Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 152229
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR CRESTON DRAW...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
429 PM MDT TUE JUL 15 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1610 MDT ON JULY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...A FEW THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE MOVING OVER OR NEAR THE
WILDFIRE IN THE NEXT 2 HOURS. WIND GUSTS TO 50 MPH AND LIGHTNING
WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. THE THUNDERSTORM THREAT WILL CONTINUE
UNTIL ABOUT 900 PM THIS EVENING. THEN ISOLATED SHOWERS ARE POSSIBLE
AFTER 900 PM.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...AR

.REST OF TODAY UNTIL 600 PM...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-85.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-31 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 25 MPH.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS TO 50 MPH.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 20 TO 25 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

LAL.................2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.3 PERCENT.

HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8000-9000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
                    UNTIL 2100 ( OR 9 PM ).
                    ISOLATED SHOWERS AFTER 2100

MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-55.

MAX HUMIDITY........70-75 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND AT 15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 25 MPH UNTIL 2200.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 50 MPH EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING .

                    WIND BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AFTER 2200 AT
                    15 TO 20 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 25 MPH.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST WIND AT 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO 30 MPH UNTIL 2200.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS TO 50 MPH EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING .

                    WIND BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AFTER 2200 AT
                    20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 30 MPH.

LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.8 PERCENT.

HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 1500-2000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.

TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH UNTIL 2100.
                    BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AROUND 20 MPH
                    AFTER 2200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT...ECREASING TO FAIR AROUND MIDNIGHT
                    AND POOR AFTER 0300.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....71-74.
MIN HUMIDITY........30-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH.

                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS TO 35 MPH.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 14 TO 19 MPH.
LAL.................2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.6 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 5900-6900 FT AGL
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR BY 1100...BECOMING GOOD AFTER 1400.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS AROUND 50. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS AROUND 80.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. WEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE UPPER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID
80S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 11 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...CRESENT JUNCTION IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140715.CREST.01/RIW





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