Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 211339
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
739 AM MDT THU AUG 21 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0713 MDT ON AUGUST 21.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
LARGE UPPER LEVEL TROUGH TO THE WEST/NORTHWEST WILL KEEP ATMOSPHERE
UNSETTLED FOR THE NEXT FEW DAYS. A SURFACE FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH
THE AREA LATER LATER THIS AFTERNOON...PROVIDING SOME ADDITIONAL
FORCING TO HELP SPARK AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM OR TWO WITH CLOUDY
SKIES AND LIGHT SHOWERS AROUND OTHERWISE. WHILE WINDS WILL REMAIN
ON THE LIGHT SIDE THROUGH MUCH OF THE DAY...WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE
FRONT BY MID TO LATE AFTERNOON...WINDS WILL SHIFT NORTHERLY AND
INCREASE TO 10 TO 15 MPH WITH SOME HIGHER GUSTS. RH LEVELS SHOULD
REMAIN RELATIVELY HIGH FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR AND CLOUDS...VARYING
BETWEEN PARTLY AND MOSTLY CLOUDY...WILL ALSO STICK AROUND THROUGH
MOST OF THE NEXT FEW FORECAST PERIODS.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRAUN

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-80.
MIN HUMIDITY........28-33 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....LIGHT AND VARIABLE AROUND 5 MPH IN THE
                    MORNING BECOMING NORTH 8 TO 13 MPH BY MID AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY
                    (50-60 PERCENT) BEFORE MIDNIGHT. SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....56-60.
MAX HUMIDITY........78-83 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH 10-15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    IN THE LATE EVENING AND EARLY MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................3 UNTIL 2100...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.15 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SCATTERED
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....76-79.
MIN HUMIDITY........36-39 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH IN THE MORNING BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE...THEN BECOMING EAST AROUND
                    5 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.11 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
IN THE EVENING...THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER
60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAUN
REQUESTED BY...MATTMILLER
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140821.MUDCR.01/RIW





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