Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 111123
FWSRIW

Spot Forecast for Star Valley Front Rx Unit 2...USFS BTF WZ
National Weather Service Riverton WY
523 AM MDT Thu Apr 11 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 MDT on April 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather
Service

.DISCUSSION...

Warm and dry conditions are expected today. Skies should remain
mostly sunny. Generally light upslope/upvalley wind though the
day, though favoring out of the west during the afternoon. Friday
will see warmer temperatures and an increased southwest wind, as
well as chances for light rain showers.

...Thunderstorms imply strong gusty and erratic winds...
...Haines index is high level haines both day and night...

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........38 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Upslope/upvalley 4 to 7 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 10 to 15 mph after 1200.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 3600 ft AGL by 1500.
Transport winds.....South around 9 mph shifting to the west 10 to
                    13 mph after 1200.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4000 knot-ft).
Haines Index........2.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........21  19  14  10  10  9   3   7   6   10  12  10
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............29  29  31  35  38  41  44  47  49  51  52  51
RH..............86  86  84  79  71  63  57  52  48  39  45  45
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  W   W   SW
20 FT wind spd..5   4   3   3   4   4   4   4   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.6   5   4   4   6   6   6   6   8   10  11  11
Ridge wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  W   W   W
Ridge wind spd..10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  10  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 3.6 3.6 3.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10  10  13  13  13
Haines index....2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
SDspl kt-ft/10004   4   4   6   6   6   25  25  25  39  39  39

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
LAL.................1.
Min temperature.....Around 33.
Max humidity........81 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Downslope/downvalley 3 to 6 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
                    southeast around 15 mph after 2100.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL by
midnight.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph becoming south after
2100.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5700 knot-ft).
Haines Index........3 to 4.

TIME (MDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........8   8   6   7   6   6   6   8   11  18  15  43
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............52  49  45  42  40  39  38  37  36  35  35  34
RH..............46  47  58  64  68  68  69  69  69  71  72  75
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.10  10  10  10  7   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Ridge wind dir..SW  SW  SW  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Ridge wind spd..10  10  10  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15  15
Mix hgt (kft)...2.6 2.6 2.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.W   W   W   S   S   S   SE  SE  SE  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13  13
Haines index....3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/100026  26  26  17  17  17  6   6   6   6   6   6

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Chance of light
rain showers throughout the day.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
LAL.................1.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the
                    southwest 10 to 12 mph after 1300 with gusts
to around 18 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast 10 to 15 mph becoming southwest
around 20 mph after 1200.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 6300 ft AGL by 1500.
Transport winds.....South 12 to 20 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 24 mph by 1500.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5200 knot-ft) increasing to very good
(132900 knot-ft) by 1500.
Haines Index........4.

TIME (MDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........49  64  58  50  50  38  26  28  31  33  34  34
Weather cov.....            ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT SCT
Weather type....            RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).10  10  10  20  20  20  30  30  30  30  30  30
LAL.............1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
Temp............34  36  38  41  45  48  52  54  56  58  59  59
RH..............76  75  75  69  64  56  49  44  39  34  35  36
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   6   6   7   9   10  11  11  11  12  11
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   10  13  14  16  17  17  18  17
Ridge wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Ridge wind spd..10  10  10  15  15  15  20  20  20  20  20  20
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.6 3.9 3.9 3.9 6.3 6.3 6.3
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW
Transp wind spd.12  12  12  14  14  14  20  20  20  24  24  24
Haines index....4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4
SDspl kt-ft/10005   5   5   8   8   8   67  67  67  133 133 133

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southwest winds around 6 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly clear. Chance of showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in
the upper 50s. Southwest winds around 6 to 12 mph.
.MONDAY...
Cooler. Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and snow showers. Lows
around 30. Highs in the upper 40s. West winds around 7 mph.

$$
Forecaster...Myers
Requested by...Michael McEwen
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2410282.0/RIW
.DELDT 04/11/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL michael.mcewen@usda.gov


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