Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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000
FNUS75 KRIW 090955
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR NORTH LITTLE MTN...BLM WOD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
355 AM MDT WED APR 9 2014

FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1400 MDT ON APRIL 09.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...

A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH ACROSS THE FIRE SITE AROUND 3 PM THIS
AFTERNOON. BREEZY SOUTHERLY WINDS AND LOW HUMIDITY WILL BE
OBSERVED AHEAD OF THE COLD FRONT. IN WAKE OF THE COLD FRONT...BREEZY
NORTHERLY WINDS AND SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS WILL OCCUR. THERE IS ENOUGH
INSTABILITY FOR AN ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM. CHANCES FOR PRECIPITATION
WILL COME TO AN END BY MIDNIGHT.

MILD AND DRY CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THURSDAY AND FRIDAY...WITH
ANY ISOLATED AFTERNOON LIGHT SHOWER ACTIVITY REMAINING EAST OF
THE FIRE SITE OVER THE BIGHORN MOUNTAINS. WINDS ON THURSDAY WILL
BE MAINLY LIGHT AND TERRAIN DRIVEN.

A STRONGER STORM WILL IMPACT THE FIRE SITE AREA SATURDAY AND
SATURDAY NIGHT...WITH A GOOD SHOT AT A WETTING EVENT...WITH BOTH
RAIN AND SNOW.

...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...MURRELL

.TODAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT). AFTER 2 PM
                    SCATTERED RAIN SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY AN
                    ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....65.
MIN HUMIDITY........25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH WITH GUSTS TO
                    25 MPH. COLD FRONT AROUND 3 PM...SWITCHING WINDS
                    TO THE NORTHWEST AND NORTH AT 10-15 MPH. GUSTS
                    TO 30 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    ANY THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH...BECOMING NORTH TO NORTHWEST
                    15-20 MPH AROUND 3 PM.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 2 PM...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5000 FT AGL BY MIDDAY.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 15-20 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHWEST
                    20 MPH AROUND 3 PM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR INCREASING TO GOOD (63000 KNOT-FT) BY MIDDAY.

.TONIGHT...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (70-80 PERCENT) WITH SCATTERED
                    RAIN SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING. BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT)
                    BY MIDNIGHT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....35.
MAX HUMIDITY........80 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTH 10-15 MPH...BECOMING NE 5-10 MPH BY AROUND
                    10 PM...THEN DOWNSLOPE/DOWNVALLEY 4-7 MPH BY 2 AM.
                    GUSTS TO 30 MPH IN THE EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
                    WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE
                    EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH THEN DECREASING TO 5-10 MPH
                    BY 9 PM...THEN LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY 2 AM.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 9 PM...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.10 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH AROUND 15 MPH THEN DECREASING TO 5-10 MPH
                    BY 9 PM...THEN LIGHT AND VARIABLE BY 2 AM.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR.

.THURSDAY...
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (15-25 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).
MAX TEMPERATURE.....58.
MIN HUMIDITY........21 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 4-8 MPH.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5-10 MPH.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST AROUND 10 MPH...THEN WEST NORTHWEST
                    15-20 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR INCREASING TO GOOD (70000 KNOT-FT)
                    IN THE AFTERNOON.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AFTER MIDNIGHT.
LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH TO SOUTHWEST 10-15
MPH.

.SATURDAY...COOLER...RAIN AND SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. NORTH TO NORTHWEST WINDS
10-20 MPH.

.SUNDAY...COLDER. PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SNOW
SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID 20S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 30S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$

FORECASTER...MURRELL
REQUESTED BY...WENGERT
REASON FOR REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 20140409.NORTH.01/RIW






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