Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 242346
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR HATCHERY FIRE...USFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
546 PM MDT SUN JUL 24 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1621 MDT ON JULY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

...FIRE WEATHER WATCH IN EFFECT FROM MONDAY AFTERNOON THROUGH
MONDAY EVENING FOR STRONG WIND GUSTS VERY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY
AND A HAINES INDEX OF 5 OR 6 FOR FIRE WEATHER ZONE 285 INCLUDING
THE FIRE AREA...

MONDAY WILL BE DRY FOR MUCH OF THE DAY INTO THE EVENING. A VERY
ISOLATED SHOWER OR STORM MAY DEVELOP NEAR THE FIRE AFTER 1500
UNTIL 2100. MAIN THREAT FROM ANY SHOWER OR STORM ACTIVITY WILL
BE A GUSTY WIND TO 35 MPH AND OCCASIONAL LIGHTNING. RAINFALL
WOULD BE BRIEF AND LIGHT. THE EXPOSED RIDGES WILL BE MOST LIKELY
PLACES TO SEE THE HIGHER WIND SPEEDS MONDAY AFTERNOON INTO THE
EVENING. PROTECTED OR SHELTERED AREAS WOULD SEE LESS WIND.

TUESDAY AFTERNOON WILL SEE ISOLATED SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM
ACTIVITY. AGAIN WIND GUSTS AND LIGHTNING WILL BE THE MAIN
THREATS WITH RAINFALL BEING BRIEF AND FAIRLY LIGHT. SHOULD SEE
A LITTLE HIGHER HUMIDITY AND LESS WIND ON THE RIDGE TOPS OR
EXPOSED AREAS.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...AR

.MONDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY THROUGH 1300. THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1500.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-88 AT 5550 FEET.
                    75-79 AT 8000 FEET.

MIN HUMIDITY........9-14 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY AT 5-8 MPH UNTIL 1200
                    WIND BECOMING WEST AT 9 TO 14 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS TO 18 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING WEST 8 TO 12 MPH
                    AFTER 1100. WEST AT 12 TO 17 MPH WITH
                    GUSTS AROUND 25 MPH AFTER 1300.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1500...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........5 OR MODERATE POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 8500-9000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....BECOMING WEST AT 15 TO 20 MPH AFTER 1300.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....INCREASING TO GOOD BY 1200. INCREASING TO
                    VERY GOOD TO EXCELLENT BY 1500.

.MONDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY UNTIL SUNSET. VERY ISOLATED
                    SHOWER OR STORM UNTIL SUNSET.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....50-55 AT 5500 FEET.
                    53-56 AT 8000 FEET.
MAX HUMIDITY........45-50 PERCENT AT 5500 FEET.
                    32-36 PERCENT AT 8000 FEET.

20 FOOT WINDS.......WEST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL SUNSET. THEN
                    WIND BECOMING DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY AT 5 TO 8 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WIND SPEEDS NEAR ANY
                    SHOWER OR STORM.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST TO NORTHWEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL SUNSET.
                    WIND BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH
                    AROUND MIDNIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2100...THEN LAL...1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......DECREASING TO 700 TO 1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH UNTIL SUNSET.
                    THEN BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH
                    BY MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR AFTER SUNSET AND BECOMING POOR
                    AFTER MIDNIGHT.

.TUESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY IN THE MORNING. PARTLY CLOUDY
                    IN THE AFTERNOON. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
                    THUNDERSTORMS AFTER 1400.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....85-88 AT 5500 FEET.
                    75-80 AT 8000 FEET.

MIN HUMIDITY........10-15 PERCENT.

20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH MOST OF THE DAY.

RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST TO SOUTHEAST AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    WIND BECOMING WEST AT 6 TO 11 MPH AFTER 1200.

LAL.................1 UNTIL 1400. THEN LAL..2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........6 OR HIGH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......INCREASING TO 9000-10000 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AT 5 TO 10 MPH UNTIL 1200.
                    WIND BECOMING WEST AT 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER 1200.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....BECOMING FAIR TO GOOD BY 1200.
                    BECOMING VERY GOOD BY 1500.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...
PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS OR THUNDERSTORMS UNTIL MIDNIGHT.
LOWS IN THE 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 70S TO MID 80S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO MID 80S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN
THE 50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S TO MID 80S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...ROSS
REQUESTED BY...FBAN
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160724.HATCH.02/RIW



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