Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 171210
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for Pole Creek Fire...USFS BTF
National Weather Service Riverton WY
610 AM MDT Sun Sep 17 2017

Forecast is based on request time of 0600 MDT on September 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Mild and becoming breezy from the west to southwest today. Windier
on Monday from the southwest with gusts 40 to 50 mph expected
especially at ridge top. A cold front moves across the fire site
late Monday night with a decent chance of showers, but with
continued windy westerly wind. Snow levels lower to valley floor
Tuesday morning, but most of the precipitation should fall as
rain. There is a 50 percent chance of seeing a wetting
precipitation Monday night into Tuesday morning.

Another system will impact the area Wednesday night and Thursday
with more precipitation expected.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

FORECASTER...Murrell

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 60.
Min humidity........20-25 percent.
20-foot winds.......Light and Variable 3-6 mph, becoming southwest
                    5-10 mph by 10 AM, then becoming west
                    southwest 10-15 mph between 1 PM and 3 PM.
                    Gusts to 35 mph.
Ridge top winds.....West to southwest around 10 mph
                    increasing to around 20 mph by Noon. Gusts to
                    40 mph.
LAL.................1.
Chc of wetting rain.Zero percent.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
Mixing height.......8500 ft AGL AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10-15 mph, becoming west southwest
                    20-30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent in the afternoon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly Cloudy (30-40 percent).
Min temperature.....30-35 valley. 40-45 mid-slope/ridge top
Max humidity........70 percent valley. 40-45 percent ridge top.
20-foot winds.......West around 10 mph, becoming
                    downslope/downvalley 4-7 mph by 8 PM.
Ridge top winds.....West to southwest 10-15 mph.
LAL.................1.
Chc of wetting rain.Zero percent.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......Decreasing to 800 FT AGL.
Transport winds.....West to southwest 10-15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor by 8 PM.

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (25-35 percent) and very windy.
Max temperature.....60-65.
Min humidity........25 percent.
20-foot winds.......South to Southwest 10-15 mph becoming southwest
                    20-25 mph by noon. Gusts to 45 mph.
Ridge top winds.....Southwest around 15 mph increasing to 25-30 mph
                    by midday. Gusts to around 50 mph.
LAL.................1.
Chc of wetting rain.Zero percent.
Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume
                    dominated fire growth.
Mixing height.......9000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 30 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent in the afternoon.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY NIGHT...
Mostly cloudy with a good chance of showers. Lows in the mid 30s.
West winds 15-20 mph.

.TUESDAY...
Colder. mostly cloudy. Chance of rain and snow showers especially
in the morning. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds 20-30 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...
Partly Cloudy. Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 50s. West winds
around 15 mph.

.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy with chance of rain and snow showers. Lows around
30. Highs around 40. Winds generally less than 10 mph.


$$
Forecaster...Murrell
Requested by...Scott Brownlow
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 1715071.19/RIW
.EMAIL Polecreek2017@gmail.com



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