Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 232052
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR HUNTER PEAK...WY-SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
252 PM MDT TUE AUG 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1419 MDT ON AUGUST 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...

UPPER TROUGH MOVING ACROSS WYOMING TODAY WITH A FRONT
TO THE NORTH AND POISED TO COME THROUGH THE FIRE AREA MAINLY
LATER THIS EVENING SHIFTING WINDS FROM GENERAL WESTERLY TO NORTH OR
NORTHEAST THROUGH WEDNESDAY. MOISTURE WILL BE ON THE
INCREASE WITH CLOUDS STARTING TO BUILD INTO THE REGION OVERNIGHT
AND THROUGH THE DAY WEDNESDAY WITH LOW END CHANCES FOR
PRECIPITATION MAINLY WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. THESE
SHOWERS/STORMS SHOULD MOVE FROM INITIATION TO THE EAST AT
20 TO 25 MPH WITH A COUPLE OF THE STRONGER SHOWERS OR STORMS
PRODUCING GUSTY OUTFLOW WINDS 35 TO 40 MPH AND SMALL HAIL.
OVERNIGHT WEDNESDAY INTO THURSDAY MORNING COULD SEE LIGHT SHOWER
ACTIVITY...INCLUDING SOME LIGHT RAIN/SNOW MIX ABOVE 8000 FEET
OR LIGHT SNOW ABOVE 9000 FEET. THURSDAY AFTERNOON WILL SEE A
SLIGHT INCREASE IN INSTABILITY AS COLDER AIR ALOFT MOVES OVER THE
AREA...PROVIDING ANOTHER SLIGHT INCREASE FOR PRECIPITATION BEFORE
TAPERING OFF QUICKLY THURSDAY EVENING. WINDS SHOULD ALSO COME AROUND
TO THE SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY THURSDAY. FRIDAY WILL SEE LESS CLOUD
AND PERHAPS A BIT MORE SUN...WITH SOME INCREASE IN INSTABILITY AGAIN
IN/NEAR THE AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON WITH LOW CHANCES FOR A SHOWER OR
STORM IN THE AFTERNOON/EVENING PERIOD. MINIMUM RH VALUES LOOK TO REMAIN
ABOVE TO WELL ABOVE 25 PERCENT WITH GENERALLY LIGHT WINDS BELOW 15 MPH
WEDNESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRAUN

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-70.
MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS TO WEST SOUTHWEST 10 TO 20 MPH.
                    GUSTS UP TO 35 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 20 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 17 TO 22 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 18 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (137600 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-35 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35-40.
MAX HUMIDITY........72-77 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 8 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 15
                    MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1900 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (98300 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (18000
                    KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....54-59.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    EAST 10 TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3 UNTIL 1500...THEN 4.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1800 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 14 TO
                    20 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (9500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (116100 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE MID 30S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...
CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 60. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...BRAUN
REQUESTED BY...LANN MOORE
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160823.HUNTE.01/RIW



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