Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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551
FNUS75 KRIW 300306
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR TOKEWANNA...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
906 PM MDT FRI JUL 29 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1926 MDT ON JULY 29.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...SOME HIGH LEVEL MONSOONAL MOISTURE WILL DRIFT FROM THE GREAT
BASIN INTO THE AREA SATURDAY AFTERNOON, WITH ISOLATED HIGH-BASED THUNDERSTORMS
POSSIBLY PRODUCING GUSTY ERRATIC WINDS OVER 40 MPH ACROSS THE
AREA. OTHERWISE, A WEST WIND WILL PREVAIL IN THE AFTERNOON WITH
TEMPERATURES TRENDING SIMILAR TO TODAY, RELATIVE HUMIDITY SLIGHTLY
HIGHER. A DRIER WESTERLY FLOW IS EXPECTED OVER THE AREA ON SUNDAY
WITH GUSTY WEST NORTHWEST WIND IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO STAY MAINLY SOUTH OVER THE UINTA
RANGE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MEUNIER

.SATURDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED RAIN
                    SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-23 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 5-9 MPH BECOMING WEST AROUND
                    10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS UP TO 20
                    MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.6 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 13400 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (53900 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (199500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS
                    AND ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-58 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 10 TO 13 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND
                    25 MPH UNTIL EARLY MORNING BECOMING
                    DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.6 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6900 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 13 TO 22 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (128000 KNOT-FT) DECREASING TO POOR
                    (20100 KNOT-FT) AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.SUNDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON...MAINLY SOUTH OF THE
                    FIRE.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....75-78.
MIN HUMIDITY........22-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING WEST 10 TO 17
                    MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 30 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
                    EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON...THEN INCREASING TO
                    AROUND 25 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1...THEN 2 AFTER 1200.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.9 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5400 FT AGL INCREASING TO 12200 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 16 TO 17 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 18
                    TO 26 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD (74500 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO EXCELLENT
                    (237200 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.MONDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.TUESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MEUNIER
REQUESTED BY...SID HALL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160729.TOKEW.01/RIW



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