Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 291203
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR SWEDE FIRE...USFS SHF
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
603 AM MDT TUE JUL 29 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1846 MDT ON JULY 28.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...INCREASED MOISTURE OVER THE AREA WILL GENERATE SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE NEXT COUPLE DAYS. COOLER TEMPERATURES
EXPECTED TODAY...WITH ELEVATED DAYTIME HUMIDITY. PERIODS OF
MODERATE RAIN ARE EXPECTED WITH STORM ACTIVITY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
DAYS. OVERALL...FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS WILL HAVE A REPRIEVE UNDER THE
CURRENT SYSTEM.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...LIPSON

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........SHOWERS IN THE MORNING...ENDING BY 0900.
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS REDEVELOPING AT 1200 ALONG WITH ISOLATED
                    THUNDERSTORMS.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65-67 AT 10200 FEET. 73-75 AT 8000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........46-49 PERCENT AT 10200 FEET. 40 TO 43 PERCENT AT 8000 FEET.
                    RH WILL INCREASE ONCE SHOWERS BEGIN.
20 FOOT WINDS.......10200 FEET...LIGHT AND VARIABLE 3 TO 6 MPH IN THE MORNING.
                    THEN EAST SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH AFTER 1200.
                    AT 8000 FEET...NORTHEAST 4 TO 6 MPH. AFTER
                    1200 EAST NORTHEAST 5 TO 9 MPH. BRIEF GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST AROUND 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST IN
                    THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 0900...THEN 3.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.31 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    AROUND 9 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING...THEN
                    SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST 14 TO 15 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (26900-55400 KNOT-FT).

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING...THEN ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 50.
MAX HUMIDITY........76-79 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......AT 10200 FEET...EAST AT 10 TO 15 MPH BECOMING
                    LIGHT AND VARIABLE AFTER MIDNIGHT.
                    AT 8000 FEET...SOUTH SOUTHWEST DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH.
                    BRIEF GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST 10 TO 15 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
                    EARLY IN THE MORNING.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.19 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4100-5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 8 TO 15 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (36400-65900 KNOT-FT).

.WEDNESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....68-70 AT 10200 FEET AND 76 TO 78 AT 8000 FEET.
MIN HUMIDITY........38-40 PERCENT AT 10200 FEET AND 31 TO 33 PERCENT AT
                    8000 FEET.
20 FOOT WINDS.......AT 10200 FEET...LIGHT AND VARIABLE AT 3 TO 6 MPH.
                    AFTER 1200 SOUTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH.
                    AT 8000 FEET...UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY FROM THE NORTHEAST
                    3-6 MPH. AFTER 1200 EAST NORTHEAST AT 5 TO 9 MPH.
                    BRIEF GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.LESS THAN 5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........4 OR LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME DOMINATED
                    FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3200-4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 10
                    TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO FAIR (26900-45300 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN
10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S.
WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...LIPSON
REQUESTED BY...CLINT DAWSON
REASON FOR REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20140728.SWEDE.01/RIW








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