Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

Home | Current Version | Previous Version | Text Only | Print | Product List | Glossary Off
Versions: 1 2 3

000
FNUS75 KRIW 102005
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for Pole Creek Fire...USFS BTF
National Weather Service Riverton WY
205 PM MDT Thu Aug 10 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 1800 MDT on August 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Isolated to widely scattered showers/storms expected through
1900 early this evening followed by just isolated showers. Friday,
temperatures similar to today but the RH will be lower. Isolated
showers/storms possible...some with brief heavy rain, small hail and gusty winds.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

FORECASTER...Lipson

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (45-55 percent). A few showers
                    and thunderstorms ending by 1900 with only a few
                    isolated showers through the rest of the evening.
                    Areas of smoke through the night.
Min temperature.....46-49.
Max humidity........87-90 percent.
20-foot winds.......North winds around 10 mph through early in the
                    evening becoming downslope/downvalley, mainly south
                    4-7 mph by 2200. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridge top winds.....Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the east in
                    the late evening and overnight.
LAL.................1-8 strikes until 2400, then No Tstms.
Chc of wetting rain.3 percent.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......5600 ft AGL until 2400, then 500 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest around 15 mph shifting to the east 14
                    to 15 mph in the late evening and overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor to good.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas of smoke
                    in the morning. Isolated showers and
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon after 1200.
Max temperature.....68-70.
Min humidity........29-32 percent.
20-foot winds.......Upslope/upvalley 5-9 mph becoming west 10 to 12
                    mph by 1100 with higher gusts in the afternoon. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Ridge top winds.....East around 10 mph shifting to the west in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
LAL.................No Tstms until 1200, then 1-8 strikes.
Chc of wetting rain.5 percent.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL until 1200, then 12100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 13 mph shifting to the west 14 to
                    21 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor increasing to excellent in the afternoon.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
Partly cloudy. Isolated showers and thunderstorms in the evening.
Lows in the upper 40s. Winds generally less than 10 mph.
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy with isolated showers and thunderstorms. Lows in
the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Winds generally less than
10 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Winds generally less
than 10 mph.
.MONDAY...
Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Winds generally less
than 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy with slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Winds generally
less than 10 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Lipson
Requested by...Erin Palm
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1713910.6/RIW
.EMAIL grte_dispatch@nps.gov



USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.