Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 161042
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRESTON DRAW...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
442 AM MDT WED JUL 16 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0600 MDT ON JULY 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A BAND OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE ESE ACROSS THE RED DESERT THROUGH AROUND
0700...POSSIBLY CLIPPING THE FIRE WITH A FEW HUNDREDTHS OF RAIN.
NORTH TO NORTHEAST WIND SURFACE WIND WILL INCREASE THIS
AFTERNOON...AND ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS
EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OFF THE SOUTHERN WIND RIVER MOUNTAINS AND MOVE
SOUTH ACROSS THE RED DESERT. THIS ACTIVITY ALONG WITH WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO DIMINISH WITH SUNSET.

A DRIER AND WARMER AIRMASS WILL PREVAIL THURSDAY WITH A PREVAILING
LIGHT NORTHERLY SURFACE WIND. CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME
MORE CRITICAL OVER THE WEEKEND WITH WARM...BREEZY AND VERY DRY
CONDITIONS ALONG WITH ISOLATED MOSTLY DRY THUNDERSTORMS.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MEUNIER

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL AROUND 0700.
                    BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) IN
                    THE AFTERNOON WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....70-73.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-39 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING...INCREASING TO
                    10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
                    10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING INCREASING
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.

LAL.................2 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3000-4000 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5700-6700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE MORNING.  NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR IN THE MORNING...BECOMING GOOD IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 2100...THEN CLEARING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....49-52.
MAX HUMIDITY........94-97 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH UNTIL 2100.
                    NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 10 MPH
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.

LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800-6800 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2900-3900 FT AGL
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH...DECREASING TO 5 TO 10 MPH
                    LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (80600 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (34500
                    KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-23 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING. NORTHWEST 5-9 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING. NORTHWEST 5-9 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3300-4300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7300-8300 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (34400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (62400
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 80S.
WEST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE
MORNING AND AFTERNOON.

$$

FORECASTER...MEUNIER
REQUESTED BY...CRESTON DRAW IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140715.CREST.02/RIW






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