Suppression Forecast
Issued by NWS Riverton, WY

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FNUS75 KRIW 232011
FWSRIW

SPOT FORECAST FOR MAPLE FIRE...NPS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE RIVERTON WY
211 PM MDT TUE AUG 23 2016

FORECAST IS BASED ON REQUEST TIME OF 1349 MDT ON AUGUST 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE...CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.

.DISCUSSION...
WEDNESDAY WILL BE COOLER WITH A LITTLE HIGHER AFTERNOON RH.
A FEW SHOWERS AND POSSIBLY A THUNDERSTORM WILL BUILD IN THE AREA BUT IT
DOES LOOK LIKE MOST OF THOSE WILL STAY OFF TO THE NORTH AND EAST. GUSTY
EAST TO NORTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE THROUGH WEDNESDAY NIGHT BEFORE
GRADUALLY WEAKENING AND THEN BECOMING GENERALLY LIGHT NORTHWEST ON
THURSDAY. LITTLE CHANGE IN RH IS EXPECTED FROM WEDNESDAY TO THURSDAY BUT
IT SHOULD BE MUCH MORE MOIST THURSDAY MORNING.


...THUNDERSTORMS IMPLY STRONG GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS...
...HAINES INDEX IS HIGH LEVEL HAINES BOTH DAY AND NIGHT...

FORECASTER...SKRBAC

.WEDNESDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
                    PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). A SLIGHT CHANCE
                    OF A SHOWER OR THUNDERSTORM IN THE AREA. MOST
                    OF THESE WILL BE OFF TO THE NORTH AND EAST.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........20-25 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH BECOMING NORTH 10 TO
                    14 MPH WITH GUSTS TO AROUND 25 MPH IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTH 10 TO 15 MPH INCREASING TO AROUND 20 MPH
                    LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......1500 FT AGL INCREASING TO 6500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH TO NORTHEAST 16 TO 21 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....POOR (25300 KNOT-FT) INCREASING TO VERY GOOD
                    (130000 KNOT-FT) IN THE AFTERNOON.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
                    AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....32 TO 36.
MAX HUMIDITY........75-85 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......NORTHEAST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 25 MPH
                    DECREASING TO 15 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
                    OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
                    NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
LAL.................2 UNTIL 2400...THEN 1.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.ZERO PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4000 FT AGL DECREASING TO 1000 FT AGL AFTER MIDNIGHT.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 15 TO 20 MPH.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....GOOD EARLY THEN DECREASING TO POOR (75000-17000 KNOT-FT).

.THURSDAY...

SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
                    SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....64-67.
MIN HUMIDITY........18-23 PERCENT.
20 FOOT WINDS.......UPSLOPE/UPVALLEY 5-9 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 15 MPH.
                    GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
                    THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.
RIDGE TOP WINDS.....EAST TO NORTHEAST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LAL.................1 UNTIL 1200...THEN 2.
CHC OF WETTING RAIN.5 PERCENT.
HAINES INDEX........3 OR VERY LOW POTENTIAL FOR LARGE PLUME
                    DOMINATED FIRE GROWTH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......2300 FT AGL INCREASING TO 7500 FT AGL IN THE
                    AFTERNOON.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHEAST 14 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
                    NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
SMOKE DISPERSAL.....FAIR IN THE MORNING THEN BECOMING GOOD
                    (45000-98000 KNOT-FT).

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
PARTLY CLOUDY WITH SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.
LOWS IN THE LOWER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WINDS GENERALLY
LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.FRIDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.
.SATURDAY...
MOSTLY CLEAR. LOWS IN THE MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE MID 70S. WINDS
GENERALLY LESS THAN 10 MPH.

$$
FORECASTER...SKRBAC
REQUESTED BY...BECKY SMITH
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 20160823.MAPLE.02/RIW



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