Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 242003
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR TWIN LAKES...BLM WOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
203 PM MDT WED AUG 24 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1321 MDT ON AUGUST 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...FIRE WEATHER SHOULD IMPROVE TODAY AS COOLER TEMPERATURES
AND HIGHER RELATIVE HUMIDITY MOVE IN BEHIND A COLD FRONT. AN UPPER LEVEL
DISTURBANCE MOVING IN THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING WILL BRING THE
CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. MIXING AND SMOKE DISPERSAL WILL
BE IN THE GOOD RANGE. COOL TEMPERATURES AND CHANCES FOR RAIN WILL LINGER
INTO THURSDAY AND FRIDAY AS WELL.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.REST OF TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). THE SMALL SHOWER JUST
                    OFF TO THE SOUTH SHOULD STAY SOUTH OF THE FIRE
                    THROUGH 1403. HOWEVER, OTHER SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS ARE RAPIDLY DEVELOPING TO THE WEST AND
                    SHOULD BE AFFECTING THE VICINITY OF THE FIRE BY 1445.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-57.
MIN HUMIDITY........35-37 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST 10 TO 18 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 12 TO 22 MPH.
LAL.................3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST AROUND 16 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (78800 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    EARLY IN THE EVENING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE NIGHT. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....42-44.
MAX HUMIDITY........91-94 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH AND GUSTY EARLY IN
                    THE EVENING BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE
                    IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2100...THEN 3 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.37 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........2 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1800 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 13 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (21000-57700 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). AREAS OF SMOKE
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    THROUGH THE DAY. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....51 TO 53.
MIN HUMIDITY........65-67 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH NORTHEAST 5-9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN
                    THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH NORTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 4.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.18 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 5600 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 17 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (22500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO GOOD (72500
                    KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY NIGHT...
MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN
THE EVENING. LOWS AROUND 40. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
WARMER. MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...RICKY COX
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160824.TWINL.01/RIW


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