50-60.
*    24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler.
* Max Humidity....................27-42 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................13 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 25 to 35 mph in the evening
  becoming 15 to 25 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................81-88.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................7-11 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................12 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Phoenix.......7700 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Phoenix......West 9 knots.
* Dispersion for Phoenix..........Good.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 54-64. Highs 84-91. Southwest winds 10 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 54-64. Highs 83-91. West winds 10 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 54-64. Highs 84-92. West winds 10 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 56-66. Highs 88-95.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60-70. Highs 91-97.

$$

AZZ131-CAZ231-050815-
Yuma/Martinez Lake and Vicinity/Lower Colorado River Valley AZ-
Lower Colorado River Valley CA-
111 PM MST Sat May 4 2024 /111 PM PDT Sat May 4 2024/

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing
  dust.
* Min Temperature.................58-63.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................51-59 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 10 to 20 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Patchy blowing
  dust.
* Max Temperature.................76-81.
*    24 hr trend..................14 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................17-21 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 15 to 25 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 40 to 50 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........6000 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........West 23 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Excellent.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................50-55.
*    24 hr trend..................8 degrees cooler.
* Max Humidity....................32-54 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................15 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................83-88.
*    24 hr trend..................7 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................7-11 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................10 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.
* Mixing Height for Yuma..........7300 ft AGL.
* Transport Wind for Yuma.........West 9 knots.
* Dispersion for Yuma.............Good.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 54-61. Highs 87-92. Southwest winds 5 to
15 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 56-61. Highs 86-91. Northwest winds
15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 56-62. Highs 88-93. Northwest winds 10 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 57-64. Highs 91-96.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60-66. Highs 94-99.

$$

AZZ133-050815-
Southern Gila County/Tonto National Forest Foothills-
Southern Tonto NF/West San Carlos BIA/South Portion Ft Apache BIA/
CAZ-
111 PM MST Sat May 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................48-60.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Max Humidity....................38-49 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 15 to 25 mph in the
  evening becoming 25 to 35 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................70-84.
*    24 hr trend..................4 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................16-26 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................5 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..South 5 to 15 mph in the morning
  becoming southwest 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 30 to 40 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........3 very low potential for large
  plume dominated fire growth.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly clear.
* Min Temperature.................42-55.
*    24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler.
* Max Humidity....................40-65 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................8 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 10 to 20 mph in the evening
  becoming northwest 5 to 10 mph after midnight.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 35 to 45 mph in the
  evening becoming west 25 to 35 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................69-83.
*    24 hr trend..................Little change.
* Min Humidity....................10-15 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................7 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Southwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming west 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 42-59. Highs 71-85. Southwest winds 15 to
25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 44-59. Highs 71-86. Southwest winds
15 to 25 mph.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 43-58. Highs 71-85. Southwest winds 10 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 43-61. Highs 75-89.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 48-64. Highs 77-92.

$$

CAZ232-050815-
Imperial County And Eastern Riverside County-
111 PM PDT Sat May 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Partly cloudy. Patchy blowing
  dust.
* Min Temperature.................56-64.
*    24 hr trend..................3 degrees cooler.
* Max Humidity....................48-64 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................9 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 15 to 25 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............Southwest 25 to 35 mph in the
  evening becoming 35 to 45 mph after midnight.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny. Patchy blowing
  dust.
* Max Temperature.................70-80.
*    24 hr trend..................14 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................13-24 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................3 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 15 to 25 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 40 to 50 mph in the morning
  becoming 30 to 40 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear. Patchy blowing dust in the
  evening.
* Min Temperature.................51-56.
*    24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler.
* Max Humidity....................28-54 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................16 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................79-87.
*    24 hr trend..................8 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................8-14 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................8 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 15 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 56-64. Highs 84-92. West winds 10 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 59-64. Highs 81-91. Northwest winds
15 to 25 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 59-66. Highs 83-93. Northwest winds 10 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 60-67. Highs 87-96.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 62-69. Highs 89-98.

$$

CAZ230-050815-
Joshua Tree National Park-
111 PM PDT Sat May 4 2024

.TONIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly cloudy in the evening
  becoming partly cloudy after midnight.
* Min Temperature.................43-59.
*    24 hr trend..................7 degrees cooler.
* Max Humidity....................53-82 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................26 pct wetter.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 15 to 25 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 25 to 35 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.SUNDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Mostly sunny.
* Max Temperature.................59-75.
*    24 hr trend..................12 degrees cooler.
* Min Humidity....................13-30 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................Little RH change.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..West 15 to 25 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 30 to 40 mph in the morning
  becoming 15 to 25 mph in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.

.SUNDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/weather.....................Clear.
* Min Temperature.................40-52.
*    24 hr trend..................5 degrees cooler.
* Max Humidity....................32-46 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................29 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 10 to 20 mph.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 15 to 25 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.

.MONDAY...
* Sky/weather.....................Sunny.
* Max Temperature.................69-82.
*    24 hr trend..................8 degrees warmer.
* Min Humidity....................9-16 pct.
*    24 hr trend..................8 pct drier.
* Winds - 20 foot...Slope/Valley..Northwest 5 to 10 mph in the
  morning becoming west 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.
* Winds...10000 FT MSL............West 20 to 30 mph.
* Chance of Precip................0 percent.
* CWR (>= 0.10 IN)................0 percent.
* LAL.............................1.
* Haines High Level Index.........4 low potential for large plume
  dominated fire growth.


.EXTENDED...
.TUESDAY...Clear. Lows 47-60. Highs 73-86. Northwest winds 10 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.WEDNESDAY...Clear. Lows 49-60. Highs 69-83. Northwest winds
10 to 20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than
15 percent.
.THURSDAY...Clear. Lows 49-61. Highs 72-85. Northwest winds 10 to
20 mph. Minimum relative humidity may be lower than 15 percent.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 50-63. Highs 75-90.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows 53-64. Highs 78-92.

$$

.8 TO 10 DAY OUTLOOK...Sunday May 12th through Tuesday May 14th:
Below normal temperatures and near median precipitation.