Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 241033
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR HOOLIGAN SPRINGS RX...BLM WOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
433 AM MDT THU APR 24 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 MDT ON APRIL 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A DRY AND WARMER DAY WILL OCCUR TODAY AT THE FIRE SITE...WITH
MAINLY TERRAIN DRIVEN OR WEST TO SOUTHWEST WINDS. A STORM SYSTEM
WILL BEGIN TO APPROACH THE REGION FRIDAY...WITH SLIGHTLY WARMER
AND MORE OF A BREEZE FROM THE SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST. ALTHOUGH SKIES
WILL BE MOSTLY CLOUDY MUCH OF THE DAY FRIDAY...ONLY ISOLATED
AFTERNOON RAIN SHOWERS ARE EXPECTED.

A COMPLEX STORM SYSTEM WILL AFFECT THE AREA THIS WEEKEND WITH
INCREASING CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION. THE BULK OF THE PRECIPITATION
WILL BE WEST OF THE FIRE SITE SATURDAY AND THEN EAST ON SUNDAY.
THIS LEAVES SOME DOUBT ON WHETHER OR NOT THE FIRE SITE WILL SEE A
WETTING EVENT THIS WEEKEND.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MURRELL

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25 PERCENT) THIS MORNING.
                    INCREASING MID/HIGH LEVEL CLOUDS DURING THE
                    AFTERNOON WITH MOSTLY CLOUDY (75 PERCENT) AT
                    TIMES.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58.
MIN HUMIDITY........19 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......BECOMING UPSLOPE 4-8 MPH AROUND 10 AM...THEN
                    UPVALLEY OR SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH BY AROUND 1 PM.
                    GUSTS TO 18 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST SOUTHWEST
                    10-15 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 7000 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING WEST 20-30 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (120000 KNOT-FT)
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY TO MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-70 PERCENT).
MIN TEMPERATURE.....40.
MAX HUMIDITY........40 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-8 MPH BY 8 PM.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 800 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING POOR BY 8 PM.

.FRIDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (75+ PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    RAIN SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65.
MIN HUMIDITY........22 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AROUND 10 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTS TO 20 MPH
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
                    AT 10-15 MPH IN THE EARLY AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.NEAR ZERO.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 6000 FT AGL IN THE AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING SOUTHWEST 20-25
                    MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO VERY GOOD (100300 KNOT-FT)
                    BY EARLY AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS
IN THE UPPER 30S. EAST WINDS AROUND 13 MPH.

.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.

.SUNDAY...COLDER. CLOUDY WITH A CHANCE OF RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTHWEST WINDS
AROUND 10 MPH. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION AT FIRE SITE.

.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. NORTHWEST WINDS 10-15 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...SAGE DECKER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140424.HOOLI.01/RIW






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