Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 221942
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR BUDGE DRIVE INCIDENT...TETON COUNTY EOC
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
142 PM MDT TUE APR 22 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON INCIDENT TIME OF 1316 MDT ON APRIL 22.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...AN APPROACHING COLD FRONT WILL RESULT IN A QUICKLY
INCREASING CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS AFTER ABOUT 3 PM.
SHOWERS WILL BE WIDESPREAD ACROSS ALL OF THE WEST LATER THIS AFTERNOON
AND THROUGH THE NIGHT. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE ACROSS THE
AREA ALONG AND AHEAD OF THIS STRONG COLD FRONT. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF ONE
QUARTER TO ONE THIRD OF AN INCH CAN BE EXPECTED WITH THE RAIN SHOWERS.
ANY THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE AN ADDITIONAL ONE QUARTER TO ONE THIRD
OF AN INCH WITH LOCAL ADDITIONAL AMOUNTS UP TO ONE HALF INCH. THE SPEED
OF THE STORMS SHOULD LIMIT REAL HEAVY AMOUNTS UNLESS MORE THAN ONE
THUNDERSTORM MOVES OVER THE AREA. THESE THUNDERSTORMS HAVE THE CAPABILITY
TO PRODUCE 50 TO 60 MPH WIND GUSTS AND SMALL TO MARBLE SIZE HAIL ALONG
WITH FREQUENT LIGHTNING BETWEEN 3 PM AND 8 PM. THE RAIN SHOWERS WILL TURN
TO SNOW AROUND MIDNIGHT WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY THROUGH WEDNESDAY. SMALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF A SKIFF TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE AREA. WEDNESDAY
WILL ALSO BE WINDY AND OF COURSE CONSIDERABLY COLDER.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...SKRBAC

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (80-90 PERCENT). NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS AND
                    SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500L. A COUPLE STRONG
                    TO POTENTIALLY SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE POSSIBLE WITH
                    DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND SMALL UP TO MARBLE SIZE HAIL.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 60.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST WIND INCREASING TO 20 TO 30 MPH
                    WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 40 MPH BETWEEN 2 PM AND 3 PM.
                    THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE IN THE AREA AFTER 3 PM AND
                    ANY NEARBY THUNDERSTORMS COULD PRODUCE WIND GUSTS
                    OVER 50 MPH WITH A SMALL CHANCE OF 60 MPH WIND GUSTS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 25 TO 30 MPH WITH STRONG GUSTS NEAR ANY
                    STORMS.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 1600...THEN 4.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.40 PERCENT.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT). SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING. NUMEROUS RAIN SHOWERS CHANGING TO
                    SNOW SHOWERS AROUND MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 30.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 35
                    MPH DECREASING TO 25 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING
                    AND OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. ANY NEARBY
                    STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH ABOUT 8 PM WILL HAVE THE
                    CAPABILITY TO PRODUCE WIND GUSTS OF 50 TO 60 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 20 TO 30 MPH.
LAL.................4 UNTIL 2000...THEN 2 UNTIL 2200...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.70 PERCENT.

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........CLOUDY (85-95 PERCENT) WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....UPPER 30S TO NEAR 40.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST WINDS 11 TO 17 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25
                    MPH INCREASING TO 30 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 25
                    MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHANCE OF WETTING RAIN.60 PERCENT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 12 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SLIGHT
CHANCE OF SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID
40S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS...SNOW SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...SKRBAC
REQUESTED BY...RICH OCHS  COORDINATOR
REASON FOR REQUEST...SAR
.TAG 20140422.BUDGE.01/RIW








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