Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 230053
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR BERRY...WY-GTP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
653 PM MDT MON AUG 22 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1814 MDT ON AUGUST 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM MDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...DRY CONDITIONS TONIGHT WITH THE WIND DECREASING
TONIGHT. THEN DRY CONDITIONS ON TUESDAY WITH WIND INCREASING
BY NOON. IT WILL BE BREEZY TO WINDY THROUGH SUNSET TUESDAY
EVENING. HUMIDITY WILL SLIGHTLY HIGHER TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BUT
STILL LOW. COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTH TUESDAY NIGHT AND THE WIND
GOES NORTH ABOUT MIDNIGHT AND AT THE RIDGE TOP NORTH TO NORTHWEST
AROUND MIDNIGHT. HUMIDITY WILL GO UP AS WELL TUESDAY NIGHT AFTER
THE FRONTAL PASSAGE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...AR

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40-45.
MAX HUMIDITY........43-46 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 15 MPH UNTIL SUNSET...THEN SOUTH TO
                    SOUTHWEST AT 4 TO 8 MPH WITH GUSTS AROUND 10
                    MPH BY MIDNIGHT.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 13 TO 18 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 23 MPH
                    UNTIL 2100.  THEN SOUTHWEST AT 8 TO 14 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 18 MPH THROUGH THE NIGHT.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000-2000 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST TO WEST AT 20 TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2100.
                    SOUTHWEST TO WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH BY MIDNIGHT
                    AND THROUGH THE NIGHT.

SMOKE DISPERSAL.....DECREASING TO FAIR AROUND MIDNIGHT. POOR
                    BY 0300.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....69-72.
MIN HUMIDITY........13-17 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1000.
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 20 MPH.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL 1000.
                    SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER 1000
                    WITH GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH.

LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000-8000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AT 15 MPH UNTIL 1000.
                    WEST AT 20 TO 25 MPH AFTER 1000.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO VERY GOOD BY 1200.
                    BECOMING EXCELLENT BY 1500.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....36-39.
MAX HUMIDITY........50-53 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    15 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 15 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 5
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 20 MPH BECOMING NORTHWEST AROUND 10
                    MPH LATE IN THE EVENING...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTH AROUND 10 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (72900 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR (15700
                    KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-5 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (30-40 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.
MIN HUMIDITY........15-18 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH EARLY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING TO THE
                    SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1600 FT AGL INCREASING TO 10400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 13 TO 16 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH AROUND
                    15 MPH EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN SHIFTING
                    TO THE SOUTHWEST AROUND 16 MPH LATE IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (19700-34300 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.  WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS AND ISOLATED
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...FIRE DISPATCH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160822.BERRY.01/RIW



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