Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 301049
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR FLAGSTAFF FIRE...USFS BTF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
449 AM MDT TUE AUG 30 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 0530 MDT ON AUGUST 30.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

HOT WITH VERY LOW RH ARE EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. WINDS
WILL BE MAINLY...LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN...EXCEPT FOR GUSTY AND
ERRATIC WINDS FROM ANY LATE-DAY VERY ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.
BREEZY AND WINDY CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO DEVELOP LATE THIS
WEEK...WITH A COLD FRONT MOVING ACROSS THE AREA FRIDAY NIGHT.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MURRELL

.TODAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) WITH VERY
                    ISOLATED AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....82-86.
MIN HUMIDITY........10-13 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......LIGHT EAST 2-5 MPH...BECOMING UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY
                    OR WEST SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH BETWEEN 8 AND 10 AM.
                    GUSTS TO 15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTIER AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 10
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 2 PM...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.NEAR ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12800 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....VERY GOOD (121500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). VERY ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH 9 PM.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 45.
MAX HUMIDITY........55-60 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST SOUTHWEST 4-8 MPH...BECOMING DOWNSLOPE
                    DOWNVALLEY OR EAST 4-7 MPH BY 8 PM. GUSTY
                    AND ERRATIC THUNDERSTORMS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 9 PM...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.NEAR ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL AROUND SUNSET.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (6300 KNOT-FT) BY 9 PM.

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT) WITH VERY
                    ISOLATED AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 85.
MIN HUMIDITY........11-14 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......EAST TO SOUTHEAST 3-5 MPH...BECOMING
                    UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY OR WEST SOUTHWEST 5-9 MPH
                    BETWEEN 8 AM AND 10 AM. GUSTS TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTIER AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH BY NOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 2 PM...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.NEAR ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......12500 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 5-10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....EXCELLENT (161100 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...
PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS
AROUND 80. WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH. GUSTS TO 20 MPH.

.FRIDAY...
WINDY. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH A SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WEST
TO SOUTHWEST WINDS 15-25 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

.SATURDAY...
WINDY. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST
WINDS 15-25 MPH. GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...KATEY CRYSTAL
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160829.FLAGS.01/RIW



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