Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 180950
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR COTTONWOOD II...USFS; BRIDGER-TETON
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
350 AM MDT SAT OCT 18 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON OCTOBER 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A WEAK UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
NORTHERN ROCKIES TODAY.  HIGH CLOUDS OVER THE AREA EARLY THIS
MORNING WILL BECOME MORE SCATTERED THROUGH THE DAY. WINDS WILL BE
LIGHT...TEMPERATURES WILL TREND A FEW DEGREES WARMER TODAY...RH
WILL SHOW LITTLE TREND. A RIDGE OF HIGH PRESSURE BILL BUILD IN
TONIGHT AND SUNDAY...TEMPERATURES CONTINUING TO TREND WARMER ON
SUNDAY...RH WILL BE DRIER...WINDS LIGHT AND MAINLY UPSLOPE DURING
THE AFTERNOON. A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY
MORNING WITH A SOUTHWEST BREEZE AHEAD OF THE FRONT MONDAY
AFTERNOON AND NIGHT. THE CHANCES OF RECEIVING ANYTHING MORE THAN A
FEW HUNDREDTHS OF PRECIPITATION WITH THE FRONT ARE SLIM ON
TUESDAY.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MEUNIER

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING.
                    MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....56-59.
MIN HUMIDITY........29-32 PERCENT.

EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH AFTER 0900...BECOMING WEST
                    NORTHWEST 5-10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 15 MPH AROUND 3 PM.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

MIXING HEIGHT.......3800-4800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR...BECOMING GOOD (38900-64100 KNOT-FT) EARLY AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....33-36.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-80 PERCENT.
EYE LEVEL WINDS.....WEST NORTHWEST 5 TO 10 MPH...GUSTS TO 15 MPH EARLY
                    EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600-4600 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (33600-62700 KNOT-FT)...BECOMING POOR BY 10 PM.

.SUNDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....60-63.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-23 PERCENT.

EYE LEVEL WINDS.....UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700-3700 FT AGL INCREASING TO 4700-5700 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 10 TO
                    13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (26100-43600 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE
OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MEUNIER
REQUESTED BY...RICK LANCASTER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20141018.COTTO.01/RIW







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