Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 231124
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOOLIGAN SPRINGS...BUREAU OF LAND MANAGEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
524 AM MDT SAT APR 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1040 MDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A VERY DRY AND WARM SOUTHERLY FLOW WITH GUSTY WIND
WILL PRECEDE A COLD FRONT THIS MORNING INTO EARLY AFTERNOON.
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL INCREASE IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING AS A STRONG UPPER LEVEL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM MOVES INTO THE
AREA. A COOL NORTHERLY FLOW BEHIND THE SYSTEM WILL BRING RAIN AND
SNOW SHOWERS INTO THE AREA SUNDAY MORNING WITH SNOW LEVELS BETWEEN
7000 AND 8000 FEET.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MEUNIER

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING.
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS DEVELOPING
                    AFTER 3 PM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....62-65.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-23 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......EAST SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH UNTIL 9 AM...THEN BECOMING
                    SOUTH AND INCREASING TO 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS NEAR
                    30 MPH AROUND NOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
                    EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......BELOW 2000 FT AGL UNTIL 9 AM...INCREASING TO 8000 FT
                    AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 20 MPH AFTER 9 AM...INCREASING TO
                    25 TO 30 MPH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (20000 KNOT-FT) UNTIL 9 AM...INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (159800 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT...POSSIBLY MIXING WITH SNOW ABOVE
                    7000 FEET.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-39.
MAX HUMIDITY........86-89 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS 20 TO 25
                    MPH UNTIL AROUND 7 PM.  BECOMING NORTH 5-10 MPH
                    EARLY SUNDAY MORNING.  GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST EARLY IN THE MORNING.

LAL.................3 UNTIL 9 PM...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.70 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST AROUND
                    10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (102100 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (2700 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). RAIN SHOWERS LIKELY...POSSIBLY
                    MIXED WITH SNOW ABOVE 7000 FEET.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....45-48.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-68 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5-9 MPH INCREASING TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    20 TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.60 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900-2800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (29000-54900 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS IN THE
EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS
IN THE LOWER 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...
CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY AND CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS
AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MEUNIER
REQUESTED BY...ANDY ROTHLEUTNER
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20160423.HOOLI.01/RIW



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