Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 231225
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH LITTLE MOUNTIAN...BLM CAD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
625 AM MDT MON MAR 23 2015

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1030 MDT ON MARCH 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

INCREASING CLOUDS..AND CONTINUED WARM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO START
THE DAY. A SERIES OF DISTURBANCES WILL THEN BRING ACTIVE WEATHER THROUGH
MUCH OF THE WEEK. COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE FIRE SITE LATE THIS
AFTERNOON...BRINGING SCATTERED SHOWERS...AND POSSIBLY AN ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORM THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. SCATTERED RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS
WILL THEN BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT. EXPECT GUSTY WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS
TO ALSO INCREASE THIS AFTERNOON BEFORE DIMINISHING AFTER MIDNIGHT TONIGHT.

A BRIEF BREAK IN PRECIPITATION IS THEN POSSIBLE FOR TUESDAY MORNING AND
EARLY TUESDAY AFTERNOON...BEFORE THE NEXT DISTURBANCE AND FRONTAL BOUNDARY
BRINGS ANOTHER ROUND OF RAIN AND SNOW TUESDAY NIGHT...THROUGH WEDNESDAY
MORNING. GUSTY WESTERLY WINDS WILL AGAIN BE POSSIBLE BEFORE...AND DURING THE
PASSAGE OF THIS NEXT FRONT ON TUESDAY.

SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS ARE THEN EXPECTED FOR THE REST OF WEDNESDAY. THE
LAST DISTURBANCE OF THE WEEK WILL COME THURSDAY...WHERE MORE RAIN AND SNOW
IS POSSIBLE...ALONG WITH SOME GUSTY WINDS. WARM AND DRYING CONDITIONS WILL
THEN RETURN FRIDAY.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...ANGLIN

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) BY MID TO LATE
                    MORNING. ISOLATED RAIN SHOWERS IN THE LATE
                    MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON. SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS
                    AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE AFTER 3 PM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....55-60.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-24 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTH AROUND
                    10 MPH BY AROUND NOON. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH. GUSTY AND
                    ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY THUNDERSTORMS.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 3 PM...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR (49400 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (102500 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). SCATTERED RAIN
                    SHOWERS THROUGH THE NIGHT...WITH AN ISOLATED EVENING
                    THUNDERSTORM POSSIBLE. SCATTERED SNOW
                    SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT. LITTLE SNOW ACCUMULATION
                    EXPECTED
MIN TEMPERATURE.....30-35.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-78 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS TO 20 MPH IN
                    THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS NEAR ANY
                    THUNDERSTORMS. WEST NORTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT. GUSTS UP TO 20 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 9 PM...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 2500 FT AGL AFTER
                    MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15 TO 20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST AROUND 20 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR TO GOOD (31800-61800 KNOT-FT).

.TUESDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). ISOLATED SNOW
                    SHOWERS. LITTLE OR NO SNOW ACCUMULATION
                    EXPECTED.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....41-47.
MIN HUMIDITY........27-31 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHWEST TO WEST WINDS 5-9 MPH BECOMING SOUTHWEST
                    AT 10 TO 15 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 18 MPH IN THE EARLY
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....WEST SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500-5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 15 TO 25 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR TO GOOD (56400-85300 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY NIGHT...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
SNOW ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES POSSIBLE. LOWS IN THE UPPER 20S.
WINDS WEST TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...BECOMING NORTH AROUND 15-20 MPH
BY MIDNIGHT WITH GUSTS TO 35 MPH.

.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS.
LOWS AROUND 30. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 40S. NORTH WINDS 10 TO 20 MPH.

.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY WITH CHANCE OF SHOWERS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 40S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS
THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...WARMER. PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. WINDS GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...ANGLIN
REQUESTED BY...SAGE DECKER
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20150323.NORTH.01/RIW







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