Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 250513
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR CHEROKEE RIM...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1113 PM MDT MON AUG 24 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 2241 MDT ON AUGUST 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...DRY WEATHER TONIGHT. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS
WILL MOVE TOWARD THE FIRE AREA AFTER 300 PM TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL OCCUR UNTIL SUNSET TUESDAY EVENING.
THE MAIN ISSUE WILL BE THE OUTFLOW WIND GUSTS FROM THE SHOWERS
AND STORMS. WIND SPEEDS OF 30 TO 40 MPH WILL BE LIKELY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...AR

.REST OF TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........44-47 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......VARIABLE AT 3 TO 5 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH
                    AT 3 TO 6 MPH AFTER 300 AM.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....VARIABLE AT 4 TO 7 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH
                    AT 4 TO 7 MPH AFTER 300 AM.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 500-1000 FEET AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING.
                    PARTLY CLOUDY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS OR STORMS AFTER 1500.

MAX TEMPERATURE.....86-89.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-18 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 8 MPH...SOME
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND GUSTS TO 40 MPH NEAR
                    SHOWERS AND STORMS.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 6 TO 10 MPH...SOME
                    GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

LAL.................1...LAL OF 2 AFTER 1500.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 10000-11000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING.
                    SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING GOOD BY NOON...THEN VERY GOOD BY 1500.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS UNTIL SUNSET.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....53-56.
MAX HUMIDITY........56-59 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST AT 6 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 2100.
                    THEN SOUTHWEST AT 4 TO 8 MPH AFTER 2100.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND GUSTS TO 30 MPH NEAR
                    SHOWERS.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AT 8 TO 12 MPH UNTIL 2100.
                    THEN SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 2100.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000-1500 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH UNTIL 2100...THEN
                    BECOMING SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH AFTER 2100.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO FAIR AFTER 2100...THEN POOR AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST TO SOUTHWEST WIND AROUND 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 80S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...BRADLEY WELLER
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20150824.CHERO.01/RIW



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