Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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099
FNUS75 KRIW 181850
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR PAINTBRUSH...NPS YNP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
1250 PM MDT WED MAY 18 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1222 MDT ON MAY 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...FIRE DANGER LOW...AS GREEN UP AND PERIODIC BOUTS OF MOIST
AND COOL WEATHER CONTINUES ACROSS THE FORECAST AREA. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
RAIN/THUNDER SHOWERS TODAY ACROSS MAINLY THE HIGHER MOUNTAIN GROUPS
WITH WITH GOOD CHANCES FOR BETTER WETTING PRECIPITATION BEGINNING
LATE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND LASTING THROUGH THE EVENING/OVERNIGHT
PERIOD. STRONGER STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE THURSDAY...PRODUCING STRONG
WIND GUSTS AND HAIL AT TIMES.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) BY 1400. ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-30 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT AND VARIABLE 2-4 MPH BECOMING PRIMARILY
                    WEST NORTHWEST AT 5 TO 8 MPH BY 1400. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR ANY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1800.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (99400 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
CLOUDY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING...THEN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND
12 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS AROUND 50. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...JESSE PIKE
TYPE OF REQUEST...HAZMAT
.TAG 20160518.PAINT.01/RIW



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