Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 221542
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MUD CREEK...BLM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
942 AM MDT FRI AUG 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0919 MDT ON AUGUST 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

LOTS OF MOISTURE ON ITS WAY INTO THE FORECAST AREA...WITH INCREASING
INSTABILITY THROUGH THE DAY. CHANCES WILL INCREASE FOR WETTING RAIN
FROM THIS MORNING THROUGH THE EVENING PERIOD. THESE CONDITIONS WILL
ALSO SUPPORT INCREASING CLOUDS WITH LESS SUN...AND RELATIVELY HIGH
HUMIDITY LEVELS. THESE CONDITIONS WILL PERSIST IN ONE FORM OR ANOTHER
THROUGH SATURDAY. SUNDAY WILL SEE LESS RAINFALL...BE WILL REMAIN ON THE
COOL AND MOIST SIDE.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...BRAUN

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40 PERCENT) BECOMING MOSTLY
                    CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS FROM LATE MORNING THROUGH THE AFTERNOON.
                    SLIGHT CHANCE OF EMBEDDED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
                    THE DAY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....72-77.
MIN HUMIDITY........35 TO 40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. IN THE OPEN FLATS...LIGHT
                    AND VARIABLE BECOMING NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 15 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.30 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....52-57.
MAX HUMIDITY........88-93 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 1MPH WITH GUSTS
                    TO AROUND 15 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 6 MPH BY MIDNIGHT...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY
                    4-6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.50 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.

.SATURDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75-85 PERCENT). CHANCE OF RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....66-69.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-49 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST IN THE
                    LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.17 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...BRAUN
REQUESTED BY...IC
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140822.MUDCR.01/RIW






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